Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
88.8%
Resolved
11
Trades
757
lifetime
Volume
$3.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$45
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 06-09 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
47% 100% +$8
Crypto
26%
Politics
20% 67% $-2
Tech
5%
Sports
2% 100% +$7
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 06-01 21:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 06-01 12:22
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -6 $-6 92¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 19:09
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-5 86¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 15:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -14 $-6 36¢ $-5 +$0 06-05 02:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +6 $4 80¢ $5 +$0 06-05 04:21
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 06-05 04:36
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 $-0 06-05 06:11
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$0 06-01 21:41
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $-1 94¢ $0 +$1 06-09 17:48
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +0 $2 100¢ $0 $-2 06-05 08:58
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +0 $2 36¢ $0 $-2 06-09 15:51