Splendid-Harald — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.32K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-04 01:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

74% 41% -$3,376

Sports

13% 92% +$1,578

Other

12% 60% -$349

Pop-Culture

1% 25% -$140

Crypto

0% 0% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$2.4K	9,600	0	+9,600	Yes	-$2,400	11-02 21:59
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	13	$1.5K	22,155	12,155	+10,000	Yes	-$1,417	06-08 23:59
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	7	$1.4K	8,800	0	+8,800	No	-$1,440	11-04 01:10
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$1.1K	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	+$2,415	09-25 21:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$950	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$382	05-15 17:02
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?	2	$904	971	0	+971	No	+$67	06-08 03:11
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?	26	$774	3,067	0	+3,067	No	-$774	04-23 17:02
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	7	$728	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$690	06-08 23:58
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	2	$680	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	-$680	07-13 05:01
will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	13	$656	1,557	0	+1,557	No	+$901	04-02 01:05
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$600	999	0	+999	No	+$399	05-14 04:27
will the announcers say powerade during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403325	7	$591	1,054	0	+1,054	Yes	+$463	07-19 18:47
will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	3	$574	741	468	+272	Yes	-$34	07-16 21:59
will trump say maga or make america great again this week december 29 january 4	27	$555	536	536	+0	No	-$126	01-03 23:03
will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	2	$532	700	0	+700	No	-$532	07-28 18:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$494	500	500	+0	Yes	+$267	06-14 22:08
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$438	392	392	+0	Yes	+$158	07-06 21:09
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	7	$422	600	300	+300	No	-$302	07-24 00:36
will the announcers say goat or greatest of all time during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956892	1	$393	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$607	07-19 09:55
will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	3	$392	409	209	+200	No	-$70	07-28 18:37
will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	3	$382	390	390	+0	No	+$0	07-01 02:39
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	1	$356	1,870	0	+1,870	Yes	-$356	06-25 20:42
will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	1	$305	664	0	+664	Yes	+$359	10-14 23:16
will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	2	$288	314	0	+314	Yes	+$26	06-19 16:30
will trump say fentanyl during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	2	$284	400	0	+400	Yes	-$284	10-17 16:05
will trump say socialist during cabinet meeting 20260727172357443	1	$281	500	0	+500	No	+$219	07-31 14:24
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$250	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$750	05-14 04:04
will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	4	$248	1,099	0	+1,099	Yes	-$248	07-31 16:39
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	2	$206	250	0	+250	Yes	+$44	01-12 10:37
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	3	$184	972	0	+972	No	-$184	06-26 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 01:10:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,661	6¢	$160	0x772290…
11-04 01:10:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0x5e3bf1…
11-04 01:10:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x3381de…
11-04 01:10:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	6¢	$27	0xad8fec…
11-04 01:10:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	6¢	$33	0x9c486e…
11-04 01:10:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	6¢	$17	0x67cf8f…
11-02 22:10:40	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,800	25¢	$1,200	0xdd99a4…
11-02 21:59:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8,600	25¢	$2,150	0xf6d6ba…
11-02 21:33:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x5ea0bf…
10-17 16:19:53	will trump say data center during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xc88e1f…
10-17 16:05:39	will trump say fentanyl during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0xe35ea1…
10-17 16:05:05	will trump say data center during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	292	33¢	$97	0xcd873d…
10-17 15:46:00	will trump say fentanyl during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	346	71¢	$245	0x8978f8…
10-14 23:16:06	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	664	46¢	$305	0xb002c9…
10-12 09:41:56	Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	10¢	$18	0x6e98b0…
10-12 09:36:28	Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0fb1e4…
10-10 02:05:32	Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	10¢	$39	0x50657e…
10-09 10:02:46	Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x1010b1…
10-09 10:02:21	Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	712	6¢	$43	0xeea28e…
10-09 10:02:00	Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$73	0xb3b88f…
10-09 09:44:52	Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	21¢	$147	0x9de883…
10-09 05:56:14	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7b2df5…
09-25 21:21:47	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	31¢	$1,085	0x327ef4…
08-07 14:58:37	will trump say bitcoin or crypto or cryptocurrency during friday roundtable 20260805211427295	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc04597…
08-07 14:47:30	will trump say bitcoin or crypto or cryptocurrency during friday roundtable 20260805211427295	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x782cb0…
08-07 14:07:22	will trump say bitcoin or crypto or cryptocurrency during friday roundtable 20260805211427295	Yes	BUY	516	7¢	$34	0x8406e0…
08-07 14:06:45	will trump say bitcoin or crypto or cryptocurrency during friday roundtable 20260805211427295	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x211ddf…
08-05 19:20:53	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0x4bd151…
07-31 16:39:51	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	No	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xc81dbe…
07-31 16:09:17	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	No	BUY	154	42¢	$64	0x460318…
07-31 16:07:18	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	No	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0xfccbdb…
07-31 14:25:50	will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x43abea…
07-31 14:24:48	will trump say socialist during cabinet meeting 20260727172357443	No	BUY	500	56¢	$281	0xafd911…
07-31 14:00:18	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	No	BUY	500	31¢	$157	0xecf8da…
07-28 18:37:53	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x43eeea…
07-28 18:28:46	will trump say security during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556649	No	BUY	82	47¢	$39	0x062758…
07-28 18:26:56	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x59e335…
07-28 18:00:23	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x08f896…
07-28 17:58:10	will trump say democrat during tribute to lindsey graham 20260728013130949	Yes	BUY	136	68¢	$93	0x9d2c5e…
07-28 17:04:38	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0x9b9eb2…
07-28 14:08:10	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	Yes	SELL	209	77¢	$161	0x69df2a…
07-28 12:29:52	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	Yes	BUY	209	77¢	$161	0xca812c…
07-25 00:40:36	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x093712…
07-24 23:58:25	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	No	BUY	50	59¢	$29	0xcd2a4e…
07-24 00:36:06	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xac9532…
07-24 00:35:51	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	234	20¢	$47	0xcccb3c…
07-24 00:35:16	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xe2eaef…
07-24 00:35:00	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x5c78fc…
07-24 00:34:51	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	31	20¢	$6	0x935ac1…
07-23 23:36:04	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$181	0x2e0da9…
07-23 23:28:28	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$181	0xd79027…
07-19 18:47:09	will the announcers say powerade during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403325	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x91b43f…
07-19 18:34:07	will the announcers say powerade during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403325	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x79b9c7…
07-19 18:24:27	will the announcers say powerade during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403325	Yes	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0x0ae5c2…
07-19 16:40:04	will the announcers say powerade during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403325	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$113	0xff0a8d…
07-19 10:16:54	will the announcers say powerade during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403325	Yes	BUY	156	54¢	$85	0xc0a6c6…
07-19 09:55:42	will the announcers say goat or greatest of all time during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956892	No	BUY	1,000	39¢	$393	0x56d43b…
07-19 09:55:12	will the announcers say powerade during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403325	Yes	BUY	220	56¢	$123	0xa0784c…
07-19 09:54:48	will the announcers say powerade during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403325	Yes	BUY	270	53¢	$143	0x9e8076…
07-18 05:02:46	Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	Yes	BUY	101	91¢	$92	0xaca202…
07-18 05:02:19	Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0xf70a61…
07-16 23:08:46	will trump accuse russia of election interference by july 16 20260714013930798	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0xd25c59…
07-16 21:59:44	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	Yes	SELL	468	43¢	$201	0x78fc16…
07-16 21:57:41	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	Yes	BUY	608	50¢	$305	0x6cea08…
07-16 21:54:43	will trump say china during speech to the nation 20260714024840217	Yes	BUY	190	76¢	$144	0x5183e2…
07-16 19:26:43	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	No	BUY	133	52¢	$69	0x4c8c1d…
07-13 05:01:01	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0x44a00e…
07-09 23:40:22	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0x06b3e8…
07-06 21:09:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	392	76¢	$298	0xed6dea…
07-06 21:06:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x978610…
07-06 21:06:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0x4bc971…
07-06 21:06:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	143	30¢	$43	0x428b42…
07-06 21:06:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	118	30¢	$36	0x2ee007…
07-06 21:03:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x7bce6f…
07-01 02:39:56	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	SELL	390	49¢	$191	0xf2e838…
06-30 23:52:41	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	BUY	250	50¢	$124	0xf937a2…
06-30 21:47:07	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526265	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x6c4bfc…
06-30 21:29:29	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526265	No	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0x443150…
06-30 21:26:13	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526265	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x16d421…
06-30 21:25:23	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526265	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x2fecfe…
06-30 21:23:53	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	BUY	140	48¢	$67	0x41ce7d…
06-26 02:49:43	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	BUY	192	20¢	$38	0x9bb72e…
06-26 02:49:17	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	BUY	84	20¢	$17	0x0ce65a…
06-25 20:42:38	Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	No	BUY	1,870	19¢	$356	0x317e42…
06-25 20:42:17	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	BUY	696	19¢	$129	0xece68d…
06-19 16:30:08	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x23ca94…
06-19 16:29:56	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	Yes	BUY	283	91¢	$259	0x079fa2…
06-18 19:16:49	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751353	No	BUY	238	75¢	$179	0xee228c…
06-17 12:58:35	will the announcers say foul 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513551	No	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xcbc1e6…
06-17 12:54:04	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0x6c50c7…
06-17 12:51:31	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513553	No	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0xe83657…
06-17 12:50:08	will the announcers say foul 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513551	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xcfcac4…
06-17 12:50:01	will the announcers say foul 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513551	No	BUY	310	33¢	$103	0x082472…
06-17 12:48:53	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	Yes	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0xea6f6c…
06-16 19:41:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1a084e…
06-14 22:08:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	500	76¢	$380	0x26032f…
06-13 20:10:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$53	0x8a441f…
06-13 15:14:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	20¢	$61	0xaa8534…
06-12 21:38:06	will the announcers say dangerous during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955340	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xb80303…
06-12 21:34:57	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955330	No	BUY	91	67¢	$61	0xffbfa0…