Tender-Chalice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$100

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-20 08:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 50% $-0

Politics

20% — —

Other

14% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 11:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 04:30
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-01 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-01 15:40
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 01:56
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$3	249	0	+249	open	—	05-20 08:39
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 15?	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 13:26
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$3	6	5	+1	open	—	05-17 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 00:55
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 12:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 12:03
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-20 06:45
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 04:16
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	129	0	+129	open	—	05-18 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-09 03:03
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 01:56
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-17 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 10:11
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 02:34
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 07:19
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 14:13
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 07:19
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-03 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-01 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-01 08:59
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-14 03:31
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1	16	0	+16	open	—	05-01 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-02 02:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 08:39:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3d5139…
05-20 06:45:41	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x5c761c…
05-18 12:30:12	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc4fd92…
05-18 06:12:43	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa2e8a8…
05-17 22:18:37	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x03d4a2…
05-17 07:27:57	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x41d6d2…
05-16 03:03:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x66d806…
05-16 02:58:03	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x44ad74…
05-15 13:26:38	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41f983…
05-15 13:26:28	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x170d7f…
05-15 07:19:42	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x3e87c3…
05-15 07:19:21	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc3971b…
05-15 02:34:58	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xbd7580…
05-15 01:29:45	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5776ea…
05-15 01:29:45	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x56cb67…
05-15 00:50:51	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xad3478…
05-14 13:45:30	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xadd3da…
05-14 12:03:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x81e5fb…
05-14 03:49:18	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbc2597…
05-14 03:41:48	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4c98fd…
05-14 03:31:22	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x045bc2…
05-14 03:31:08	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xffa413…
05-14 03:30:24	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2832dd…
05-14 03:30:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe78d88…
05-10 01:49:00	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xacefc4…
05-09 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x209fda…
05-09 03:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x204f75…
05-09 03:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4084fe…
05-07 10:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x76c77c…
05-07 10:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf1e446…
05-05 07:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbb4a6c…
05-04 13:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x8836e2…
05-04 10:27:12	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x39d01c…
05-03 11:23:58	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x39fce1…
05-03 05:18:14	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x09e966…
05-03 05:17:16	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xac5c49…
05-03 01:56:30	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xec9062…
05-03 01:56:30	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8d4be7…
05-03 01:03:18	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec636d…
05-03 01:03:16	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5ee135…
05-02 06:27:28	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x475dcc…
05-02 04:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf2b437…
05-02 04:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x33e51a…
05-02 04:16:00	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbeb3c7…
05-02 04:15:06	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f51f0…
05-02 02:47:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5aaaff…
05-02 02:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb02450…
05-02 00:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3ae857…
05-02 00:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9b5c7a…
05-01 15:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb6ee3a…
05-01 15:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x19f743…
05-01 15:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb41ca4…
05-01 15:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2db028…
05-01 15:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1509cb…
05-01 14:13:40	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x60e3a6…
05-01 14:10:36	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x38da02…
05-01 14:00:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8f3a10…
05-01 13:41:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa67f80…
05-01 13:32:36	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x279510…
05-01 13:29:20	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xab9bf8…
05-01 13:28:34	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7ff472…
05-01 13:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1dad4c…
05-01 11:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x8af909…
05-01 11:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9e0ce4…
05-01 10:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x013de4…
05-01 10:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x03ef14…
05-01 10:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9c7e35…
05-01 09:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8fc70b…
05-01 09:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x542cd0…
05-01 08:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3679e3…