Flickering-Infection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$94

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved

350

Trades

372

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$127

1 position

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-26 18:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

65% 22% -$99

Politics

24% 55% +$38

Sports

11% 25% -$32

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+128	$100	99¢	$127	+$27	07-16 15:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$100	128	0	+128	open	—	07-16 15:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	04-04 20:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$25	29	0	+29	No	+$4	05-29 08:13
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 16c	1	$20	26	0	+26	No	+$6	03-30 16:43
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	30	0	+30	No	+$10	05-02 12:27
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	2	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$6	04-02 15:57
fif mon slv1 2026 03 31 slv1	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	03-31 18:49
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	03-31 14:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	+$10	04-02 08:21
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	04-02 08:22
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$10	26	0	+26	No	-$10	03-30 16:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 12 2026 17corbelow	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	04-11 06:59
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 15c	1	$10	18	0	+18	No	+$8	03-30 16:43
Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$6	07-26 18:51
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	2	$9	9	9	+0	No	+$1	05-02 20:36
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 17c	2	$8	6	5	+0	Yes	+$3	04-01 17:10
chi jin sgr 2026 04 05 sgr	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	04-05 13:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$8	30	0	+30	Yes	+$22	04-02 08:22
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	1	$7	10	0	+10	No	-$7	04-16 13:46
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 18 2026 26c	1	$6	8	0	+8	Yes	+$2	04-18 07:54
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$6	744	97	+647	No	+$4	06-02 15:49
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	03-31 14:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	1	$5	25	0	+25	Yes	+$20	04-02 08:23
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 13c	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	03-31 14:52
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	1	$5	20	0	+20	Yes	-$5	07-23 15:52
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	04-22 06:58
chi sha ygb 2026 04 04 sha	2	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	04-04 12:26
fif smr and 2026 03 31 and	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	03-31 12:27
highest temperature in london on april 16 2026 17c	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	04-15 14:35
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 16c	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	04-23 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 18:51:06	Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2a4a0a…
07-26 15:34:03	Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4318d6…
07-26 15:33:51	Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4113d2…
07-23 15:56:42	Will FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb3514c…
07-23 15:56:37	Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8745bd…
07-23 15:52:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x057859…
07-23 15:52:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x1d23d6…
07-16 15:59:53	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xf4700c…
07-16 15:57:23	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc0a2eb…
07-16 15:57:17	will dani olmo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xda1de8…
07-16 15:54:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x0792d6…
06-28 17:53:52	Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xaca6ef…
06-06 18:31:18	Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x162685…
06-06 18:30:58	Will Jelena Ostapenko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x11886d…
06-06 18:30:52	Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x97b664…
06-06 18:30:46	Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x7e7ac8…
06-06 18:30:39	Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x7d5ff4…
06-06 18:30:09	Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe29241…
06-06 18:30:01	Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb89717…
06-06 18:29:49	Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x541cc8…
06-06 18:29:27	Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x31d70f…
06-06 18:29:13	Will Hubert Hurkacz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xdcee2c…
06-02 15:49:19	Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	97	5¢	$5	0xd37462…
06-02 15:47:32	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x446ac5…
06-02 15:47:27	Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x516962…
06-02 15:47:20	Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x25932b…
06-02 15:43:01	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x87fdfa…
05-29 08:13:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x588c1c…
05-25 15:31:07	Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	262	0¢	$1	0x997b01…
05-25 15:31:00	Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0xca097e…
05-25 15:30:53	Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x8390e0…
05-25 15:30:42	Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xe61cb9…
05-25 15:30:30	Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x2298a1…
05-25 15:30:21	Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5e3f31…
05-25 15:29:46	Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	744	0¢	$1	0x088a43…
05-25 15:29:29	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	533	0¢	$1	0xe0b9c0…
05-25 15:29:11	Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x662dbd…
05-25 15:29:01	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x379375…
05-13 03:57:57	Will Espanyol be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x3e06ef…
05-12 19:56:26	Will Osasuna be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x8f2139…
05-12 19:55:49	Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0b01ce…
05-12 15:23:14	Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xcfee37…
05-07 20:10:32	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0be011…
05-07 18:52:17	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xae5c93…
05-05 15:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xd3bdf8…
05-05 15:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb65801…
05-05 15:39:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x485128…
05-04 15:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x9328d9…
05-04 15:31:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd64a7f…
05-04 15:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x15cab4…
05-03 17:57:58	Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x96b73f…
05-03 17:49:36	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8d2c89…
05-03 16:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xed78ae…
05-03 16:14:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcca4a0…
05-02 20:36:02	Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x7bff33…
05-02 20:22:30	Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xcb75b0…
05-02 20:21:58	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe15806…
05-02 16:57:20	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6e3fd9…
05-02 16:56:40	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf0c1be…
05-02 15:33:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb82bf4…
05-02 15:33:02	Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb22017…
05-02 15:32:00	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x56aadd…
05-02 15:22:00	Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1d2591…
05-02 14:53:28	Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcb2deb…
05-02 14:48:22	Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb6a3a2…
05-02 14:48:18	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x374a1b…
05-02 12:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or higher on May 3?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9243b8…
05-02 12:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x6cf684…
05-02 12:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd7cbe5…
05-02 12:27:08	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xf5436a…
05-02 12:26:16	Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc74fbd…
05-02 08:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x82ed4d…
05-01 12:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9976ad…
05-01 12:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf78e46…
04-30 19:32:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7db79d…
04-30 19:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1dbfa7…
04-29 19:45:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf02c85…
04-29 15:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3f17ce…
04-28 15:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb9a2e3…
04-28 15:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb6dead…
04-28 15:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9f6b28…
04-27 15:52:58	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x11288b…
04-27 15:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x03abe0…
04-26 15:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf02ede…
04-26 15:53:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3929cd…
04-26 15:53:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xcb2a3f…
04-26 15:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x984a1c…
04-26 15:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x97e774…
04-26 15:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa5674a…
04-25 14:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8325e4…
04-25 14:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe4b99a…
04-25 14:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x58435b…
04-25 14:05:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe1e285…
04-24 12:31:24	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7d7a93…
04-24 12:24:02	highest temperature in moscow on april 24 2026 7c	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x129057…
04-24 07:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x00f989…
04-24 07:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe7744b…
04-24 07:16:38	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x31e3f3…
04-23 19:28:38	lowest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 7c	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd8db83…
04-23 19:27:36	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x79b366…