Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$39

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 08-16 01:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

64% 88% -$41

Other

28% 40% -$60

Sports

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+21	$18	88¢	$19	+$1	08-13 02:55
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+14	$11	92¢	$13	+$1	08-16 01:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	+18	$14	44¢	$8	-$6	08-14 20:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$194	154	154	+0	Yes	+$6	02-01 19:06
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$167	87	87	+0	Yes	+$1	01-30 09:10
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	3	$150	76	76	+0	No	+$2	02-25 04:55
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	1	$138	138	0	+138	Yes	+$0	01-30 16:24
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	1	$123	123	0	+123	Yes	+$0	02-08 14:02
will president be said at the super bowl 277	1	$96	96	0	+96	Yes	+$0	02-09 10:45
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$80	87	0	+87	Yes	+$8	01-22 04:46
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$79	80	0	+80	No	+$1	02-14 02:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$67	57	57	+0	Yes	-$16	04-08 13:27
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	1	$54	75	0	+75	Yes	-$54	02-26 06:37
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$49	109	109	+0	No	-$27	02-22 14:55
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$1	02-26 06:38
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$25	71	0	+71	Yes	-$25	01-30 08:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$18	21	0	+21	open	—	08-13 02:55
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	1	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	08-14 20:23
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	03-30 07:49
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	08-16 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 01:45:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0xc90f20…
08-14 20:23:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x72acec…
08-13 02:55:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x70621a…
04-08 13:27:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	57	45¢	$26	0xee9294…
04-06 13:30:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	57	73¢	$42	0xea1ef6…
03-30 07:49:46	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xfe2655…
02-26 06:38:40	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	39	98¢	$39	0x5b843b…
02-26 06:37:06	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	BUY	75	72¢	$54	0x8aa70e…
02-25 04:55:54	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x895ad4…
02-23 12:03:02	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xd506ec…
02-23 12:02:10	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x1215a7…
02-22 14:55:14	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	109	10¢	$11	0x9b31c8…
02-14 02:11:41	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x56334f…
02-09 10:45:17	will president be said at the super bowl 277	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xbf8d68…
02-08 14:02:25	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xf54057…
02-01 20:00:48	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	109	35¢	$38	0xbddfce…
02-01 19:06:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	154	65¢	$100	0x67392d…
02-01 17:52:04	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	154	61¢	$94	0xc35fbb…
01-30 16:24:48	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xdcdf69…
01-30 09:10:14	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	SELL	87	97¢	$84	0xb86d6d…
01-30 08:51:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x535fda…
01-26 10:09:23	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x3ad2dc…
01-22 04:46:58	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	87	91¢	$80	0xa68f8c…