Stupendous-Tenor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$361

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

122

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$52.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$304

Open exposure

$97

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 98% +$389

Other

5% 83% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No		+97	$97	100¢	$97	$0	11-05 00:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 22?	2	$1.1K	569	569	+0	No	+$0	08-22 08:16
bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	5	$1.0K	522	522	+0	Yes	-$4	06-23 06:38
bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	4	$1.0K	513	513	+0	No	+$2	06-11 00:37
bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	Yes	+$3	06-09 11:39
will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	+$2	06-08 00:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	2	$991	496	496	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 14:36
bitcoin above 70k on april 22	2	$961	483	483	+0	Yes	+$4	04-22 10:28
bitcoin above 66k on april 22	2	$957	479	479	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 12:51
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 28-October 4?	1	$575	577	0	+577	No	+$2	10-02 04:44
will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	1	$574	575	0	+575	No	+$1	09-27 04:50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 26?	1	$573	574	0	+574	Yes	+$1	09-25 00:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 23?	1	$573	574	0	+574	Yes	+$1	09-22 00:13
will bitcoin dip to 66k september 14 20 2026	1	$570	572	0	+572	No	+$2	09-18 00:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	1	$570	571	0	+571	Yes	+$1	09-14 10:56
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 7-13?	1	$569	570	0	+570	No	+$1	09-11 23:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 9?	1	$568	569	0	+569	Yes	+$1	09-08 01:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6?	1	$567	568	0	+568	No	+$1	09-06 01:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 5?	1	$566	567	0	+567	Yes	+$1	09-04 00:04
bitcoin above 68k on september 2 2026	1	$566	567	0	+567	Yes	+$1	09-01 01:48
ethereum above 2000 on august 20 2026	1	$564	565	0	+565	Yes	+$2	08-20 09:09
ethereum above 2100 on august 18 2026	1	$563	564	0	+564	No	+$1	08-17 23:40
ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	1	$563	564	0	+564	Yes	+$1	08-17 07:26
will bitcoin reach 68k august 10 16 2026	1	$561	563	0	+563	No	+$2	08-14 08:59
ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	1	$559	561	0	+561	No	+$2	08-13 02:14
ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	3	$558	559	0	+559	Yes	+$1	08-12 00:23
ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	1	$557	558	0	+558	Yes	+$1	08-11 10:06
will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	1	$551	557	0	+557	No	+$6	08-07 00:01
ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	1	$551	552	0	+552	Yes	+$1	08-06 06:37
bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	1	$546	550	0	+550	No	+$4	08-03 13:51
will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	1	$545	547	0	+547	No	+$2	08-02 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 00:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x6ce182…
11-02 23:41:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	103	95¢	$98	0x307487…
11-01 16:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x8a9ce1…
10-30 21:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9ce932…
10-27 13:12:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	124	97¢	$121	0xa6a40b…
10-25 15:35:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	121	97¢	$117	0x524f67…
10-25 15:34:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x6b79b7…
10-24 14:49:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0xb21868…
10-24 14:47:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0xf9c9b3…
10-23 05:51:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x1b6388…
10-22 23:41:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x18ee90…
10-21 06:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	164	70¢	$115	0x4bede1…
10-17 01:37:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	164	95¢	$156	0xed1008…
10-17 00:38:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0x5c0959…
10-16 01:06:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	157	99¢	$156	0x404b07…
10-15 11:58:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0xd0c7ba…
10-14 09:57:50	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xcba94f…
10-13 10:30:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x96f2be…
10-13 05:36:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x299d93…
10-10 07:25:49	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xbfefb6…
10-02 04:44:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	577	100¢	$575	0xd4d1d7…
09-27 04:50:12	will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	No	BUY	575	100¢	$574	0xa278bc…
09-25 00:13:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	574	100¢	$573	0xb2b041…
09-22 00:13:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	574	100¢	$573	0x2452bc…
09-18 00:07:22	will bitcoin dip to 66k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	572	100¢	$570	0xab3e83…
09-14 10:56:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0x313ffb…
09-11 23:58:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	570	100¢	$569	0x559c9d…
09-08 01:36:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	569	100¢	$568	0x5ba582…
09-06 01:03:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	568	100¢	$567	0x9be079…
09-04 00:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	567	100¢	$566	0x136284…
09-01 01:48:27	bitcoin above 68k on september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	567	100¢	$566	0x776ad9…
08-22 08:16:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 22?	No	SELL	569	100¢	$566	0xec4953…
08-22 03:29:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 22?	No	BUY	569	99¢	$566	0x12821b…
08-20 09:09:25	ethereum above 2000 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	565	100¢	$564	0x9963d6…
08-17 23:40:07	ethereum above 2100 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	564	100¢	$563	0xdc94eb…
08-17 07:26:16	ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	564	100¢	$563	0xf11035…
08-14 08:59:09	will bitcoin reach 68k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	563	100¢	$561	0x61c90e…
08-13 02:14:51	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	561	100¢	$559	0xd87730…
08-12 00:23:39	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x6fab82…
08-11 23:09:04	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x0504e2…
08-11 20:34:54	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	493	100¢	$492	0xb3b23b…
08-11 10:06:07	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	558	100¢	$557	0x236a44…
08-07 00:01:35	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	557	99¢	$551	0x5ff500…
08-06 06:37:50	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	552	100¢	$551	0xc00119…
08-03 13:51:14	bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x632dce…
08-02 00:30:39	will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	547	100¢	$545	0xe95991…
08-01 04:35:14	ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	545	99¢	$542	0xff0d3d…
07-26 02:14:10	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	542	99¢	$538	0x0671ae…
07-25 01:33:34	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	538	100¢	$537	0x94e552…
07-24 03:23:36	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$284	0x22fb10…
07-24 02:39:46	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x291a0e…
07-23 01:40:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	535	100¢	$533	0x63a075…
07-22 00:47:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0x9fa23a…
07-21 13:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	532	100¢	$530	0x573c33…
07-20 05:59:24	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	530	99¢	$527	0x9f13b3…
07-18 05:28:34	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	527	100¢	$526	0x94259a…
07-17 05:45:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 17?	No	BUY	526	100¢	$525	0xeb6a27…
07-16 01:54:35	ethereum above 1800 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	526	99¢	$522	0xc2b3db…
07-15 01:46:07	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 15?	No	BUY	522	100¢	$521	0x9be526…
07-14 01:58:20	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 13	No	BUY	521	100¢	$519	0x63b024…
07-12 05:26:37	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	518	100¢	$517	0x19f997…
07-10 00:14:23	ethereum above 1900 on july 11 2026	No	BUY	518	100¢	$515	0x9a5f00…
07-08 05:54:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 9?	No	BUY	515	100¢	$514	0x4e9716…
07-02 10:58:11	will bitcoin dip to 48k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	514	100¢	$513	0x76a101…
06-23 13:48:07	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	513	100¢	$511	0xb22ec5…
06-23 06:38:08	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x4afc6b…
06-23 06:36:49	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	171	98¢	$168	0xab98ab…
06-23 06:36:47	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	170	98¢	$167	0xf256b3…
06-23 06:36:47	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	171	98¢	$168	0x011f5b…
06-23 06:21:25	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	522	99¢	$516	0x36f2f1…
06-17 04:33:13	will bitcoin dip to 52k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	516	100¢	$514	0xb5a186…
06-12 04:54:42	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	514	100¢	$512	0xb4119a…
06-11 00:37:51	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	SELL	456	100¢	$455	0x845253…
06-11 00:33:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x50a183…
06-11 00:32:27	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x6fd326…
06-09 23:43:15	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	513	100¢	$511	0xaacc96…
06-09 11:39:36	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	515	99¢	$511	0x7afca3…
06-09 01:13:10	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	515	99¢	$509	0xa42434…
06-08 00:07:31	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	510	100¢	$509	0xadb72b…
06-05 00:06:01	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	510	100¢	$507	0xe3c2e2…
06-02 06:57:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x25161c…
05-25 13:17:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	501	99¢	$498	0xf0efc3…
05-20 01:06:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	497	100¢	$496	0xa3cdea…
05-16 01:11:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	496	100¢	$496	0x7493b7…
05-11 14:36:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	496	100¢	$496	0x68693c…
05-11 12:01:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	496	100¢	$495	0xb9e5ad…
05-09 00:23:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	495	99¢	$492	0x734900…
05-07 02:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	493	99¢	$488	0x1b037c…
04-22 10:28:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	489	99¢	$483	0xd3ef67…
04-22 10:28:22	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	SELL	483	100¢	$483	0x42385d…
04-21 13:07:56	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	483	99¢	$479	0xca7ace…
04-21 12:51:30	bitcoin above 66k on april 22	Yes	SELL	479	100¢	$479	0xae7b8c…
04-20 23:55:04	bitcoin above 66k on april 22	Yes	BUY	479	100¢	$478	0x00bc4a…
04-20 07:23:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-20 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	215	97¢	$209	0x81c9b3…
04-20 06:29:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-20 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	280	19¢	$53	0x675cc6…
04-17 14:16:24	will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 17	No	BUY	262	100¢	$261	0x99e6d2…
04-17 14:08:36	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on april 17	No	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0x66450a…
04-16 02:17:50	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on april 17	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0x904189…
04-14 03:25:59	bitcoin above 64k on april 15	Yes	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0x3fa026…
04-09 03:43:33	bitcoin above 62k on april 10	Yes	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x8a82cb…