Inexperienced-Outset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

468

Trades

871

lifetime

Volume

$2.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-30 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

44% 55% -$15

Crypto

40% 42% -$26

Sports

11% 53% -$5

Politics

4% 50% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$59	35	35	+0	Up	+$9	05-01 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$57	32	32	+0	Up	+$7	05-01 21:36
Ethereum Up or Down on May 14?	19	$38	50	50	+0	Up	-$1	05-14 05:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	7	$38	30	30	+0	Up	+$18	09-17 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$36	52	13	+39	Down	+$15	05-01 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$36	56	31	+24	Up	+$50	05-01 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$31	156	65	+92	Down	-$19	05-01 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$25	56	0	+56	Up	-$25	05-01 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Down	-$25	05-01 21:41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	6	$20	15	15	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$0	05-16 18:00
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights	2	$18	12	12	+0	Golden Knights	+$5	10-09 04:59
Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5	3	$18	10	10	+0	Under	+$2	10-16 09:58
North Texas vs. Tulsa	2	$16	11	11	+0	North Texas	+$3	10-02 03:32
Patriots vs. Bears	4	$16	10	10	+0	Bears	+$1	10-23 03:17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	4	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$2	10-25 22:26
Rams vs. Broncos	2	$14	8	8	+0	Broncos	+$2	09-28 03:59
Cali: Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia	4	$14	13	13	+0	Matias Soto	-$3	10-20 21:01
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	2	$14	13	13	+0	No	+$4	10-21 20:19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$14	13	13	+0	Yes	+$4	10-20 20:40
Solana Up or Down on May 14?	5	$14	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 05:39
Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	2	$13	13	13	+0	Kamilla Rakhimova	-$7	10-28 04:16
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	5	$13	22	22	+0	Thiago Agustin Tirante	+$1	05-24 12:12
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:25 UTC	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$10	09-15 04:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	5	$12	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 22:07
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	2	$12	7	7	+0	Grizzlies	+$2	10-27 03:30
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	5	$12	20	5	+15	Los Angeles Angels	-$7	05-25 00:39
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	05-31 22:20
Trujillanos FC vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5	4	$11	9	9	+0	Under	+$2	10-11 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	6	$11	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:16:27	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xecfc2b…
10-29 03:54:25	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9643dc…
10-28 19:39:58	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x300c11…
10-28 04:16:26	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Kamilla Rakhimova	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0xf1692d…
10-28 04:07:19	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5028c0…
10-28 04:04:07	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xb467d7…
10-28 04:03:55	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xaf67da…
10-27 18:12:02	Sioux Falls: Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy Cassone	Murphy Cassone	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x10db98…
10-27 12:35:53	Sioux Falls: Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy Cassone	Murphy Cassone	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x32139b…
10-27 12:27:18	Ningbo: Elias Ymer vs Yi Zhou	Elias Ymer	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x2295a4…
10-27 11:41:44	Ningbo: Elias Ymer vs Yi Zhou	Elias Ymer	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x60aff8…
10-27 11:39:20	Spread: Shanghai Port FC (-1.5)	Cong An Ha Noi FC	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x554fae…
10-27 09:23:05	Spread: Shanghai Port FC (-1.5)	Cong An Ha Noi FC	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf67af9…
10-27 09:09:29	Will Borneo Samarinda win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x15d036…
10-27 07:18:51	Will Borneo Samarinda win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdc7ccf…
10-27 05:47:17	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Koki Matsuda	Terence Atmane	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb2b0dd…
10-27 05:44:03	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin	Kaitlin Quevedo	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe199d1…
10-27 05:33:30	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x39bff9…
10-27 05:32:15	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcd6df9…
10-27 04:32:53	Pan Pacific Open: Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa74492…
10-27 04:13:45	Pan Pacific Open: Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xce8a23…
10-27 03:59:56	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xa8a80d…
10-27 03:34:42	Guangzhou Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Magda Linette	Magda Linette	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xfd6630…
10-27 03:30:51	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2c7f70…
10-27 03:06:29	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x76cd4c…
10-27 02:13:33	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd2629f…
10-27 02:09:44	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x82e7bf…
10-27 01:42:00	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4cef07…
10-27 01:40:51	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1fa4a6…
10-27 00:26:48	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5b6207…
10-27 00:22:59	Spread: Rangers (-1.5)	Kings	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8d0898…
10-26 19:54:12	Spread: Rangers (-1.5)	Kings	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xcbdb60…
10-26 19:53:09	Will FC København win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd31373…
10-26 19:12:47	Will FC København win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3f83db…
10-26 17:44:44	Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj	Karl Poling	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x938952…
10-26 17:25:50	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x19e80c…
10-26 16:27:47	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x40b262…
10-26 16:22:36	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x62b3a9…
10-26 15:51:00	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4d273c…
10-26 15:50:32	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Tomas Machac	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd9e962…
10-26 15:42:30	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Tomas Machac	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x566bc7…
10-26 15:39:41	Spread: Al-Ittihad Club (-1.5)	FK Neftchi Fargona	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7a7725…
10-26 06:03:12	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xff516a…
10-26 05:28:44	Spread: Club Tijuana (-3.5)	Club Santos Laguna	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x76c08e…
10-26 05:21:23	Spread: Al-Ittihad Club (-1.5)	FK Neftchi Fargona	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3a113f…
10-26 05:16:57	Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Beibit Zhukayev	Beibit Zhukayev	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x6bda7a…
10-26 05:04:15	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x093e44…
10-26 04:58:23	Spread: Club Tijuana (-3.5)	Club Santos Laguna	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdad6fb…
10-26 04:54:11	Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Beibit Zhukayev	Beibit Zhukayev	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xf55b43…
10-26 04:23:56	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x556a3f…
10-26 04:23:47	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xd75916…
10-26 04:23:39	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x40a0f3…
10-26 03:22:11	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x924dde…
10-26 03:21:12	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Grizzlies	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa5b12b…
10-26 00:51:27	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Grizzlies	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x23c232…
10-26 00:43:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9e6f4d…
10-25 22:27:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6fe084…
10-25 22:26:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf28609…
10-24 23:28:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0b9f43…
10-24 23:21:39	Spread: Hornets (-1.5)	Heat	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x297c87…
10-24 18:27:59	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7ffd42…
10-24 18:27:30	Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0b44ef…
10-24 18:01:00	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd810c0…
10-24 17:56:00	Spread: Hornets (-1.5)	Heat	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1c3ee0…
10-24 17:51:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x28793a…
10-24 02:21:21	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x8ac459…
10-24 01:49:36	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6654fa…
10-24 01:40:47	Will SC Recife win on 2026-10-23?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x31c56c…
10-23 16:54:08	Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x145c6b…
10-23 16:53:38	KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Severstal Cherepovets	Spartak Moscow	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x4480ce…
10-23 12:48:48	KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Severstal Cherepovets	Spartak Moscow	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x77cf21…
10-23 12:46:56	Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Qingdao Eagles	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa093a4…
10-23 04:06:21	Will SC Recife win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2590b2…
10-23 04:03:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x286897…
10-23 03:22:02	Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Qingdao Eagles	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8b4342…
10-23 03:17:11	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x66ae5e…
10-23 02:29:38	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe8aeb5…
10-23 02:27:27	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x415998…
10-23 02:08:36	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5aaacc…
10-23 02:05:53	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	Estudiantes de La Plata	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x4fd23d…
10-22 21:11:14	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	Estudiantes de La Plata	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0d7b17…
10-22 20:56:33	Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb96073…
10-22 20:53:03	Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x492cf4…
10-22 20:41:06	Will NK Celje win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5e8998…
10-21 20:21:23	Will NK Celje win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x894e11…
10-21 20:19:38	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0xf67085…
10-21 20:05:11	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xbe79b2…
10-21 03:24:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8a3606…
10-21 03:24:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe219ef…
10-21 03:24:17	Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)	Kraken	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x017106…
10-20 21:01:51	Cali: Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia	Samuel Heredia	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x999b2c…
10-20 20:52:38	Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)	Kraken	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x12fdd7…
10-20 20:47:56	Cali: Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia	Samuel Heredia	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x91787c…
10-20 20:40:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0xe1d30f…
10-20 20:33:53	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Rodrigo Pacheco	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xba4d43…
10-20 20:26:32	Cali: Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia	Matias Soto	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x3fca0d…
10-20 20:23:36	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Rodrigo Pacheco	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7741bd…
10-20 20:14:17	Cali: Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia	Matias Soto	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xea99a4…
10-20 19:39:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd40c07…
10-17 17:56:53	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xa26a19…