Honest-Frog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

11,952

Trades

56,178

lifetime

Volume

$320.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 11-14 07:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 58% -$7,586

Sports

1% 0% -$2,988

Other

0% 18% -$172

Politics

0% 40% +$575

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 1457 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes		-11	-$5	50¢	$-5	+$0	05-11 09:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-167	-$6	1¢	$-2	+$3	08-20 15:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.1K	8,000	4,000	+4,000	No	-$724	05-23 13:39
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$1.5K	17,445	0	+17,445	No	-$1,512	05-20 14:25
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 4pm et	53	$871	1,356	0	+1,356	Up	+$358	06-17 20:58
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	80	$844	1,184	0	+1,184	Down	-$844	06-18 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 18:45 UTC	260	$837	1,643	0	+1,643	Up	-$587	07-27 18:54
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 9pm et	49	$832	963	0	+963	Up	+$131	06-18 01:55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$752	6,600	0	+6,600	No	-$752	05-21 01:59
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 7pm et	46	$713	842	0	+842	Up	+$63	06-17 23:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:15 UTC	7	$700	991	200	+791	Down	+$48	04-08 17:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$609	441	441	+0	Yes	+$9	04-11 07:31
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 3pm et	43	$552	703	0	+703	Up	+$151	06-18 19:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 06:15 UTC	12	$516	985	0	+985	Down	-$83	04-10 06:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 16:30 UTC	6	$500	760	200	+560	Down	+$82	04-09 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 21:15 UTC	28	$490	899	0	+899	Down	-$384	06-17 21:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:45 UTC	35	$488	763	0	+763	Up	+$268	06-17 23:58
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 1pm et	50	$483	1,484	0	+1,484	Down	+$289	06-18 17:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 05:45 UTC	16	$475	894	220	+674	Down	-$21	04-10 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:00 UTC	31	$474	557	0	+557	Down	+$82	06-18 23:08
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	32	$446	526	0	+526	Up	+$80	06-18 00:41
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 2pm et	43	$441	517	0	+517	Down	+$44	06-17 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:45 UTC	37	$436	465	0	+465	Down	+$29	06-18 01:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:15 UTC	17	$413	473	0	+473	Up	+$61	06-18 23:25
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 9pm et	46	$408	483	0	+483	Up	+$74	06-18 01:54
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 10pm et	32	$403	455	0	+455	Up	+$40	06-18 02:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 00:30 UTC	24	$402	462	0	+462	Down	+$59	06-18 00:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 14:00 UTC	4	$400	785	0	+785	Up	-$3	04-09 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:15 UTC	26	$398	436	0	+436	Up	+$38	06-17 23:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 04:15 UTC	4	$398	578	100	+478	Down	-$94	04-09 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	28	$394	454	0	+454	Down	+$60	06-17 23:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	26	$393	764	0	+764	Up	+$371	06-18 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 07:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xff31d3…
11-14 07:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xe5013f…
11-14 07:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x92e926…
11-14 07:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	46	78¢	$36	0x76f38b…
11-14 07:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xfbd481…
11-14 05:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0x71dba0…
11-14 04:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x4820a1…
11-14 04:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	24¢	$12	0xdc487a…
11-14 04:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf645f3…
11-14 04:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x829d94…
11-14 04:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3e9ec2…
11-14 04:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x225bdf…
11-14 04:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x3feb13…
11-14 04:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfe2c84…
11-14 04:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xbcefaf…
11-14 04:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x96913a…
11-14 04:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x4cb754…
11-14 04:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x24d4d3…
11-14 04:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xd7318b…
11-14 04:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x9b5868…
11-14 04:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x5902cd…
11-14 04:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x3bae55…
11-14 04:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc67b4a…
11-14 04:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xef8c4e…
11-14 04:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xe88202…
11-14 04:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xb61c86…
11-14 04:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x09d0b6…
11-14 04:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0xf62ffb…
11-14 04:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfda740…
11-14 04:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xe4b0f5…
11-14 04:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x7605fb…
11-14 04:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0x150227…
11-14 04:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	57¢	$20	0x12247b…
11-14 04:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x6fe5c4…
11-14 04:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfc2d15…
11-14 04:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	103	52¢	$53	0xa48a19…
11-14 04:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xee2af8…
11-14 04:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	85	45¢	$38	0x600c5b…
11-14 04:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x208f20…
11-14 04:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x8f6ef5…
11-14 04:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x1a779a…
11-14 04:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe046bc…
11-14 04:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4888b4…
11-14 04:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x395e08…
11-14 04:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	85	50¢	$42	0x6abd85…
11-14 04:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xec9307…
11-14 03:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9b8e6f…
11-14 03:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	85	51¢	$43	0xc156e4…
11-14 03:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9373bc…
11-14 03:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x5c2ee4…
11-14 03:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4a344f…
11-14 03:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xeebad0…
11-14 03:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x89af20…
11-14 03:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x7bc647…
11-14 03:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x723f9f…
11-14 03:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5efbb4…
11-14 03:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2ae425…
11-14 03:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x04c873…
11-14 03:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf8d05c…
11-14 03:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xeafb4e…
11-14 03:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x0037ea…
11-14 03:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x909db5…
11-14 03:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x6ff2e3…
11-14 03:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xe5c8b1…
11-14 03:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x9c5cfc…
11-14 03:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x8f8809…
11-14 03:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8964d4…
11-14 03:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x65231f…
11-14 03:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	78	22¢	$17	0xfe9df8…
11-14 03:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x13b9b1…
11-14 03:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	85	42¢	$36	0x91b1ce…
11-14 03:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xd9e137…
11-14 03:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xc446fc…
11-14 03:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x608215…
11-14 03:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x5ba8ca…
11-14 03:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xd34f5f…
11-14 03:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb06b6d…
11-14 03:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x8768c2…
11-14 03:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x59c431…
11-14 03:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x3a92ae…
11-14 03:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x087387…
11-14 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xf6f6cc…
11-14 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xec534f…
11-14 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xc7803f…
11-14 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa67b98…
11-14 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x61e0f8…
11-14 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x612c9c…
11-14 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x59a0a8…
11-14 03:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x3f1129…
11-14 03:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x5cae59…
11-14 03:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x00d6d8…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xffde91…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xf0710b…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xe6fd03…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcb5854…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbd357f…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x5b9fbf…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x3990d0…
11-14 03:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5fb1ce…
11-14 03:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0dba2b…