Honest-Frog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

11,973

Trades

56,359

lifetime

Volume

$321.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 11-15 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 57% -$7,841

Sports

1% 0% -$2,988

Other

0% 18% -$172

Politics

0% 40% +$575

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 1457 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes		-11	-$5	50¢	$-5	+$0	05-11 09:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-167	-$6	1¢	$-2	+$3	08-20 15:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.1K	8,000	4,000	+4,000	No	-$724	05-23 13:39
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$1.5K	17,445	0	+17,445	No	-$1,512	05-20 14:25
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 4pm et	53	$871	1,356	0	+1,356	Up	+$358	06-17 20:58
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	80	$844	1,184	0	+1,184	Down	-$844	06-18 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 18:45 UTC	260	$837	1,643	0	+1,643	Up	-$587	07-27 18:54
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 9pm et	49	$832	963	0	+963	Up	+$131	06-18 01:55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$752	6,600	0	+6,600	No	-$752	05-21 01:59
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 7pm et	46	$713	842	0	+842	Up	+$63	06-17 23:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:15 UTC	7	$700	991	200	+791	Down	+$48	04-08 17:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$609	441	441	+0	Yes	+$9	04-11 07:31
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 3pm et	43	$552	703	0	+703	Up	+$151	06-18 19:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 06:15 UTC	12	$516	985	0	+985	Down	-$83	04-10 06:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 16:30 UTC	6	$500	760	200	+560	Down	+$82	04-09 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 21:15 UTC	28	$490	899	0	+899	Down	-$384	06-17 21:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:45 UTC	35	$488	763	0	+763	Up	+$268	06-17 23:58
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 1pm et	50	$483	1,484	0	+1,484	Down	+$289	06-18 17:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 05:45 UTC	16	$475	894	220	+674	Down	-$21	04-10 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:00 UTC	31	$474	557	0	+557	Down	+$82	06-18 23:08
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	32	$446	526	0	+526	Up	+$80	06-18 00:41
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 2pm et	43	$441	517	0	+517	Down	+$44	06-17 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:45 UTC	37	$436	465	0	+465	Down	+$29	06-18 01:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:15 UTC	17	$413	473	0	+473	Up	+$61	06-18 23:25
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 9pm et	46	$408	483	0	+483	Up	+$74	06-18 01:54
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 10pm et	32	$403	455	0	+455	Up	+$40	06-18 02:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 00:30 UTC	24	$402	462	0	+462	Down	+$59	06-18 00:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 14:00 UTC	4	$400	785	0	+785	Up	-$3	04-09 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:15 UTC	26	$398	436	0	+436	Up	+$38	06-17 23:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 04:15 UTC	4	$398	578	100	+478	Down	-$94	04-09 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	28	$394	454	0	+454	Down	+$60	06-17 23:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	26	$393	764	0	+764	Up	+$371	06-18 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 01:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb21dab…
11-15 01:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0x68b3d5…
11-15 01:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf52602…
11-15 01:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	95	56¢	$53	0x543cc4…
11-15 01:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x907283…
11-15 01:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x699d4c…
11-15 01:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x8bca76…
11-15 01:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x611f1c…
11-15 01:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	64	74¢	$48	0x11a932…
11-15 01:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xd486dd…
11-15 01:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x902692…
11-15 01:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0x8acc38…
11-15 01:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x740436…
11-15 01:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x5994f5…
11-15 01:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x57d415…
11-15 01:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x3a812e…
11-15 01:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x363002…
11-15 01:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbb5084…
11-15 01:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa0b23b…
11-15 01:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x450212…
11-15 01:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x45805b…
11-15 01:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x42972d…
11-15 01:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x3ee796…
11-15 01:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x551d08…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0xfba5de…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd97977…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0xd68b5b…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc00615…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x57bf8f…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x4390fc…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x3f666b…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x3be224…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0x23a8eb…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x063049…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0x040e57…
11-15 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x00e4cf…
11-15 01:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2f6b8c…
11-15 01:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1801a7…
11-15 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0xe7bfe3…
11-15 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x772c56…
11-15 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x64b2d7…
11-15 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5b7691…
11-15 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4758d7…
11-15 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3b609e…
11-15 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2fc42d…
11-15 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x031a99…
11-15 01:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x4d0354…
11-15 01:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x2774e9…
11-15 01:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	43¢	$17	0xbcaf61…
11-15 01:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xa84e4c…
11-15 01:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x80353e…
11-15 01:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	135	13¢	$18	0x5fc2fb…
11-15 01:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	74	74¢	$55	0xe6edf2…
11-15 01:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1bbaf8…
11-15 01:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0xe2d229…
11-15 01:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x764f37…
11-15 01:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x533bc6…
11-15 00:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x4fc780…
11-15 00:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	95	68¢	$65	0x6bd5c0…
11-15 00:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7a0e9b…
11-15 00:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0x121962…
11-15 00:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	58	47¢	$27	0x33e52c…
11-15 00:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xd34a3a…
11-15 00:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc141e8…
11-15 00:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x941adb…
11-15 00:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x64cd1f…
11-15 00:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	63	46¢	$29	0x3df470…
11-15 00:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xfe2d29…
11-15 00:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcf434d…
11-15 00:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xc07bc1…
11-15 00:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xab4a39…
11-15 00:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0x495298…
11-15 00:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xd92b03…
11-15 00:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xe9935e…
11-15 00:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	15¢	$7	0xc3d2f8…
11-15 00:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x4eff25…
11-15 00:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x38ad58…
11-15 00:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	95	62¢	$59	0x4ce963…
11-15 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeb7b29…
11-15 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xe1933a…
11-15 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ab644…
11-15 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x19b111…
11-15 00:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xfd3036…
11-15 00:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	91	12¢	$11	0xfa66bf…
11-15 00:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x5da27e…
11-15 00:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x25efbe…
11-15 00:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x6ebd2c…
11-15 00:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2ef16a…
11-15 00:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	75	60¢	$45	0xf490a3…
11-15 00:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xab0104…
11-15 00:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x9caae6…
11-15 00:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb277e0…
11-15 00:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x850cfa…
11-15 00:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x93893c…
11-15 00:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xba4e6c…
11-15 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x8f5b2c…
11-15 00:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	95	55¢	$52	0xb49abd…
11-15 00:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0xb5dc1c…
11-15 00:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x92e5f9…
11-15 00:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	89	21¢	$19	0x31a172…