Organic-Nicety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

160

Trades

3,349

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-12 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% $-112

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 559 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772235300	21	$572	932	0	+932	open	—	02-27 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	149	$341	335	276	+59	open	—	05-04 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	150	$275	426	305	+121	open	—	05-04 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	87	$259	205	171	+34	open	—	05-04 16:21
btc updown 15m 1772235000	12	$250	567	0	+567	open	—	02-27 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	131	$192	343	251	+92	open	—	05-04 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	72	$130	220	70	+150	open	—	05-02 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	59	$125	264	0	+264	open	—	05-03 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	97	$109	365	208	+157	open	—	05-02 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	48	$106	202	0	+202	open	—	05-03 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	59	$102	173	95	+78	open	—	05-02 16:47
btc updown 15m 1772133300	3	$100	1,471	0	+1,471	open	—	02-26 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	42	$95	130	77	+53	open	—	05-02 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	34	$87	115	80	+35	open	—	05-02 15:28
btc updown 15m 1772298900	4	$86	329	0	+329	open	—	02-28 17:28
btc updown 15m 1772135100	13	$78	2,130	0	+2,130	open	—	02-26 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	38	$75	153	0	+153	open	—	05-03 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	11	$73	213	0	+213	Down	$-73	05-08 20:27
btc updown 5m 1772232900	2	$72	304	0	+304	open	—	02-27 22:58
btc updown 5m 1772252700	4	$70	107	0	+107	open	—	02-28 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	30	$70	139	0	+139	open	—	05-03 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	42	$67	95	58	+37	open	—	05-04 15:22
btc updown 5m 1772250000	3	$64	199	0	+199	open	—	02-28 03:43
btc updown 5m 1772251800	7	$62	141	0	+141	open	—	02-28 04:11
btc updown 5m 1772248800	2	$59	103	0	+103	open	—	02-28 03:24
btc updown 5m 1772341200	2	$57	109	0	+109	open	—	03-01 05:02
btc updown 5m 1772136000	1	$57	1,030	0	+1,030	open	—	02-26 20:03
btc updown 5m 1772253600	8	$55	154	0	+154	open	—	02-28 04:44
btc updown 5m 1772317500	2	$55	89	0	+89	open	—	02-28 22:28
btc updown 15m 1772295300	2	$53	269	0	+269	open	—	02-28 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 18:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x4c2473…
05-12 17:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xdbeb80…
05-12 17:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x30c7f5…
05-12 17:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xf4f699…
05-12 17:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x710f65…
05-12 16:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x2270b3…
05-12 16:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbec2ce…
05-12 15:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb7fcc2…
05-12 15:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x95a2ff…
05-12 15:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x1f90a6…
05-12 15:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0377f0…
05-12 15:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x6a56e0…
05-12 15:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x344204…
05-12 15:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x224311…
05-12 15:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0x76b3fb…
05-12 15:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	91	4¢	$4	0xe77e80…
05-12 15:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5ff522…
05-12 15:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x31a4f9…
05-12 15:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x46a422…
05-12 15:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x79b34c…
05-12 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xff18c6…
05-12 02:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x948db8…
05-12 02:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5d5220…
05-12 02:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5e0151…
05-12 02:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0b946c…
05-12 02:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x685ccf…
05-12 00:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x73edb1…
05-12 00:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xed27c1…
05-11 23:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x044296…
05-11 16:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa4bc12…
05-11 16:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x39338d…
05-11 16:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xc99e13…
05-11 16:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x4f804d…
05-11 16:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0f2e6b…
05-11 15:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x03d0a2…
05-11 14:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x6aec04…
05-11 13:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xcf58ea…
05-11 13:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb1698b…
05-11 13:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9b49be…
05-11 13:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x74219d…
05-11 13:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x7d0bf5…
05-11 12:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x7b0f1e…
05-11 12:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x260b78…
05-11 12:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x82eb5c…
05-11 12:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0xdb6e0c…
05-11 12:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x00a09e…
05-11 12:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xa37783…
05-11 12:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0x72b4f3…
05-11 12:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xe48a35…
05-10 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc30597…
05-10 22:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xa4c8f6…
05-10 22:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd2596c…
05-10 22:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x848a1a…
05-10 22:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x87aee8…
05-10 21:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xe1bbb8…
05-10 21:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x4553fb…
05-10 20:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x783aa2…
05-10 20:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x2aedbb…
05-10 20:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0xeb68af…
05-10 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x121a7b…
05-10 20:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xa4acb2…
05-10 15:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0xeb2bca…
05-10 15:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x068eab…
05-10 15:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x6a966c…
05-10 15:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	10¢	$5	0x46e595…
05-10 14:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x17a2aa…
05-10 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xfb5361…
05-09 01:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x37664f…
05-09 01:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x2cafcf…
05-09 01:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x8db03f…
05-09 01:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x64388a…
05-09 01:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xfde270…
05-09 01:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x707659…
05-09 00:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x6d0cc4…
05-09 00:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x536177…
05-09 00:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	14¢	$6	0x68bafb…
05-09 00:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xdb2b7a…
05-09 00:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xf75fde…
05-09 00:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x47a477…
05-09 00:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x2f51d3…
05-09 00:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xdf424a…
05-09 00:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0x887192…
05-09 00:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9a0b54…
05-09 00:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x07ec04…
05-08 23:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x1fffd5…
05-08 23:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x757b09…
05-08 23:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xb07431…
05-08 23:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x8f2d74…
05-08 23:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x1f9c4c…
05-08 23:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x5071d1…
05-08 23:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x534562…
05-08 23:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xc98d54…
05-08 23:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xbf01fa…
05-08 23:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x5e0ee7…
05-08 23:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xa9a906…
05-08 23:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x224a5b…
05-08 22:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x181356…
05-08 22:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xb1fe68…
05-08 22:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x9dda97…
05-08 22:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x03ca75…