Closed-Lunch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.47K

Unrealized P&L

+$291

Hit rate

26.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$419

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-03 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

79% 25% -$1,162

Politics

18% 38% -$243

Crypto

2% 0% -$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+33,500	$67	1¢	$285	+$218	11-03 14:48
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+7,671	$61	2¢	$134	+$73	11-03 14:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	3	$598	16,479	0	+16,479	No	-$598	06-26 09:27
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	3	$319	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	10-24 17:46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	2	$295	177	177	+0	Yes	-$4	10-24 20:09
will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	3	$216	195	21	+174	No	+$0	03-16 15:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$209	6,404	6,404	+0	No	+$17	05-20 09:00
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$202	137	137	+0	No	+$0	03-21 16:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$193	197	197	+0	No	-$7	04-17 17:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	16	$172	11,665	4,000	+7,665	No	-$76	04-18 17:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	2	$147	15,598	15,598	+0	No	-$53	08-23 12:03
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	4	$129	13,391	0	+13,391	No	-$129	04-03 09:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$104	9,623	9,623	+0	No	-$85	05-29 10:20
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$102	60	60	+0	No	+$2	03-24 11:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	2	$98	6,941	0	+6,941	No	-$98	09-20 20:35
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$89	1,469	0	+1,469	Yes	-$89	05-04 14:44
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$67	33,500	0	+33,500	open	—	11-03 14:48
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$61	7,671	0	+7,671	open	—	11-03 14:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	6	$59	1,761	1,692	+69	No	-$9	04-15 08:13
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	1	$58	5,731	0	+5,731	No	-$58	07-10 16:19
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	1	$54	7,706	0	+7,706	No	-$54	07-10 16:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	1	$50	3,944	0	+3,944	No	-$50	10-06 11:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	3	$47	7,365	6,838	+527	No	-$33	04-27 17:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$45	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	04-07 23:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	1	$43	4,792	0	+4,792	No	-$43	08-23 12:04
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$28	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$28	01-10 14:16
will iran strike israel on march 10	3	$25	12,000	0	+12,000	Yes	-$25	03-16 22:46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?	2	$25	131	131	+0	No	-$9	10-24 20:48
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	5	$22	11,500	0	+11,500	No	-$22	05-27 20:25
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	2	$13	67	67	+0	No	+$1	04-03 09:22
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$12	91	91	+0	No	-$8	03-19 10:48
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	3,333	0	+3,333	Yes	-$10	03-18 17:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:48:36	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7,671	1¢	$61	0x6aed00…
11-03 14:48:06	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	33,500	0¢	$67	0xe4ddde…
10-24 20:48:18	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	131	6¢	$8	0x0a0dc0…
10-24 20:46:51	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	131	13¢	$17	0xf73f26…
10-24 20:09:05	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	177	82¢	$145	0xbcfd03…
10-24 20:08:08	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	177	84¢	$150	0x1f146c…
10-24 17:46:08	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	1,020	15¢	$151	0x99f0eb…
10-06 11:36:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,944	1¢	$50	0x81d707…
10-01 16:07:35	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	484	17¢	$81	0xe484bf…
10-01 12:15:27	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	537	16¢	$88	0x2e8452…
09-20 20:35:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3,587	1¢	$50	0x3c260b…
09-04 11:15:37	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3,353	1¢	$48	0xa08951…
08-23 12:04:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	Yes	BUY	4,792	1¢	$43	0x03b617…
08-23 12:03:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	Yes	SELL	15,598	0¢	$47	0xa8a8e2…
08-05 10:37:45	Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	543	1¢	$3	0x751b38…
08-04 11:09:05	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	15,598	1¢	$100	0x77badc…
07-10 16:20:38	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7,706	1¢	$54	0x441f9a…
07-10 16:19:20	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5,731	1¢	$58	0x95c3de…
06-26 09:27:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5,315	0¢	$11	0x26c86a…
05-29 12:52:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6,736	3¢	$201	0xacde93…
05-29 10:20:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	9,623	0¢	$10	0x833eea…
05-27 20:25:17	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb50ae2…
05-22 17:13:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,429	9¢	$386	0x8c3102…
05-22 16:55:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	9,623	1¢	$95	0xb9dfcc…
05-21 06:44:42	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x026923…
05-20 09:10:45	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x03713c…
05-20 09:00:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	6,404	2¢	$113	0x1df689…
05-17 13:23:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	6,404	2¢	$96	0x4c4b91…
05-12 16:24:32	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x30ed25…
05-12 16:20:24	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xfa7916…
05-04 14:44:18	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	1,214	4¢	$49	0xcd88fd…
04-27 17:32:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	6,838	0¢	$7	0x2609aa…
04-22 14:14:26	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x228e67…
04-20 14:02:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x13b5de…
04-20 07:45:38	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x47e063…
04-18 17:58:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xf90a97…
04-18 14:09:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,190	1¢	$20	0xa6affd…
04-17 17:42:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	197	47¢	$93	0x555447…
04-17 14:50:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,475	1¢	$40	0xb8643a…
04-17 14:50:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5,365	1¢	$30	0x5a6bc4…
04-17 14:42:24	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x58841d…
04-17 14:40:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x1e6de4…
04-17 14:36:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0xa7ebf7…
04-17 08:40:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2da33f…
04-17 08:37:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc3824d…
04-15 08:13:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	SELL	4,000	1¢	$48	0xc3be0d…
04-15 08:13:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	961	1¢	$6	0x7cb80d…
04-15 07:59:26	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x5611a2…
04-15 05:44:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x2b2671…
04-15 05:20:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	920	1¢	$12	0x876257…
04-15 04:47:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1fa1b0…
04-15 04:28:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x65af40…
04-15 03:07:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	183	1¢	$2	0x22d369…
04-15 03:03:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	722	1¢	$9	0x7a9def…
04-14 18:47:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,412	1¢	$20	0xc34f0d…
04-14 18:32:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$2	0xa65e8b…
04-14 18:21:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xbeec32…
04-14 17:24:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8116a4…
04-14 17:15:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	388	1¢	$5	0xe0085a…
04-14 16:15:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xb0e6ca…
04-12 15:12:37	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	118	21¢	$25	0x694cd3…
04-08 17:01:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$15	0xdb7beb…
04-07 23:00:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x97ba82…
04-07 22:46:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0x9cab9b…
04-07 22:42:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	558	3¢	$14	0x2e9a31…
04-05 15:07:37	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x403138…
04-05 15:07:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x66e205…
04-05 15:06:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	168	3¢	$5	0x063f7e…
04-03 09:22:45	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	2,333	0¢	$7	0x7c9e91…
04-03 09:22:25	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	10¢	$7	0x1a5695…
04-02 20:02:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	761	2¢	$19	0xa8c47f…
04-02 17:00:27	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	2,447	1¢	$22	0xa7becd…
04-02 14:35:29	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	5,278	2¢	$90	0x583988…
04-02 10:34:15	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0xe5c751…
04-02 10:28:07	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xc0bcff…
03-24 11:14:35	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	No	SELL	60	88¢	$52	0x4de884…
03-23 11:22:21	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x75c6a4…
03-21 16:32:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x4ac265…
03-20 11:00:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xee9c2d…
03-20 10:55:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x69b997…
03-19 10:48:51	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$2	0x8d0171…
03-18 17:28:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x20a7d1…
03-18 12:47:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x2b00b8…
03-16 22:46:49	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xf4f8d8…
03-16 15:22:09	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x63cd1c…
03-16 15:21:51	will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3c8d26…
03-15 22:55:19	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x12c0af…
03-15 22:54:49	will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x45f97c…
03-15 21:46:35	will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xc8d0f2…
03-12 19:11:25	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 851	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa58512…
03-12 18:48:13	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 747 434	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e82a5…
03-11 15:41:59	ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf17c50…
03-06 16:16:59	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xf5e35b…
01-10 14:16:20	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$28	0x709838…