Ignorant-Cruise — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$86

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

210

210 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.05K

$3.05K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-86

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up		+140	$34	1¢	$1	$-33	05-05 22:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	13	$306	315	+315	Up	+$9	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	18	$148	168	+168	Up	+$20	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	15	$136	142	+142	Down	+$6	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$132	139	+139	open	—	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$128	138	+138	open	—	05-05 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$127	137	+137	open	—	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$127	135	+135	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$123	132	+132	open	—	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$123	134	+134	open	—	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$122	133	+133	open	—	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	14	$106	118	+118	Up	+$6	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$105	113	+113	open	—	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$104	112	+112	open	—	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$101	110	+110	open	—	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$100	114	+114	open	—	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$98	106	+106	open	—	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$97	108	+108	open	—	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	15	$90	215	+215	Up	$-19	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$88	115	+115	open	—	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	11	$82	83	+83	Up	+$1	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	11	$82	83	+83	Down	+$2	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	9	$63	65	+65	Down	+$2	05-04 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	8	$54	55	+55	Down	+$1	05-05 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	11	$54	111	+111	Up	$-6	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$41	42	+42	Down	+$0	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$40	122	+122	open	—	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$38	38	+38	Up	+$0	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	9	$35	64	+64	Down	$-35	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$34	140	+140	open	—	05-05 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$29	31	+31	Up	+$2	05-05 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	140	25¢	$34	0x5e02de…
05-05 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	138	93¢	$128	0x070e25…
05-05 20:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	135	94¢	$127	0x99c237…
05-05 19:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	133	92¢	$122	0x6174ae…
05-05 17:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x80c49b…
05-05 17:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa4cdbe…
05-05 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	112	93¢	$104	0xc32c06…
05-05 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	122	33¢	$40	0x44eb28…
05-05 16:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	115	76¢	$88	0xf35a8c…
05-05 16:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	113	93¢	$105	0x35f625…
05-05 15:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0x472008…
05-05 15:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	108	90¢	$97	0xf36bd6…
05-05 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	106	93¢	$98	0x9847cb…
05-05 15:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	139	95¢	$132	0x710657…
05-05 14:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	137	93¢	$127	0x592321…
05-05 14:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	134	92¢	$123	0x7c73b2…
05-05 14:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	132	94¢	$123	0x5d0717…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xd0c568…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x26deec…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x248e2b…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2784ec…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x775365…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf5fd79…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xa1705d…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x2730a3…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xf380e5…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x50d16d…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x8e4c0a…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x32a9de…
05-05 02:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x7094a9…
05-05 02:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x4b2f93…
05-05 02:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x396d6f…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xdfccd8…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x432b49…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x3cb857…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4c1fb2…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x599a9e…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xd30b4e…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x846961…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x956db3…
05-05 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x51e1b7…
05-05 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x072bce…
05-05 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x6068ff…
05-05 01:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb6a92d…
05-05 01:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf79b11…
05-05 01:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x65c618…
05-05 01:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xafc8eb…
05-05 01:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x36ae39…
05-05 01:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdfc05a…
05-05 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x28b3b8…
05-05 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x4f65f4…
05-05 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x9b835c…
05-05 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x5571ef…
05-05 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x08748e…
05-05 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x7fc724…
05-05 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb9d9e2…
05-05 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc3ff8b…
05-05 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0xd8890f…
05-05 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x4072ce…
05-05 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbdfb64…
05-05 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0xfd42cd…
05-05 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x63d2c1…
05-05 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xfc30d0…
05-05 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0f01bb…
05-05 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x28ad78…
05-05 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x012e09…
05-05 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x39741d…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xf7369d…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xc48b11…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0x812a5e…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x1e4fdf…
05-05 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x5cd473…
05-05 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x445fc1…
05-05 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0x58009d…
05-05 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xb39a40…
05-05 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x534623…
05-05 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7ee9f9…
05-05 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xe982b5…
05-05 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x0a22aa…
05-05 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xcbc826…
05-05 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf4f552…
05-05 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x6e09a5…
05-05 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x31b7dd…
05-05 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xc5cc80…
05-05 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x181e1f…
05-05 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xcd6e18…
05-05 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x673f41…
05-05 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x783c6f…
05-05 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x0248fc…
05-05 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xd3d1d1…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9f6f62…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x37b75f…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x63769d…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf437bc…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x18c7d2…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x1dc4ba…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2f4e1b…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f5ab6…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb049b0…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7a1c79…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	39	$4.69K	157	05-05 22:20
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	34	$3.22K	256	05-05 22:15
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	33	$2.49K	189	05-05 22:15
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	32	$5.28K	132	05-05 22:15
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	29	$1.09K	66	05-05 22:15
Fast-Believer 0x47d7…9935	29	$527	105	05-05 22:20
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	28	$3.26K	582	05-05 22:20
Unselfish-Condominium 0x1f19…f57a	27	$2.24K	120	05-05 20:39