Superior-Downturn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-10 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

57% 94% -$8

Crypto

36% 86% +$2

Politics

7% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$531	267	267	+0	No	+$1	01-28 05:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$445	242	242	+0	No	-$25	05-24 16:50
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$305	305	0	+305	No	+$0	05-13 14:38
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 240plus	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	03-15 06:53
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 580plus	1	$288	289	0	+289	No	+$1	03-08 04:52
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$277	279	0	+279	No	+$2	02-08 14:07
will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	1	$260	260	0	+260	No	+$0	01-28 05:30
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	2	$249	132	132	+0	No	+$9	05-24 21:34
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in August?	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	-$1	08-29 08:16
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$235	235	0	+235	No	+$0	07-09 14:01
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	1	$188	188	0	+188	No	+$0	04-11 11:17
ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	06-09 08:07
will bitcoin dip to 82k december 29 january 4	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	01-04 05:49
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 60 79	1	$158	160	0	+160	No	+$2	04-18 05:02
ethereum above 1500 on june 23 2026	1	$155	155	0	+155	Yes	+$0	06-23 15:37
will bitcoin reach 100k december 29 january 4	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	01-04 05:48
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 40 59	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	04-18 05:01
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$116	117	0	+117	No	+$1	05-24 16:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$1	10-10 12:26
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 40 59	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	04-11 11:19
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	08-29 08:20
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 0 39	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$1	04-11 11:17
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	09-02 10:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	07-23 11:46
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	05-13 14:38
Will BNB reach $1,200 in October?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	10-10 12:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-09 14:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 12:28:49	Will BNB reach $1,200 in October?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcdf3f…
10-10 12:26:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x04d2e5…
09-02 10:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x40a963…
08-29 08:20:51	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xfe6789…
08-29 08:16:22	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in August?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0xd1fd1e…
08-02 11:19:11	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xdeb51c…
07-23 11:46:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf7adc8…
07-09 14:03:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x141963…
07-09 14:02:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdd0d42…
07-09 14:01:13	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x2d4bcd…
06-23 15:37:44	ethereum above 1500 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x8762c5…
06-09 08:07:30	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xba6f23…
05-24 21:34:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	132	98¢	$129	0xb6ee48…
05-24 16:53:42	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x428c9f…
05-24 16:51:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	132	91¢	$120	0x4d4a32…
05-24 16:50:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	242	87¢	$210	0x53d3fb…
05-23 10:47:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	242	97¢	$235	0x2c4993…
05-13 14:38:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x5cec03…
05-13 14:38:13	Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0xe9e951…
04-18 05:02:30	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 60 79	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0x8813f5…
04-18 05:01:58	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 40 59	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xfac710…
04-11 11:19:05	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 40 59	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x3dba20…
04-11 11:17:59	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 0 39	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x2d96ff…
04-11 11:17:27	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x1b31b9…
03-15 06:53:35	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 240plus	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xc7ce5f…
03-08 04:52:29	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 580plus	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x2a92b6…
02-08 14:07:05	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	279	99¢	$277	0xa41f08…
01-28 05:30:23	will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x131748…
01-28 05:29:49	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0x7bb984…
01-18 02:02:52	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	267	99¢	$265	0x5ffb82…
01-04 05:49:15	will bitcoin dip to 82k december 29 january 4	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x9a780b…
01-04 05:48:49	will bitcoin reach 100k december 29 january 4	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x205222…