Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

114

Trades

784

lifetime

Volume

$281.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$360

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-01 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Politics

89% 70% -$4,706

Other

9% 62% -$277

Sports

1% 40% -$215

Tech

1% 100% +$102

Crypto

1% 60% -$59

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	48	$34.0K	22,215	21,715	+500	Yes	-$2,467	03-01 01:55
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	65	$23.8K	12,250	12,250	+0	No	+$395	02-21 02:43
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	33	$21.4K	15,768	12,155	+3,613	Yes	-$2,565	02-28 02:59
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	46	$20.8K	9,894	12,218	-2,324	No	+$548	02-22 01:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	26	$14.6K	7,494	7,707	-213	No	-$38	01-31 13:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	41	$14.2K	8,530	16,332	-7,802	Yes	+$90	02-28 17:44
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	22	$12.6K	12,090	1,300	+10,790	No	+$450	02-25 19:30
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	2	$10.7K	5,405	5,405	+0	No	+$52	02-02 18:18
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	7	$10.6K	5,358	5,358	+0	No	+$98	02-01 23:00
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	19	$9.1K	5,993	4,316	+1,676	No	+$604	01-31 13:59
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	16	$9.1K	5,760	5,403	+357	Yes	-$251	02-28 02:46
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	6	$5.8K	6,118	601	+5,517	No	+$896	02-26 09:22
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	7	$5.1K	5,289	0	+5,289	No	+$210	02-09 20:23
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	7	$5.0K	2,592	2,592	+0	No	+$128	02-19 16:20
odds of us strikes iran in february over 50 by feb 13	6	$4.7K	2,835	2,227	+609	No	+$97	02-14 18:15
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	7	$4.4K	2,331	2,331	+0	No	+$148	01-26 22:24
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 25 in february	18	$3.9K	2,717	2,717	+0	Yes	-$477	02-18 15:43
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	4	$3.3K	1,200	2,229	-1,029	No	+$116	02-23 00:11
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$3.0K	1,698	1,698	+0	No	+$85	01-24 02:05
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	24	$2.8K	2,970	3,079	-109	Yes	-$2,472	02-20 15:04
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	2	$2.5K	1,335	1,335	+0	No	+$160	01-17 09:13
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$2.5K	2,733	0	+2,733	No	+$250	01-31 13:50
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$2.4K	1,489	1,489	+0	Yes	-$4	01-31 06:44
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	4	$2.4K	1,203	1,203	+0	No	-$6	02-24 22:27
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	7	$2.3K	1,524	812	+712	No	+$34	02-12 23:16
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	3	$2.1K	1,093	1,093	+0	No	+$68	02-03 10:23
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$2.1K	1,078	1,078	+0	No	+$76	02-13 17:45
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	2	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	No	+$11	02-07 14:42
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 20 in february 158	18	$2.0K	2,389	876	+1,513	Yes	+$103	02-18 11:21
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$2.0K	1,039	1,230	-192	Yes	+$102	02-26 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-01 01:58:35	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	No	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x33a8b4…
03-01 01:55:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	4,479	0¢	$13	0xeebd59…
02-28 17:45:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,207	50¢	$1,115	0x11b17c…
02-28 17:44:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	5,066	22¢	$1,115	0x27f3c2…
02-28 17:44:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,272	51¢	$1,150	0x99e6f4…
02-28 17:43:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	5,000	23¢	$1,150	0xcd979c…
02-28 02:59:47	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	633	84¢	$532	0xbae6b0…
02-28 02:59:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	700	76¢	$532	0xc10100…
02-28 02:57:05	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,176	84¢	$988	0xe37604…
02-28 02:56:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	1,300	76¢	$988	0x2208b6…
02-28 02:48:35	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	452	84¢	$380	0xe21b1e…
02-28 02:48:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	500	76¢	$380	0x1f93da…
02-28 02:46:59	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	121	77¢	$93	0x2afd3d…
02-28 02:46:21	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	No	SELL	100	94¢	$93	0xaecce2…
02-28 02:45:41	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	221	77¢	$170	0x8678e4…
02-28 02:44:33	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xfa48f3…
02-28 02:44:33	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0x83f75b…
02-28 02:44:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x39a3eb…
02-28 02:44:07	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xcb2d6a…
02-28 02:43:57	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0xace55f…
02-28 02:43:47	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1902d4…
02-27 13:47:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	257	76¢	$195	0xbe2b37…
02-27 13:46:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0x19b6fd…
02-27 12:46:27	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	174	92¢	$160	0x36cb16…
02-27 12:45:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0xe27150…
02-27 12:23:39	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	117	69¢	$81	0x2bee32…
02-27 12:22:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xda674c…
02-27 12:21:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	296	82¢	$243	0x8eded5…
02-27 12:19:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	300	81¢	$243	0xf68f75…
02-27 12:19:05	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x14c5f3…
02-27 12:18:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	182	82¢	$149	0xc88467…
02-27 12:01:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0xc32fbf…
02-26 18:43:18	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	682	83¢	$566	0x46f2a8…
02-26 18:42:50	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	581	97¢	$566	0xf7a565…
02-26 18:25:00	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$0	0xbf2edf…
02-26 18:23:48	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	102	76¢	$78	0xc4e2db…
02-26 18:21:46	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	232	76¢	$176	0xf005ee…
02-26 18:14:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0xb19c0b…
02-26 18:14:44	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x36017b…
02-26 18:11:12	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	600	80¢	$480	0x82f55a…
02-26 18:09:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x75259b…
02-26 18:06:58	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0xbe3d6a…
02-26 18:06:48	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	600	85¢	$510	0xd8ce3c…
02-26 17:57:22	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0x8f505e…
02-26 17:32:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0xff4f92…
02-26 13:32:26	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	208	83¢	$172	0xcc36ce…
02-26 13:20:10	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x42d1b9…
02-26 13:18:54	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	895	83¢	$742	0xb17c32…
02-26 13:13:08	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,392	83¢	$1,155	0xa59b40…
02-26 09:22:42	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	601	98¢	$589	0x103a04…
02-26 09:14:22	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	SELL	363	61¢	$222	0x0897a4…
02-25 19:30:24	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	Yes	BUY	203	98¢	$199	0xb08eba…
02-25 19:30:04	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xdb8d47…
02-25 19:29:34	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1e967f…
02-25 19:29:16	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	SELL	477	2¢	$10	0xd5fd67…
02-25 19:08:00	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x514af6…
02-25 10:41:52	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	3,378	98¢	$3,328	0xe8558d…
02-25 05:19:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	3,739	89¢	$3,328	0xf6c46b…
02-25 00:43:32	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xf94169…
02-25 00:43:06	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	223	5¢	$12	0x95a1a6…
02-25 00:37:36	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x88b61a…
02-25 00:30:38	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	223	41¢	$92	0x95ea99…
02-25 00:30:08	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xe42787…
02-24 23:46:22	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	563	95¢	$534	0xf735f4…
02-24 23:44:18	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	546	98¢	$534	0x367cfc…
02-24 23:43:38	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	229	95¢	$217	0x0cc003…
02-24 23:32:50	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,160	2¢	$21	0x790227…
02-24 23:26:40	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x71b0a0…
02-24 23:19:46	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xbcb783…
02-24 23:18:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xa4475d…
02-24 22:32:16	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	683	94¢	$646	0x80d96b…
02-24 22:31:32	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x2459d3…
02-24 22:29:40	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	91	95¢	$86	0xff40bc…
02-24 22:29:22	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xe5fe93…
02-24 22:28:18	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	371	94¢	$351	0xf29646…
02-24 22:27:34	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	1,203	98¢	$1,174	0x5c1f60…
02-24 20:11:22	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4fb3b5…
02-24 20:06:28	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,160	2¢	$20	0x3b024b…
02-24 20:02:32	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	487	98¢	$478	0xb32b19…
02-24 20:01:34	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	263	98¢	$258	0xcfa580…
02-24 20:00:56	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	453	98¢	$444	0x14eab3…
02-24 19:59:26	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	1,504	80¢	$1,203	0x25ff9a…
02-24 18:53:04	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	3,243	97¢	$3,155	0xc30dc7…
02-24 18:51:44	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	1,504	82¢	$1,233	0x070fa3…
02-24 16:37:34	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	116	83¢	$96	0x544cf8…
02-24 16:25:24	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	300	83¢	$249	0xccdc77…
02-24 16:25:14	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	300	83¢	$249	0x788ecf…
02-24 16:23:54	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	120	83¢	$100	0x7baca2…
02-24 16:23:42	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	120	83¢	$100	0x95ce6f…
02-24 16:23:38	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	120	83¢	$100	0xa83c25…
02-24 16:14:02	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	232	83¢	$193	0xf5c8f7…
02-24 15:50:06	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xa834a6…
02-24 15:18:12	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	1,003	81¢	$812	0x69b863…
02-24 01:31:50	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	No	BUY	107	91¢	$98	0xdda321…
02-24 01:31:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x189ab5…
02-24 01:14:52	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	No	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x53844d…
02-23 13:34:12	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x4e180a…
02-23 13:31:12	nothing ever happens february 152	Nothing	SELL	56	80¢	$45	0xc3a578…
02-23 13:06:12	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	367	80¢	$293	0xd70af8…
02-23 12:57:04	nothing ever happens february 152	Nothing	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x5f3b53…