Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$302

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

108

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$120

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-18 21:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

48% 56% -$177

Sports

38% 79% +$76

Politics

13% 69% -$202

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+172	$109	70¢	$120	+$11	10-18 21:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$1.1K	634	634	+0	No	+$187	04-17 13:16
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$480	600	0	+600	No	-$480	04-17 13:19
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens team pursuit usa	1	$477	538	0	+538	No	+$61	02-17 15:32
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$393	419	316	+103	Yes	-$208	03-29 16:13
rusixnat sco eng 2026 02 14 sco	2	$340	419	0	+419	Yes	+$79	02-14 18:15
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 luge womens singles julia taubitz ger	2	$309	311	0	+311	Yes	+$2	02-10 18:11
rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 ita	2	$303	437	0	+437	Yes	+$134	03-07 18:31
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 biathlon mens 15km mass start johannes dale skjevdal nor	2	$260	263	0	+263	Yes	+$3	02-20 13:46
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 alpine mens slalom atle lie mcgrath nor	1	$247	255	0	+255	No	+$8	02-16 13:32
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 skeleton mens matt weston gbr	1	$235	235	0	+235	Yes	+$0	02-13 20:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$225	698	0	+698	Yes	-$225	03-07 00:58
will levante win sanremo 2026	2	$210	218	0	+218	No	+$8	02-24 23:49
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 28 2026 519	1	$199	204	0	+204	Yes	+$5	03-28 12:49
lal ala gir 2026 02 23 draw	1	$191	195	0	+195	Yes	+$4	02-23 21:59
italy nordio reform referendum passes	1	$189	304	0	+304	No	+$115	03-09 20:20
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating st womens 500m chiara betti ita	1	$188	190	0	+190	No	+$2	02-12 19:32
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	4	$182	244	99	+146	No	+$1	03-31 05:49
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating st mens 500m steven dubois can	1	$181	186	0	+186	Yes	+$5	02-18 20:38
atp fonseca diallo 2026 04 06	2	$167	88	87	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$8	04-06 18:52
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens team pursuit netherlands	1	$166	168	0	+168	No	+$2	02-17 13:33
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating st womens 1000m courtney sarault can	1	$165	167	0	+167	No	+$2	02-16 11:50
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 1000m damien zurek pol	1	$164	164	0	+164	No	+$0	02-11 18:40
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$156	181	0	+181	No	+$25	03-30 20:54
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	1	$149	153	0	+153	Yes	+$3	04-01 07:33
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	1	$149	153	0	+153	Yes	+$4	04-01 07:32
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 1000m kjeld nuis ned	1	$146	146	0	+146	No	+$0	02-11 18:26
atp lehecka nava 2026 04 06	2	$145	81	81	+1	Jiri Lehecka	+$17	04-06 15:36
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 biathlon mens 15km mass start quentin fillon maillet fra	1	$132	140	0	+140	No	+$8	02-20 13:31
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 biathlon mens 15km mass start emilien jacquelin fra	1	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$1	02-20 13:38
atp rublev borges 2026 04 06	2	$130	73	73	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$16	04-06 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 21:07:53	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	172	63¢	$109	0x4f90df…
09-29 08:45:09	will russia enter mykolaivka by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	111	89¢	$98	0x82408a…
09-25 08:57:44	Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	BUY	204	19¢	$38	0x0e37df…
09-21 10:02:57	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	Yes	BUY	138	86¢	$118	0x86561d…
09-16 18:34:27	Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	97¢	$115	0x998b15…
04-24 01:54:32	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x343ada…
04-19 16:28:32	will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x66a442…
04-19 16:28:18	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$3	0xc35fca…
04-17 16:00:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	6¢	$20	0x0ff8a4…
04-17 13:20:10	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	156	60¢	$94	0x6e552a…
04-17 13:19:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	351	80¢	$281	0xcb88fb…
04-17 13:18:42	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	249	80¢	$199	0xc38b97…
04-17 13:17:54	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	Yes	BUY	82	60¢	$50	0xc9cfbc…
04-17 13:16:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	634	99¢	$630	0x5703e0…
04-17 12:59:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	BUY	55	43¢	$24	0x624fc5…
04-12 03:13:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	302	73¢	$221	0x69f175…
04-10 23:03:29	nba det cha 2026 04 10 total 222pt5	Over	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xe848ce…
04-10 23:02:03	nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	Knicks	BUY	87	71¢	$62	0x3790eb…
04-10 13:52:15	sea rom pis 2026 04 10 rom	Yes	BUY	137	74¢	$101	0x1b46f1…
04-09 22:27:39	nba bos nyk 2026 04 09 total 212pt5	Over	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xe2fe5b…
04-09 22:26:09	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x9562fd…
04-09 16:01:43	atp vachero hurkacz 2026 04 09 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	71	59¢	$42	0x9099a2…
04-09 12:26:13	atp machac sinner 2026 04 09 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xd08750…
04-08 21:30:13	nba por sas 2026 04 08 rebounds donovan clingan 11pt5	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x5039a5…
04-08 21:29:27	nba por sas 2026 04 08 rebounds toumani camara 5pt5	Yes	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x115f0b…
04-08 21:23:45	nba min orl 2026 04 08	Magic	BUY	68	79¢	$54	0xa0361c…
04-08 18:25:09	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	103	53¢	$55	0xa6b2a1…
04-08 14:49:19	atp augeral cilic 2026 04 08	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x831fc2…
04-08 14:48:49	atp moutet ruud 2026 04 08	Corentin Moutet	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xce8494…
04-08 14:47:15	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$6	0x4b9abc…
04-08 11:21:25	atp lehecka tabilo 2026 04 08	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x47ba92…
04-08 11:21:01	atp garin zverev 2026 04 08	Alexander Zverev	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xd7c7f9…
04-08 11:18:29	atp fonseca rinderk 2026 04 07	Joao Fonseca	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x70f034…
04-07 21:26:49	nba dal lac 2026 04 07	Clippers	BUY	58	85¢	$49	0x02458b…
04-07 21:25:33	nba min ind 2026 04 07	Timberwolves	BUY	53	87¢	$46	0x5d824f…
04-07 20:59:25	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	SELL	29	15¢	$4	0x8dbcfc…
04-07 20:59:15	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	No	SELL	55	77¢	$42	0x18c576…
04-07 20:50:15	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	No	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0x2affec…
04-07 20:41:41	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x11e11d…
04-07 14:38:03	atp norrie minaur 2026 04 08	Alex de Minaur	BUY	50	71¢	$35	0x6b642c…
04-07 13:06:25	atp monfils bublik 2026 04 08	Alexander Bublik	BUY	50	69¢	$35	0x44b077…
04-07 13:05:51	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xc19c05…
04-07 13:05:41	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x24f5b6…
04-07 11:11:01	atp alcaraz baez 2026 04 08 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x82e8b8…
04-07 10:56:15	atp hurkacz darderi 2026 04 06	Luciano Darderi	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x82418d…
04-07 03:19:59	nba por den 2026 04 06	Nuggets	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x4a2648…
04-07 02:06:17	nba por den 2026 04 06	Nuggets	BUY	79	59¢	$47	0x59b836…
04-06 18:52:39	atp fonseca diallo 2026 04 06	Joao Fonseca	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x3062ef…
04-06 15:39:05	atp fonseca diallo 2026 04 06	Joao Fonseca	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0x0893e1…
04-06 15:36:47	atp lehecka nava 2026 04 06	Jiri Lehecka	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xf3e992…
04-06 11:08:13	atp baez wawrink 2026 04 06	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x815e3a…
04-06 11:07:21	atp lehecka nava 2026 04 06	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	81	79¢	$64	0x69e677…
04-06 10:59:47	atp rublev borges 2026 04 06	Andrey Rublev	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x32811a…
04-06 06:28:35	atp rublev borges 2026 04 06	Andrey Rublev	BUY	73	78¢	$57	0x2c2412…
04-05 22:15:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	332	67¢	$222	0xb7abc5…
04-05 22:02:41	nba was bkn 2026 04 05 total 228pt5	Under	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x30ed10…
04-05 21:54:45	nba was bkn 2026 04 05 total 226pt5	Under	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xcc3f63…
04-05 21:54:37	nba was bkn 2026 04 05 total 228pt5	Under	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7202e7…
04-05 21:54:31	nba was bkn 2026 04 05 total 227pt5	Under	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb2777a…
04-05 21:53:41	nba was bkn 2026 04 05 total 226pt5	Under	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfde911…
04-05 21:53:23	nba was bkn 2026 04 05 total 224pt5	Under	BUY	56	88¢	$50	0xcab371…
04-05 20:39:05	nba tor bos 2026 04 05	Celtics	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x9d8067…
04-05 20:17:07	sea int rom 2026 04 05 int	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc5848d…
04-05 19:07:33	sea int rom 2026 04 05 int	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x970efd…
04-05 18:33:49	sea int rom 2026 04 05 int	No	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xac61c3…
04-01 07:33:51	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$149	0x6a292e…
04-01 07:33:09	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x9c0a90…
04-01 07:33:01	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x760d8d…
04-01 07:32:31	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$149	0x746d3e…
03-31 15:58:55	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7cd74e…
03-31 15:57:59	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0xb224b5…
03-31 05:49:55	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	85	67¢	$57	0xed54c7…
03-30 20:54:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	181	86¢	$156	0x76cec1…
03-30 09:18:50	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 30 2026 933	Yes	BUY	111	94¢	$104	0x95dc25…
03-29 16:13:26	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xe387b2…
03-29 16:13:12	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x4b1c44…
03-29 16:12:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x718823…
03-29 16:11:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	206	7¢	$14	0x87979d…
03-28 12:49:57	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 28 2026 519	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$199	0xe475b0…
03-28 10:07:45	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	96	29¢	$28	0xdccf5e…
03-27 08:34:29	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 27 2026 182	Yes	BUY	126	89¢	$113	0x8b43c3…
03-25 17:43:29	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 947	Yes	BUY	84	86¢	$72	0x696526…
03-25 17:43:17	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	Yes	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x216257…
03-25 17:42:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	316	29¢	$92	0x0c729b…
03-25 17:41:13	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	Yes	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xc47d96…
03-25 17:40:55	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	99	19¢	$19	0x21ab7e…
03-24 18:35:07	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	83	91¢	$76	0xd83775…
03-16 07:52:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	151	75¢	$113	0x6df98b…
03-15 22:28:59	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	99	83¢	$82	0x338c83…
03-15 22:02:29	atp medvede sinner 2026 03 15	Jannik Sinner	BUY	115	74¢	$85	0x08e896…
03-15 19:20:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	190	89¢	$168	0x314994…
03-15 19:03:25	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	127	89¢	$112	0xc64181…
03-15 17:36:51	sea com rom 2026 03 15 rom	Yes	BUY	96	51¢	$49	0x30fc32…
03-09 20:20:43	italy nordio reform referendum passes	No	BUY	304	62¢	$189	0xc6f97d…
03-07 18:31:15	rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 ita	Yes	BUY	264	96¢	$253	0xa1e97f…
03-07 18:29:29	rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 draw	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x24f0ab…
03-07 18:27:37	rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 eng	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x988be2…
03-07 15:17:09	rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 ita	Yes	BUY	173	29¢	$50	0x024f0b…
03-07 00:58:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	121	3¢	$4	0xbe0ae1…
03-05 08:39:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x688ae3…