Honest-Frog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$30

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

11,967

Trades

56,283

lifetime

Volume

$321.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$48

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 11-14 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 57% -$7,886

Sports

1% 0% -$2,988

Other

0% 18% -$172

Politics

0% 40% +$575

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 1457 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	—	+41	$14	98¢	$41	+$27	11-15 00:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes		-11	-$5	49¢	$-5	+$0	05-11 09:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-167	-$6	1¢	$-2	+$3	08-20 15:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.1K	8,000	4,000	+4,000	No	-$724	05-23 13:39
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$1.5K	17,445	0	+17,445	No	-$1,512	05-20 14:25
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 4pm et	53	$871	1,356	0	+1,356	Up	+$358	06-17 20:58
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	80	$844	1,184	0	+1,184	Down	-$844	06-18 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 18:45 UTC	260	$837	1,643	0	+1,643	Up	-$587	07-27 18:54
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 9pm et	49	$832	963	0	+963	Up	+$131	06-18 01:55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$752	6,600	0	+6,600	No	-$752	05-21 01:59
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 7pm et	46	$713	842	0	+842	Up	+$63	06-17 23:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:15 UTC	7	$700	991	200	+791	Down	+$48	04-08 17:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$609	441	441	+0	Yes	+$9	04-11 07:31
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 3pm et	43	$552	703	0	+703	Up	+$151	06-18 19:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 06:15 UTC	12	$516	985	0	+985	Down	-$83	04-10 06:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 16:30 UTC	6	$500	760	200	+560	Down	+$82	04-09 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 21:15 UTC	28	$490	899	0	+899	Down	-$384	06-17 21:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:45 UTC	35	$488	763	0	+763	Up	+$268	06-17 23:58
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 1pm et	50	$483	1,484	0	+1,484	Down	+$289	06-18 17:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 05:45 UTC	16	$475	894	220	+674	Down	-$21	04-10 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:00 UTC	31	$474	557	0	+557	Down	+$82	06-18 23:08
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	32	$446	526	0	+526	Up	+$80	06-18 00:41
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 2pm et	43	$441	517	0	+517	Down	+$44	06-17 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:45 UTC	37	$436	465	0	+465	Down	+$29	06-18 01:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:15 UTC	17	$413	473	0	+473	Up	+$61	06-18 23:25
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 9pm et	46	$408	483	0	+483	Up	+$74	06-18 01:54
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 10pm et	32	$403	455	0	+455	Up	+$40	06-18 02:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 00:30 UTC	24	$402	462	0	+462	Down	+$59	06-18 00:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 14:00 UTC	4	$400	785	0	+785	Up	-$3	04-09 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:15 UTC	26	$398	436	0	+436	Up	+$38	06-17 23:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 04:15 UTC	4	$398	578	100	+478	Down	-$94	04-09 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	28	$394	454	0	+454	Down	+$60	06-17 23:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	26	$393	764	0	+764	Up	+$371	06-18 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 00:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb277e0…
11-15 00:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x850cfa…
11-15 00:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x93893c…
11-15 00:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xba4e6c…
11-15 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x8f5b2c…
11-15 00:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	95	55¢	$52	0xb49abd…
11-15 00:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0xb5dc1c…
11-15 00:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x92e5f9…
11-15 00:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	89	21¢	$19	0x31a172…
11-15 00:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0x5cb1d6…
11-15 00:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x4baf0e…
11-15 00:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x362b01…
11-15 00:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x1ce75f…
11-15 00:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x1462dd…
11-15 00:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x730942…
11-15 00:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xd29a6a…
11-15 00:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	93	19¢	$18	0x4aff35…
11-15 00:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xfff405…
11-15 00:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xdefa01…
11-15 00:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb01903…
11-15 00:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	59	16¢	$10	0xe3d945…
11-15 00:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xb60142…
11-15 00:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7b31a9…
11-15 00:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x2201ac…
11-15 00:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x724218…
11-15 00:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xbe158c…
11-15 00:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x0f02bb…
11-15 00:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x068d79…
11-15 00:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xcb756e…
11-15 00:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaf92d7…
11-15 00:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x2d7c4a…
11-15 00:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x2b1a76…
11-15 00:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x838ab4…
11-15 00:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x4941a0…
11-15 00:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x58ff32…
11-15 00:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x0d7dff…
11-15 00:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xcea7e2…
11-15 00:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x8b7747…
11-14 15:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	77	12¢	$9	0xac81f9…
11-14 15:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x8ec54e…
11-14 15:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x04c5c5…
11-14 15:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xe41032…
11-14 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xe3a957…
11-14 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xb4b1bb…
11-14 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	85¢	$27	0xafc741…
11-14 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$0	0x77b1d2…
11-14 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x3103b8…
11-14 15:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	82	90¢	$74	0xa6d4c4…
11-14 15:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xb1bc6e…
11-14 15:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xe166e8…
11-14 15:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x6eb59a…
11-14 15:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0xdd09f7…
11-14 15:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xc7cb00…
11-14 15:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x4d65f8…
11-14 15:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x7808e4…
11-14 15:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x5e240a…
11-14 15:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0xb78baf…
11-14 15:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x8d39ca…
11-14 15:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x787d57…
11-14 15:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7dadac…
11-14 15:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x2fc229…
11-14 15:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x5ca901…
11-14 15:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x6240a3…
11-14 15:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xa94f29…
11-14 15:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x719bda…
11-14 15:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	85	28¢	$24	0x9a834e…
11-14 15:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	93	21¢	$20	0x00d6e5…
11-14 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	21¢	$6	0x26ec46…
11-14 15:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xb495a3…
11-14 15:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x8275b2…
11-14 15:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x2d4128…
11-14 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x3dc08f…
11-14 15:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0xd1798c…
11-14 15:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	66	21¢	$14	0x493b31…
11-14 15:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x9aa035…
11-14 15:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x920dd3…
11-14 15:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x7da3f1…
11-14 15:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x73c54f…
11-14 15:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	120	30¢	$36	0xe2cb4d…
11-14 15:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	111	49¢	$55	0x6d01bb…
11-14 15:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf00a1c…
11-14 15:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe4b796…
11-14 15:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x71a458…
11-14 15:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6eb07a…
11-14 15:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x55ec93…
11-14 15:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x460ad5…
11-14 15:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x45e426…
11-14 15:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2f9081…
11-14 15:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xf038eb…
11-14 15:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x82972a…
11-14 15:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x43ba02…
11-14 15:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0x379d7a…
11-14 15:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x687c4b…
11-14 15:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x1a2fab…
11-14 15:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x969577…
11-14 15:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x8ec234…
11-14 15:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x8d191c…
11-14 15:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x84d164…
11-14 15:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xe24a93…
11-14 15:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xbbfef7…