Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$103

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-22

last 11-02 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

83% 59% -$5

Politics

15% 44% -$4

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
msft up or down on july 31 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	-$2	07-31 11:13
will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	07-27 16:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-12 05:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-11 13:31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-26 08:15
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-12 13:44
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-11 21:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-01 15:01
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-18 23:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 05:21
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-22 05:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	07-22 02:42
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-02 07:50
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-13 06:26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	07-23 02:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-03 04:04
will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	08-03 12:04
yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-25 03:10
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 21:55
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-03 20:20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 23:12
Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-21 21:49
will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-14 02:28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-29 07:56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-15 12:56
will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-26 15:13
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	08-01 03:14
another pandemic before gta vi	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 19:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-25 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	07-24 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 00:44:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x081026…
11-01 16:26:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3c0262…
10-31 20:18:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0a5d09…
10-30 21:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb6e013…
10-27 10:50:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa1d3cb…
10-27 02:50:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1dae42…
10-26 18:20:03	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $562.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1a1269…
10-24 22:15:02	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x61cbc9…
10-24 13:38:54	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa4a78d…
10-24 05:19:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8fb47f…
10-23 16:34:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x16a2ce…
10-21 07:46:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa67a46…
10-19 23:41:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6b1175…
10-19 15:41:03	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8f3edd…
10-19 07:29:11	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x49ed08…
10-16 09:06:49	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2c9d8c…
10-16 01:06:30	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ba2a3…
10-15 17:04:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x23cde3…
10-14 21:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2d4322…
10-14 12:34:08	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf83448…
10-14 04:33:23	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbd17bd…
10-12 20:22:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5fd0e2…
10-09 21:28:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x28c86a…
10-08 22:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x721a70…
10-08 02:53:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb2020b…
10-07 18:21:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7744fd…
10-07 10:21:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcffcef…
10-07 02:21:12	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8e35d6…
09-30 15:35:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x065862…
09-24 14:51:18	Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc8b0a0…
09-07 09:01:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd81fca…
08-29 07:56:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe51eda…
08-26 08:15:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb35db9…
08-22 05:49:49	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x607e0e…
08-21 21:49:07	Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdb8ec3…
08-18 23:30:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0fe657…
08-15 12:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x026999…
08-14 02:28:46	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x77d696…
08-13 06:26:33	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe12631…
08-12 21:55:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x5c9f2b…
08-12 13:44:00	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0c3b55…
08-12 05:42:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xdbb39e…
08-11 21:42:01	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf75373…
08-11 13:31:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1b44f9…
08-11 05:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x652c0b…
08-03 20:20:12	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3a25b4…
08-03 12:04:54	will pltr dip to 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xca2580…
08-03 04:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x78fa58…
08-02 07:50:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x643274…
08-01 23:12:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7609c2…
08-01 15:01:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x51c5e8…
08-01 03:14:54	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x506006…
07-31 19:14:06	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9b6338…
07-31 11:13:02	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x26d002…
07-30 00:47:41	will apple say apple pay during earnings call 20260727155548222	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe6d47d…
07-29 13:03:38	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2f117c…
07-28 04:06:24	sofi quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt11	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x566c42…
07-27 16:22:12	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x873231…
07-27 03:15:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x42cc82…
07-26 15:13:16	will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x86af9d…
07-26 03:11:57	hood quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt43	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x24f366…
07-25 15:11:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x503b66…
07-25 15:10:48	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x08d7b6…
07-25 03:10:10	yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9de12d…
07-24 15:09:27	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x26f45a…
07-24 03:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x9f3ad9…
07-23 14:48:57	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3f274d…
07-23 02:47:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf13f92…
07-22 14:47:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x791c2d…
07-22 02:42:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x2d2bbd…