Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?
open
Total volume
$237
$1,110 in 24h
Trades
63
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$2,361
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 45 | $65 | $135 | $69 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $19 | $17 |
| Median | 4 | — | $19 | $19 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 34 | $63 | $96 | $33 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buzzing-Diffuse 0x3da3…0fdc | Yes | +50 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 07:15 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +49 | $29 | $31 | 4 | 05-05 09:35 |
| Concerned-Chef 0xe9b1…79d7 | No | +45 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 03:05 |
| All-Cranberry 0x8bc9…c353 | Yes | +23 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd36…a832 | Yes | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 02:10 |
| Impure-Flat 0xa045…282a | Yes | +21 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 13:20 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +18 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-05 09:16 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +16 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-05 16:54 |
| Unacceptable-People-Fail 0x1d53…1500 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 18:16 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 09:10 |
| Writhing-Subcomponent-Grandmother 0x0fad…0bea | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 05-05 16:54 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 10:45 |
| Menacing-Foam 0x409c…4379 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 16:42 |
| Flickering-Infection 0xa7fc…8032 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 15:39 |
| Graceful-Doctor-Hellcat 0x1802…9b20 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 09:01 |
| Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:09 |
| Whimsical-Hypothesis 0x436b…1fd6 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 03:27 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 00:09 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 00:09 |
| Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-05 16:52 |
| Dependable-Impropriety 0x25ce…ce26 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 01:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-05 16:52 |
| Pushy-Toga 0x8683…5827 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 12:05 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-05 12:05 |
| Submissive-Booklet-Workout 0xa478…4ccf | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf368…cfb1 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 16:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 16:52 |
| Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:16 |
| Mortified-Frown 0x2dba…5b01 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:16 |
| Disastrous-Forgery 0xedd6…a9a6 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5243…e40e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:16 |
| Fragrant-Guitar 0x87de…c545 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6f…8c1f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:06 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 19:06:32 | Fragrant-Guitar 0x87de…c545 | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x238468… |
| 05-05 18:16:52 | Unacceptable-People-Fail 0x1d53…1500 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x6c92b1… |
| 05-05 16:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xe6f060… |
| 05-05 16:54:54 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x4fc0e9… |
| 05-05 16:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x5005…620c | No | SELL | 29 | 70¢ | $20 | 0xb05aa6… |
| 05-05 16:52:40 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x84ae3c… |
| 05-05 16:52:36 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x4ee3a1… |
| 05-05 16:52:36 | (anonymous) 0xf368…cfb1 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xfd7a87… |
| 05-05 16:52:26 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xb302b0… |
| 05-05 16:42:40 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xb3529e… |
| 05-05 16:42:32 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x36787f… |
| 05-05 16:42:32 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x4bab45… |
| 05-05 16:42:30 | Menacing-Foam 0x409c…4379 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x9ce56b… |
| 05-05 15:39:56 | Flickering-Infection 0xa7fc…8032 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xb65801… |
| 05-05 15:34:52 | Submissive-Booklet-Workout 0xa478…4ccf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xe18ced… |
| 05-05 13:20:24 | Impure-Flat 0xa045…282a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x60b841… |
| 05-05 13:15:28 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xe66cbe… |
| 05-05 12:35:20 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xb8326b… |
| 05-05 12:05:32 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xbdafdf… |
| 05-05 12:05:32 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xe661b5… |
| 05-05 12:05:32 | Pushy-Toga 0x8683…5827 | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xac7a69… |
| 05-05 12:05:30 | All-Cranberry 0x8bc9…c353 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 30¢ | $7 | 0x61649d… |
| 05-05 10:45:22 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x9c53aa… |
| 05-05 10:21:10 | Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x985587… |
| 05-05 09:35:10 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xe4a152… |
| 05-05 09:16:24 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x46d48b… |
| 05-05 09:16:18 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x83bf8c… |
| 05-05 09:16:18 | (anonymous) 0x5243…e40e | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x5e109c… |
| 05-05 09:16:18 | Mortified-Frown 0x2dba…5b01 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x5f890d… |
| 05-05 09:16:18 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x7de2d9… |
| 05-05 09:16:18 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 18 | 71¢ | $12 | 0xdcd0b4… |
| 05-05 09:16:18 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x22d6a0… |
| 05-05 09:16:18 | Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x9894bd… |
| 05-05 09:10:12 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 14 | 71¢ | $10 | 0x9fc476… |
| 05-05 09:06:22 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x9936d4… |
| 05-05 09:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x2188a9… |
| 05-05 09:06:20 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x52ad00… |
| 05-05 09:06:20 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x5425d6… |
| 05-05 09:06:18 | (anonymous) 0xf368…cfb1 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x04544d… |
| 05-05 09:06:18 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x291709… |
| 05-05 09:06:16 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x92c396… |
| 05-05 09:06:16 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xcd5fb3… |
| 05-05 09:06:16 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x664005… |
| 05-05 09:06:14 | (anonymous) 0xba6f…8c1f | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x560d65… |
| 05-05 09:01:10 | Graceful-Doctor-Hellcat 0x1802…9b20 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x82f628… |
| 05-05 08:56:04 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x420090… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 37¢ | $0 | 0xfcc5fe… |
| 05-05 07:15:54 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 34 | 62¢ | $21 | 0x73acdf… |
| 05-05 07:15:06 | Buzzing-Diffuse 0x3da3…0fdc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x437a70… |
| 05-05 07:05:56 | Writhing-Subcomponent-Grandmother 0x0fad…0bea | Yes | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x1a9990… |
| 05-05 03:27:50 | Whimsical-Hypothesis 0x436b…1fd6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x707f47… |
| 05-05 03:15:12 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0x1ac749… |
| 05-05 03:10:38 | Disastrous-Forgery 0xedd6…a9a6 | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x36d02a… |
| 05-05 03:05:18 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 3 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xc32780… |
| 05-05 03:05:02 | Concerned-Chef 0xe9b1…79d7 | No | BUY | 45 | 55¢ | $24 | 0xeca0e3… |
| 05-05 02:25:30 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x9b0076… |
| 05-05 02:10:22 | (anonymous) 0xfd36…a832 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xaa2a3a… |
| 05-05 01:35:06 | Dependable-Impropriety 0x25ce…ce26 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x6241b9… |
| 05-05 01:34:34 | Careful-Outline 0xebcc…c44d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xaa84b5… |
| 05-05 00:09:54 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xfceaee… |
| 05-05 00:09:44 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x5031af… |
| 05-05 00:09:44 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x59d9b0… |
| 05-04 20:09:46 | Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xec3f10… |