Excitable-Raid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$148

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$41	0	48	-48	Up	$-7	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$21	0	115	-115	Up	+$4	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	05-05 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	05-05 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	Down	$-15	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$12	0	18	-18	Up	+$12	05-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-05 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$9	0	20	-20	Up	$-11	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-04 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$0	0	56	-56	Up	+$0	05-04 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 12:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x02ea15…
05-05 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xde67e8…
05-05 12:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x41b83f…
05-05 11:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb1b67e…
05-05 02:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x27fb10…
05-05 01:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0x244911…
05-05 01:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	99	5¢	$5	0x4ff480…
05-05 00:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0xd99ff4…
05-04 23:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xf28034…
05-04 22:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xd6efa7…
05-04 21:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	48	85¢	$41	0x9d5e15…
05-04 21:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x74bc80…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$2.50K	58	05-05 12:36
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	8	$516	37	05-05 12:35
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$546	19	05-05 12:36
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	7	$523	38	05-05 12:35
Minor-Ale 0x6021…8ca2	3	$2.12K	6	05-05 12:36