Piercing-Grant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

Trades

703

lifetime

Volume

$1.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-30 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 27% $-54

Other

24% 36% $-0

Sports

14% 100% +$3

Politics

14% 0% $-40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 348 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$148	200	200	+0	Yes	$-40	04-29 11:15
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	3	$144	175	0	+175	open	—	01-30 13:29
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	14	$128	264	185	+79	open	—	04-15 20:47
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	5	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	04-11 19:35
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	4	$79	100	0	+100	open	—	05-30 01:13
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	4	$77	50	175	-125	open	—	01-03 06:26
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$42	45	45	+0	No	+$3	04-29 11:14
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	1	$39	50	0	+50	open	—	01-11 00:01
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$33	200	50	+150	open	—	01-22 10:51
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	1	$33	50	0	+50	open	—	01-22 08:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	03-23 18:29
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	1	$28	0	50	-50	open	—	01-03 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$25	24	23	+1	open	—	05-17 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$13	15	5	+10	Down	$-6	05-13 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$12	16	16	+0	open	—	05-17 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-18 15:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-19 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$10	21	20	+1	open	—	05-17 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 22:50
cilia flores released from custody by january 31 2026	1	$8	100	0	+100	open	—	01-04 18:05
cdr atm rso 2026 04 18 atm	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	04-18 19:20
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 01:13:13	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9223c2…
05-29 16:21:20	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	No	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xcf61f8…
05-29 16:20:50	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	No	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0xb3a8a3…
05-29 16:20:24	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9ac952…
05-19 15:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbbdc88…
05-19 15:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1be0d2…
05-18 17:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xde782e…
05-18 15:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa6d5c3…
05-18 15:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4dd5a7…
05-18 15:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x1a03bc…
05-18 15:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x27a12a…
05-18 15:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe53d80…
05-17 17:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x359b14…
05-17 17:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa595d0…
05-17 17:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x901567…
05-17 17:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3b1db1…
05-17 16:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x290337…
05-17 16:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	23	85¢	$20	0x7eb83a…
05-17 16:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbad95f…
05-13 20:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x430ed4…
05-13 20:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xde4a70…
05-13 20:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xae68a1…
05-13 20:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x3820dd…
05-13 20:09:33	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9594d3…
05-13 20:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xaac2f6…
05-13 20:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x467299…
05-13 20:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x9ab4bd…
05-13 20:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x94cef1…
05-13 20:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc7278b…
05-13 19:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x49b521…
05-13 19:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x77a4d1…
05-13 19:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x979320…
05-13 19:51:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5e3d75…
05-13 19:16:31	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc9e3c2…
05-13 19:16:29	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x69ab9f…
05-13 19:16:28	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xa4b568…
05-13 19:16:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xb88f23…
05-13 19:16:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x8666ed…
05-13 19:16:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd01b19…
05-13 19:10:52	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x155238…
05-13 19:10:29	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xb8ff60…
05-13 18:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xe9beb8…
05-13 18:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xedb19a…
05-13 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xb760c0…
05-13 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x9f91f0…
05-13 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x7073a5…
05-13 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x5f7ee5…
05-13 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x0c3d5d…
05-13 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x06db49…
05-13 18:28:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x49f3d6…
05-13 18:28:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xfb12b8…
05-13 18:28:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xd6b7dc…
05-13 18:28:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x17447c…
05-13 17:56:20	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x6cbf4d…
05-13 17:55:40	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xbc18ff…
05-13 17:55:40	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x711d96…
05-13 17:55:40	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x2aa15c…
05-13 17:55:38	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xbff9f1…
05-13 17:50:32	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xdf1e81…
05-13 17:50:32	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xaba88b…
05-13 17:03:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xa372ec…
05-13 17:00:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xe04603…
05-13 17:00:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x76694d…
05-13 17:00:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xc00af5…
05-13 17:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8580ce…
05-13 17:00:26	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x96cfef…
05-13 17:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x16ea2b…
05-13 17:00:26	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x01b719…
05-13 17:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xe7c62e…
05-13 17:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x443835…
05-13 17:00:17	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x0cfa59…
05-13 16:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x4fa6f5…
05-13 16:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2c8e73…
05-13 16:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xea3836…
05-13 16:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x12f55d…
05-13 16:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x51a96e…
05-13 16:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf7aa57…
05-13 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x8e773d…
05-13 16:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x172c03…
05-13 16:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xd5d656…
05-13 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xcf9532…
05-13 16:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7b3c47…
05-13 16:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x010bcd…
05-13 16:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb895d9…
05-13 16:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xffb0c2…
05-13 16:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4f2c19…
05-13 16:22:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xff462d…
05-13 16:22:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf32044…
05-13 16:22:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x6705e2…
05-13 16:21:33	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xc7a582…
05-13 16:21:33	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x2ad659…
05-13 16:21:24	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x1d7a9d…
05-13 16:21:22	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xf4ee92…
05-13 16:01:29	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x1fa778…
05-13 16:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xe6dd76…
05-13 16:00:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xaf655b…
05-13 16:00:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x53700e…
05-13 16:00:28	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xde1159…
05-13 16:00:28	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xc5bb60…
05-13 16:00:26	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc52f6d…