Assured-Piglet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$29.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$292

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 09-11 06:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$71

Other

0% 77% -$2

Politics

0% 56% -$7

Tech

0% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		-5	-$5	98¢	$-5	+$0	09-11 06:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	48	$20.8K	11,455	9,502	+1,953	Yes	+$59	04-16 15:13
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	3	$7.0K	3,520	3,520	+0	Yes	+$7	04-16 08:29
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	6	$1.7K	874	874	+0	Yes	+$3	04-17 09:12
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	2	$15	11	11	+0	No	-$3	02-06 21:12
bitcoin above 68k on april 17	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	04-16 18:45
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	3	$13	8	7	+2	No	+$1	03-31 09:43
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	03-08 04:32
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	04-17 19:45
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	03-06 03:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	1	$7	0	7	-7	Yes	$0	06-03 02:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 26	2	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$1	03-26 11:27
will trump say maduro during the state of the union address 456	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	02-23 10:37
will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 5	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-05 09:41
will trump say bidens war this week february 8	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-09 04:09
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	09-11 06:22
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	03-17 19:01
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-11 21:31
will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	02-24 11:05
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-27 07:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	-$4	03-01 02:35
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-13 03:11
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	02-01 08:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	-$4	04-19 18:57
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 19	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-18 16:56
will ethereum dip to 2000 on march 13	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-13 14:53
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on march 9	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-09 08:06
will ethereum reach 2250 on march 20	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$1	03-20 07:24
ethereum above 2300 on march 26	2	$4	3	1	+3	No	+$0	03-26 02:20
highest temperature in atlanta on march 6 2026 78 79f	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	03-06 03:25
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$3	4	1	+3	Yes	+$1	03-15 07:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 06:22:01	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0a50fc…
06-03 02:51:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5235d9…
05-14 20:21:01	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7b82ce…
05-13 03:11:43	Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd90948…
04-19 18:57:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8f4bb1…
04-17 19:45:44	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x44f89b…
04-17 09:12:56	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	SELL	874	100¢	$873	0x06a743…
04-17 05:58:26	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	364	100¢	$363	0x51bf7a…
04-17 05:48:04	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x388951…
04-17 05:44:08	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd9b7c7…
04-17 05:41:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6eb2d1…
04-17 05:40:46	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xd285cf…
04-16 18:45:40	bitcoin above 68k on april 17	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc00dac…
04-16 15:13:44	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x911ee9…
04-16 14:54:58	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	821	100¢	$819	0xe83453…
04-16 14:54:40	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8621af…
04-16 14:51:28	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x882a1b…
04-16 14:46:04	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0xde19b7…
04-16 14:45:48	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfd941f…
04-16 13:39:12	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	276	100¢	$275	0x823b34…
04-16 13:39:12	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	724	100¢	$722	0x0f6ef7…
04-16 13:37:50	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	800	100¢	$798	0xfd59e3…
04-16 13:34:06	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xbbf04f…
04-16 13:30:58	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	1,958	100¢	$1,952	0xa52815…
04-16 13:20:42	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x4914b7…
04-16 13:20:38	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xdd1060…
04-16 13:20:20	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0xe4a174…
04-16 13:20:20	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	1,335	100¢	$1,332	0x828632…
04-16 12:50:40	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x197f63…
04-16 12:49:46	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	1,775	100¢	$1,770	0x791de4…
04-16 12:15:24	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	490	100¢	$489	0xeb7db5…
04-16 12:15:16	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	458	100¢	$457	0x847ccf…
04-16 12:15:16	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x792ab5…
04-16 12:15:14	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0xc010b0…
04-16 12:15:06	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	261	100¢	$260	0x31acaa…
04-16 12:14:56	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0x3b7eb6…
04-16 12:14:56	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x0ea4c3…
04-16 12:14:48	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x661aa3…
04-16 12:14:46	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x5e3d8b…
04-16 12:14:38	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	511	100¢	$509	0xd51ffd…
04-16 12:14:38	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	520	100¢	$518	0x6f3117…
04-16 12:14:28	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x98cb07…
04-16 12:14:26	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x950fee…
04-16 12:05:00	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0xc74e39…
04-16 12:01:16	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3e893b…
04-16 11:59:58	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	446	99¢	$443	0xe35d5b…
04-16 11:59:04	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x318f02…
04-16 10:05:04	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	800	98¢	$788	0x43d6ef…
04-16 10:00:38	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x056ba2…
04-16 09:52:40	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x491796…
04-16 09:51:26	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x1c9f65…
04-16 09:31:52	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0xa0b7e5…
04-16 09:10:24	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	438	99¢	$432	0x99d7b3…
04-16 09:00:42	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x39ae72…
04-16 08:43:22	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x2312d0…
04-16 08:33:58	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	108	99¢	$106	0x44cece…
04-16 08:29:24	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	SELL	3,520	100¢	$3,516	0xec618b…
04-16 07:55:56	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x522953…
04-16 07:18:18	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x378f23…
04-16 07:03:52	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	600	99¢	$596	0x8b100e…
04-16 06:51:44	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	600	99¢	$595	0xdc2cee…
04-16 04:40:52	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,184	0x3e92cd…
04-16 02:21:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,662	0xc28328…
04-16 01:32:22	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	1,853	100¢	$1,848	0x60378a…
04-07 06:54:33	will trump praise allah again by april 15	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa5f758…
04-06 21:10:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xef99a0…
04-05 09:41:05	will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 5	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xfa692a…
03-31 09:43:19	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x17a768…
03-29 17:44:10	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x84f188…
03-26 11:27:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 26	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x06a4ab…
03-26 11:25:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 26	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x08fbe5…
03-26 02:20:43	ethereum above 2300 on march 26	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x342516…
03-25 04:28:03	ethereum above 2300 on march 26	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x54afaf…
03-23 22:05:47	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x691765…
03-20 07:24:51	will ethereum reach 2250 on march 20	No	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x50a67d…
03-19 22:48:03	Will the Rolex Index hit $13,150 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x74ffd0…
03-18 16:56:25	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 19	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3c28fa…
03-17 19:01:55	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4a05a5…
03-16 18:51:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x96e44a…
03-15 07:54:03	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$0	0x771863…
03-14 05:16:19	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x46fba1…
03-13 14:53:51	will ethereum dip to 2000 on march 13	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x584be9…
03-11 21:31:37	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x95bf90…
03-09 08:06:03	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on march 9	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x298b7b…
03-08 04:32:33	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x0b227a…
03-06 03:28:17	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x7f6bc5…
03-06 03:25:43	highest temperature in atlanta on march 6 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xc8ebe6…
03-03 11:02:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x59a4e2…
03-01 02:35:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xecafb5…
02-27 07:15:05	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x6ed2b0…
02-26 16:14:18	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x1f5d14…
02-24 11:05:28	will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x96e53d…
02-23 10:37:34	will trump say maduro during the state of the union address 456	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xe1e8fa…
02-19 23:03:38	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbfbccb…
02-19 22:03:02	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x40838c…
02-17 21:30:13	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9064f5…
02-15 12:32:15	will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0a9991…
02-09 04:09:55	will trump say bidens war this week february 8	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xee2722…
02-08 13:10:35	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x959a31…
02-06 21:12:39	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x8752fb…