Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

470

Trades

7,108

lifetime

Volume

$2.32M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$327

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 04-28 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Politics

72% 87% +$10,589

Other

24% 66% -$2,410

Crypto

2% 97% -$542

Sports

1% 74% -$223

Tech

1% 67% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	313	$219.9K	123,576	99,894	+23,682	No	+$493	01-07 20:52
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	382	$197.5K	109,228	93,771	+15,458	No	+$363	01-16 00:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	379	$176.3K	204,143	152,588	+51,555	Yes	+$2,966	02-27 10:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	313	$122.6K	104,286	97,919	+6,366	No	-$4,174	02-01 00:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	405	$107.3K	79,743	65,180	+14,563	No	+$2,831	01-15 03:10
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	354	$96.2K	69,882	56,572	+13,310	Yes	+$2,558	01-29 01:30
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	251	$87.0K	62,338	61,785	+553	No	+$42	02-13 05:42
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	88	$77.8K	39,500	39,253	+247	No	+$32	02-14 22:37
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	452	$76.5K	78,755	81,412	-2,657	No	+$1,595	01-15 14:49
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	112	$72.8K	78,873	68,221	+10,652	Yes	+$5,000	02-27 09:32
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	110	$70.8K	36,815	35,298	+1,516	No	+$67	02-10 03:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	41	$59.6K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$40	03-05 17:40
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	267	$48.1K	67,412	88,056	-20,644	No	+$1,447	01-16 12:28
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	38	$47.6K	24,020	24,020	+0	No	+$8	02-12 16:08
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	122	$43.4K	29,766	35,766	-6,000	No	-$393	02-18 15:50
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	48	$43.1K	22,467	20,914	+1,553	No	+$11	02-09 03:55
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	85	$41.6K	20,744	21,691	-947	No	+$4	02-05 15:34
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	39	$41.2K	25,000	17,023	+7,977	No	+$273	02-24 02:52
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	35	$40.2K	21,085	20,057	+1,029	No	-$11	01-10 14:46
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	15	$39.7K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$10	01-18 23:12
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	122	$37.9K	34,091	29,997	+4,094	No	+$96	01-15 03:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	77	$35.6K	23,754	25,608	-1,855	Yes	+$892	02-24 15:53
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	50	$25.8K	13,000	13,000	+0	No	+$3	02-10 17:19
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	137	$24.0K	67,511	70,544	-3,033	No	-$436	01-06 16:36
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	16	$23.9K	63,000	63,000	+0	Yes	+$0	01-28 03:13
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	4	$23.1K	15,026	8,231	+6,795	No	+$15	02-16 03:40
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	61	$21.5K	21,000	20,995	+5	Yes	+$10	02-28 05:51
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	21	$19.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$10	02-16 18:19
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	32	$19.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$0	01-20 12:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	63	$18.2K	29,509	9,815	+19,695	No	-$2,737	03-11 03:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 14:43:06	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	473	4¢	$18	0x6cdb08…
04-28 14:35:02	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	SELL	1,594	99¢	$1,583	0x487e5c…
04-28 14:26:54	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0x715779…
04-28 14:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0x8826e5…
04-28 14:24:08	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	4¢	$5	0x718f6f…
04-28 14:23:38	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	295	1¢	$3	0x87e011…
04-28 14:23:18	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	8¢	$231	0x702d48…
04-28 14:12:06	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	295	1¢	$3	0x4e32bd…
04-28 14:10:06	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$23	0x424a7e…
04-28 14:09:38	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	SELL	806	99¢	$800	0xebea3c…
04-28 14:08:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	8¢	$234	0xd02f3e…
04-28 14:01:54	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	SELL	600	99¢	$596	0x7d69b8…
04-28 13:57:08	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	135	25¢	$34	0x026ac6…
04-28 13:56:40	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0x417a9f…
04-28 13:56:38	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0x52a0ff…
04-28 13:56:38	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2df9e5…
04-28 13:56:20	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,967	0x4f4b2d…
04-28 13:55:30	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,970	0xdc640c…
04-28 13:42:14	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,976	0x4177a5…
04-28 13:41:52	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,976	0x2fcfe3…
04-28 13:40:32	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,538	0¢	$3	0x848c12…
04-28 13:39:46	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,388	0¢	$3	0xcc996d…
04-28 13:36:20	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x4c59d1…
04-28 13:36:02	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x002231…
04-28 13:35:34	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x0ab811…
04-28 13:34:56	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x8c30c1…
04-28 13:34:54	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3,000	94¢	$2,814	0xa7b51e…
04-28 13:34:14	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,814	0x8bf258…
04-28 13:22:40	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	984	25¢	$246	0x1e804b…
04-28 13:22:08	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	984	25¢	$246	0x6fdfc4…
04-28 13:13:04	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,979	0xb70c0e…
04-28 12:50:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	9¢	$88	0x4aa3f7…
04-28 12:50:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,000	17¢	$340	0x6fa9fa…
04-28 12:50:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$88	0xe71d03…
04-28 12:47:44	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	17¢	$342	0x6b0c04…
04-25 03:59:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x1abe6c…
04-10 06:50:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	57,990	0¢	$232	0xce1ef6…
04-10 06:45:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	538	0¢	$2	0x4bbd03…
04-10 06:43:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	706	0¢	$3	0xd3c165…
04-10 06:41:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x844e50…
04-10 06:34:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	330	0¢	$1	0xe7f339…
04-10 06:32:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	715	0¢	$3	0x1aa6e0…
04-10 06:21:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	330	0¢	$1	0xdfd73b…
04-10 06:16:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	218	0¢	$1	0xe5360f…
04-10 06:14:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	234	0¢	$1	0xa2e37b…
04-10 06:12:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x8f1b9e…
04-10 06:09:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0xf6773f…
04-10 06:09:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	308	0¢	$1	0x3d301e…
04-10 06:00:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$1	0x7216bc…
04-10 05:54:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe1fbbd…
04-10 05:29:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	170	0¢	$1	0xe8acf4…
04-10 05:14:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x4b1509…
04-10 05:10:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	237	0¢	$1	0x436923…
04-10 04:59:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,009	0¢	$8	0x24c736…
04-10 04:41:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	276	0¢	$1	0x30084b…
04-10 04:32:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x443d22…
04-10 04:16:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	188	0¢	$1	0x81a7a1…
04-10 04:15:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,005	0¢	$8	0xbf6061…
04-10 04:06:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x99da2f…
04-10 04:04:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	240	0¢	$1	0x708767…
04-10 03:38:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,126	0¢	$9	0x949369…
04-10 03:21:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	286	0¢	$1	0x741b0d…
04-10 02:59:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	155	0¢	$1	0x042dca…
04-10 02:56:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7e2e60…
04-10 02:55:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xdd26ed…
04-10 02:55:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x30004c…
04-10 02:55:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xcd62e1…
04-10 02:55:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3f9a93…
04-10 02:55:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8170db…
04-10 02:55:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xdfc094…
04-10 02:55:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3bec62…
04-10 02:55:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9aa4db…
04-10 02:55:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0756c0…
04-10 02:55:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf75ecf…
04-10 02:55:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xca5d19…
04-10 02:55:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1dae89…
04-10 02:55:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x55cd4f…
04-10 02:55:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaf4873…
04-10 02:55:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe8346e…
04-10 02:55:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xca4eff…
04-10 02:54:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xec3606…
04-10 02:54:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x88f651…
04-10 02:54:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x722ea4…
04-10 02:54:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf54181…
04-10 02:54:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb69b72…
04-10 02:54:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6332f6…
04-10 02:54:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x84261c…
04-10 02:54:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbbd131…
04-10 02:54:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1aa15f…
04-10 02:54:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3f28ee…
04-10 02:54:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6f4151…
04-10 02:54:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf49889…
04-10 02:54:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb82e66…
04-10 02:54:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc086f7…
04-10 02:54:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8558c7…
04-10 02:54:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa20595…
04-10 02:54:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x68a3ac…
04-10 02:53:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf3dd7d…
04-10 02:53:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x409be5…
04-10 02:53:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa23eb2…