Worthwhile-Ornament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

19.8%

Resolved

Trades

398

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-10 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

59% 27% $-53

Crypto

29% — —

Politics

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+37	$15	38¢	$14	$-1	06-08 21:15
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+8	$1	11¢	$1	$-0	06-08 21:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776582000	3	$744	374	374	+0	open	—	04-19 07:05
btc updown 5m 1776532800	3	$710	365	364	+1	open	—	04-18 17:25
btc updown 5m 1776790200	2	$611	315	314	+1	open	—	04-21 16:56
spx up or down on april 7 2026	7	$589	414	414	+0	open	—	04-07 20:02
spx up or down on april 16 2026	4	$511	294	291	+3	open	—	04-16 20:05
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	6	$421	441	0	+441	open	—	04-01 20:20
spx up or down on april 13 2026	2	$348	188	188	+0	open	—	04-13 20:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$312	383	383	+0	open	—	03-30 18:29
msft up or down on april 17 2026	5	$287	153	153	+1	open	—	04-17 20:08
spx up or down on april 1 2026	3	$256	130	130	+0	open	—	04-01 19:34
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	2	$235	137	136	+1	open	—	04-14 21:02
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$227	118	118	+0	open	—	03-29 17:55
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	2	$214	114	114	+0	open	—	06-02 20:31
btc updown 5m 1776582600	4	$211	147	144	+3	open	—	04-19 07:14
btc updown 5m 1776690900	3	$210	113	112	+1	open	—	04-20 13:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$209	112	106	+6	open	—	04-13 04:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$205	108	108	+0	open	—	03-29 06:10
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	03-30 07:09
btc updown 5m 1776459900	2	$204	128	125	+3	open	—	04-17 21:10
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 18:26
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$180	243	131	+113	open	—	04-12 19:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	3	$176	157	157	+0	Up	$-36	05-13 13:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	4	$175	104	94	+10	open	—	05-27 20:02
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	5	$169	97	97	+0	open	—	04-29 20:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$152	138	138	+0	open	—	04-01 13:45
spx up or down on april 14 2026	2	$152	100	98	+2	open	—	04-14 16:34
btc updown 5m 1776624000	4	$142	97	95	+3	open	—	04-19 18:43
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$125	70	70	+0	open	—	05-12 18:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	4	$109	90	51	+39	open	—	05-27 10:20
Will Google say "Dividend" during earnings call?	6	$105	64	64	+0	open	—	04-29 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:53:25	will ai be said 50 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260605165706064	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xfe9aa9…
06-09 18:21:18	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb0db56…
06-09 18:20:04	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x465c33…
06-08 21:16:51	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9ea7d8…
06-08 21:15:45	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd7ad2c…
06-02 20:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xb66601…
06-02 20:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf691cc…
06-02 20:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3c4846…
06-02 20:31:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x282077…
06-02 16:59:21	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa5bbe0…
06-02 16:56:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x03d288…
06-02 11:53:25	will claude code commits hit low 450pt0k by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x04677b…
05-27 20:04:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x01b2e4…
05-27 20:04:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xe48443…
05-27 20:02:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x926a75…
05-27 19:55:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x23f066…
05-27 19:54:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1419be…
05-27 19:52:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0xfd0560…
05-27 10:20:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x7934d5…
05-26 17:45:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xbc3049…
05-26 15:02:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x00859f…
05-26 15:01:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xaa36c5…
05-24 12:46:57	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb072ba…
05-24 07:39:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x6ed9ea…
05-24 07:34:34	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x15d498…
05-23 05:46:19	Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in May?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x430923…
05-21 20:40:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x759479…
05-21 18:26:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x5f87cb…
05-21 18:25:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x80a3e1…
05-21 18:23:11	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xa18182…
05-21 06:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5576af…
05-20 18:17:13	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x06b2fd…
05-20 18:09:35	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x97398a…
05-20 06:26:56	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x5131c0…
05-19 12:02:34	Will NVIDIA say "Gigascale" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2a4cdc…
05-19 11:59:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x4615b3…
05-19 07:29:44	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xfa458f…
05-19 07:29:37	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x09e88a…
05-19 07:17:31	Will NVIDIA say "Gigascale" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x457023…
05-19 07:17:05	Will NVIDIA say "Gigascale" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7fdb9f…
05-19 07:16:00	Will NVIDIA say "Circular" during their next earnings call?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe57372…
05-19 07:14:24	Will NVIDIA say "AI" 30+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x79436c…
05-19 07:13:33	Will NVIDIA say "Anthropic" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x4fb1ed…
05-19 07:11:09	Will NVIDIA say "Silicon" or "Semiconductor" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x078f6c…
05-19 07:10:40	Will NVIDIA say "Superintelligence" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x85406e…
05-19 07:10:26	Will NVIDIA say "Gigascale" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x908164…
05-18 21:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf11644…
05-18 20:38:02	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	SELL	54	90¢	$49	0x22058e…
05-18 20:37:53	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x93779a…
05-16 17:37:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x97d184…
05-14 20:40:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbb777e…
05-14 20:38:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x05d2f4…
05-14 18:14:21	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7f53d3…
05-14 17:48:08	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x122b16…
05-14 07:37:51	Will Trump say "Nixon" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x262c59…
05-14 07:28:57	Will "Hollywood" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaf43ce…
05-14 07:27:03	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x006a7d…
05-14 07:26:07	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd1d6fa…
05-13 18:00:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x674ffc…
05-13 18:00:04	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	71	36¢	$26	0x7692eb…
05-13 17:59:33	Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x86f6e6…
05-13 13:49:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa83ad2…
05-13 13:17:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0xc36fa4…
05-13 13:17:11	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xa3716e…
05-13 12:54:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	118	28¢	$33	0xff8e3d…
05-13 12:31:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	157	68¢	$106	0x90f942…
05-12 18:25:29	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7154c6…
05-12 18:25:22	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x94cef4…
05-12 18:19:11	Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x815421…
05-12 18:17:42	Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in May?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x254941…
05-12 18:15:40	Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7c2494…
05-12 18:15:24	Will "AI" be said 20+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x346685…
05-12 18:09:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0xc222b0…
05-12 14:15:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x11fb6e…
05-12 14:15:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xcb720d…
05-12 09:25:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x863415…
05-12 09:09:22	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd80846…
05-12 09:09:13	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1da490…
05-12 09:08:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0x5b6723…
05-10 05:48:07	Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x41d31a…
05-10 05:25:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xfe5ba5…
05-04 19:23:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x3172ff…
05-04 07:17:24	Will Emma Chamberlain be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x088431…
05-04 07:16:56	Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x1814dc…
05-04 07:16:50	Will Kendall Jenner be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x5a11c9…
05-04 03:50:34	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x2cb31c…
05-02 15:41:30	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x497780…
05-02 15:41:18	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xc452da…
05-02 15:37:30	Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa935c4…
05-02 15:36:10	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf36b77…
04-29 20:48:18	Will Google say "Cutting-edge" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc7868e…
04-29 20:46:32	Will Google say "Cutting-edge" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xabc545…
04-29 20:43:54	Will Google say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	64	84¢	$54	0x55ee2f…
04-29 20:18:08	Will Google say "Cutting-edge" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xdb8023…
04-29 20:17:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0x63532b…
04-29 19:42:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x7b71dc…
04-29 19:37:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x028654…
04-29 19:31:04	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa74264…
04-29 19:23:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x048cd2…
04-29 19:23:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3ff612…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	80	$10.8M	14,837	06-08 23:40
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	76	$27.6K	3,182	06-08 20:48
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	72	$390.0K	27,816	05-31 17:25
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	71	$170.1K	13,182	05-31 21:33
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	69	$6.20K	558	06-01 12:00
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	68	$28.8K	6,173	05-08 11:52
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	63	$542.8K	9,311	06-08 07:35
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	58	$329.7K	1,142	06-02 20:36