Ripe-Testing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

35.6%

Resolved

254

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 08-29 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

85% 33% -$90

Crypto

8% 53% -$10

Politics

5% 33% -$2

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 20% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-200	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$0	08-29 05:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl eve bur 2026 03 03 eve	2	$42	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	02-28 08:49
bun wer hei 2026 02 28 spread home 1pt5	2	$33	50	50	+0	SV Werder Bremen	+$1	02-28 08:49
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	3	$27	16	16	+0	No	$0	03-02 16:51
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	3	$27	16	16	+0	No	-$1	03-02 11:37
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	3	$27	15	15	+0	No	-$1	03-05 22:34
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	02-27 09:53
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 100 119	3	$27	16	16	+0	No	-$1	03-09 21:10
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	3	$26	15	15	+0	No	-$1	03-14 00:28
bitcoin above 70k on march 3	2	$25	15	15	+0	No	-$2	03-02 15:19
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$25	14	14	+0	Yes	-$1	02-27 12:18
epl eve bur 2026 03 03 draw	2	$25	50	50	+0	No	-$1	02-28 08:49
will bitcoin reach 72k february 23 march 1	3	$24	14	14	+0	No	-$2	02-25 16:25
will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	-$2	03-11 12:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	4	$19	11	11	+0	No	-$1	05-06 07:00
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 7 2026 24corbelow	3	$19	11	11	+0	No	-$1	03-07 09:36
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 54forhigher	2	$19	11	11	+0	No	-$1	03-11 05:52
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	4	$18	13	13	+0	No	-$2	04-20 08:17
highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 4c	3	$18	11	11	+0	Yes	-$1	03-07 16:52
2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard winner akshay bhatia win	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	03-07 23:40
crint aus ind 2026 03 06 draw	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	-$3	03-07 16:20
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	2	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	-$1	03-05 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 8?	3	$15	10	5	+5	No	$0	05-08 00:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	$0	03-26 08:22
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 17c	3	$15	12	6	+6	No	+$1	04-15 08:36
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	02-27 12:18
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	2	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$0	02-27 12:18
will the bride opening weekend box office be between 14m and 16m	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	03-05 10:31
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	02-27 12:18
bitcoin above 62k on march 3	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	03-02 00:52
crint zwe zaf 2026 03 01	2	$13	7	7	+0	South Africa	-$1	03-01 11:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 05:46:36	Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x6abeb6…
08-29 05:46:30	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x76cbf4…
05-08 00:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4b8a9b…
05-07 23:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 8?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xac46e7…
05-07 23:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b50aa…
05-07 22:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x4f93cb…
05-07 16:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xee45a4…
05-07 16:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x2f5a0e…
05-07 08:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7d5cf5…
05-06 11:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 6?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x97af65…
05-06 10:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x09d9d2…
05-06 07:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x97b9f8…
05-06 07:00:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x8b1e3d…
05-06 06:02:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x77ec94…
05-06 01:17:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$5	0x8e8687…
05-05 23:13:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x121335…
05-05 21:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0xa84c8f…
05-05 18:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xc2d5c4…
05-05 18:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x4d4758…
05-05 17:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdab936…
05-05 17:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x9d91d1…
05-05 16:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2d1df0…
05-05 16:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6f0c40…
05-05 16:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc0cf1a…
05-01 05:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x083711…
05-01 05:10:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x30c597…
05-01 05:05:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xee304e…
05-01 04:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xfeef06…
05-01 03:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xa953d6…
05-01 01:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x559e5d…
05-01 00:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe1a77…
04-30 23:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x1395b7…
04-30 18:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb409be…
04-27 11:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x779de4…
04-27 11:13:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe0829e…
04-27 10:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x49f140…
04-27 10:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc62770…
04-27 08:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x73c7e6…
04-27 08:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x243d8d…
04-27 08:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf1e9ee…
04-27 04:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1d5e14…
04-27 00:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 27?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x5e7a32…
04-26 10:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 27?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0xcb9565…
04-26 09:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 27?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0cc4c1…
04-26 07:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 26?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x397a86…
04-26 01:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2b80fc…
04-25 23:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa5936b…
04-25 22:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	No	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0xbf21f4…
04-25 22:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?	No	SELL	9	52¢	$4	0x058214…
04-25 21:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4b0f58…
04-25 20:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x332dc4…
04-25 18:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xba47ea…
04-25 18:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x618309…
04-25 18:12:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x542583…
04-25 13:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 25?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x939c71…
04-25 13:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xa4d56a…
04-25 12:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x169cf0…
04-20 20:28:42	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 22c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdde1a4…
04-20 20:21:20	highest temperature in houston on april 21 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x295ea3…
04-20 20:13:40	highest temperature in houston on april 21 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x3e0ed9…
04-20 17:25:12	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 15c	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2a4173…
04-20 17:22:40	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 9c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0xc5dd10…
04-20 17:14:00	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 9c	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0a74ec…
04-20 17:00:24	highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 13c	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x1b123b…
04-20 16:56:24	highest temperature in houston on april 21 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8f39ec…
04-20 16:46:42	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x96071d…
04-20 14:54:54	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 86 87f	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xfcaabe…
04-20 11:09:26	highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 13c	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7826d9…
04-20 10:20:34	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x40afdb…
04-20 09:16:26	highest temperature in warsaw on april 21 2026 12c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x39d04b…
04-20 08:17:28	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x083549…
04-20 08:11:00	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x8aaf1e…
04-20 06:19:32	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x038ce9…
04-20 04:55:28	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xaec770…
04-20 03:54:58	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xce23b8…
04-20 03:31:40	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0d9484…
04-20 03:05:42	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 34corhigher	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd8d058…
04-20 03:00:58	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 86 87f	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x39b164…
04-17 17:26:52	highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa053c0…
04-17 17:03:00	highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x077d3f…
04-17 12:03:18	highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 15corbelow	No	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0xff6b96…
04-17 10:04:04	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 25corbelow	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x71de98…
04-17 09:57:22	highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc07e39…
04-17 09:52:26	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 26c	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xf0dd97…
04-17 09:46:22	highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 20c	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xa2b8db…
04-17 09:06:20	highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 20c	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc8b52b…
04-17 08:36:30	highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 17c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa14360…
04-17 08:10:28	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 26c	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1e3205…
04-17 08:04:56	highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdb40fc…
04-17 07:43:50	highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 15corbelow	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb4d524…
04-16 13:57:08	highest temperature in milan on april 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x634718…
04-16 12:49:44	highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 20c	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x1b75c7…
04-16 04:14:50	highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 20c	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x892ac7…
04-16 04:06:06	highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 20c	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x177fc7…
04-16 03:55:52	highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 20c	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x17bd0a…
04-16 02:39:52	highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 17c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3e9529…
04-15 14:59:26	highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x5fa455…
04-15 11:37:10	highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 19c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb7a712…
04-15 11:13:36	highest temperature in dallas on april 15 2026 82forhigher	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa188e5…
04-15 11:05:14	highest temperature in milan on april 16 2026 22c	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x4f961a…