Honest-Frog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.00K

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

11,929

Trades

56,070

lifetime

Volume

$318.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 11-14 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 58% -$7,410

Sports

1% 0% -$2,988

Other

0% 18% -$172

Politics

0% 40% +$575

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 1457 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes		-11	-$5	54¢	$-6	$0	05-11 09:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-167	-$6	1¢	$-2	+$3	08-20 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	—	+21	$15	1¢	$0	-$14	11-14 03:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.1K	8,000	4,000	+4,000	No	-$724	05-23 13:39
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$1.5K	17,445	0	+17,445	No	-$1,512	05-20 14:25
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 4pm et	53	$871	1,356	0	+1,356	Up	+$358	06-17 20:58
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	80	$844	1,184	0	+1,184	Down	-$844	06-18 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 18:45 UTC	260	$837	1,643	0	+1,643	Up	-$587	07-27 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET	49	$832	963	0	+963	Up	+$131	06-18 01:55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$752	6,600	0	+6,600	No	-$752	05-21 01:59
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 7pm et	46	$713	842	0	+842	Up	+$63	06-17 23:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:15 UTC	7	$700	991	200	+791	Down	+$48	04-08 17:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$609	441	441	+0	Yes	+$9	04-11 07:31
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 3pm et	43	$552	703	0	+703	Up	+$151	06-18 19:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 06:15 UTC	12	$516	985	0	+985	Down	-$83	04-10 06:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 16:30 UTC	6	$500	760	200	+560	Down	+$82	04-09 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 21:15 UTC	28	$490	899	0	+899	Down	-$384	06-17 21:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:45 UTC	35	$488	763	0	+763	Up	+$268	06-17 23:58
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 1pm et	50	$483	1,484	0	+1,484	Down	+$289	06-18 17:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 05:45 UTC	16	$475	894	220	+674	Down	-$21	04-10 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:00 UTC	31	$474	557	0	+557	Down	+$82	06-18 23:08
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	32	$446	526	0	+526	Up	+$80	06-18 00:41
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 2pm et	43	$441	517	0	+517	Down	+$44	06-17 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:45 UTC	37	$436	465	0	+465	Down	+$29	06-18 01:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:15 UTC	17	$413	473	0	+473	Up	+$61	06-18 23:25
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 9pm et	46	$408	483	0	+483	Up	+$74	06-18 01:54
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 10pm et	32	$403	455	0	+455	Up	+$40	06-18 02:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 00:30 UTC	24	$402	462	0	+462	Down	+$59	06-18 00:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 14:00 UTC	4	$400	785	0	+785	Up	-$3	04-09 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:15 UTC	26	$398	436	0	+436	Up	+$38	06-17 23:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 04:15 UTC	4	$398	578	100	+478	Down	-$94	04-09 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	28	$394	454	0	+454	Down	+$60	06-17 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	26	$393	764	0	+764	Up	+$371	06-18 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 03:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x5cae59…
11-14 03:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x00d6d8…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xffde91…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xf0710b…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xe6fd03…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcb5854…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbd357f…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x5b9fbf…
11-14 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x3990d0…
11-14 03:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5fb1ce…
11-14 03:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0dba2b…
11-14 03:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	57	27¢	$15	0xd46dbb…
11-14 03:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x530565…
11-14 03:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0xe7834a…
11-14 03:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xba2e6c…
11-14 03:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xac73bb…
11-14 03:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	59	46¢	$27	0x9bcbf5…
11-14 03:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x575fff…
11-14 03:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x3d9c79…
11-14 02:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xadc4e9…
11-14 02:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x46e381…
11-14 02:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf3286d…
11-14 02:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x87d13f…
11-14 02:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x83dadd…
11-14 02:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x271a92…
11-14 02:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	91	30¢	$27	0xc8c386…
11-14 02:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb1c216…
11-14 02:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x4b466e…
11-14 02:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xfe3328…
11-14 02:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x98c8c7…
11-14 02:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x1988ad…
11-14 02:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	92	33¢	$30	0xcd67b8…
11-14 02:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xca1253…
11-14 02:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3954bc…
11-14 02:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x00a16b…
11-14 02:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xe55510…
11-14 02:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x948029…
11-14 02:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x8e4484…
11-14 02:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x6c55a7…
11-14 02:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x2ccd72…
11-14 02:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x3d618a…
11-14 02:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0xe50601…
11-14 02:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbab913…
11-14 02:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb6f905…
11-14 02:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5ec47d…
11-14 02:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xcc3d55…
11-14 02:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0xcb2528…
11-14 02:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xb8c0c4…
11-14 02:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x8207a8…
11-14 02:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x755ab2…
11-14 02:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfbfd06…
11-14 02:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x36ea13…
11-14 02:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xde554c…
11-14 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0xe6d4eb…
11-14 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0xa1dea0…
11-14 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x982bc7…
11-14 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x3b4ee8…
11-14 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2b16a0…
11-14 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x17859b…
11-14 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x038b3f…
11-14 02:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x146da4…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xff16d2…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xfdc5e4…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc652db…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb8e4b4…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa5bdcd…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x90ee45…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x848faa…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x52e31c…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x5151f4…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x18c74c…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x10bf4f…
11-14 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x05c05d…
11-14 02:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x742b3f…
11-14 02:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x335b09…
11-14 02:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x019cc0…
11-14 02:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2a5eba…
11-14 02:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd431a1…
11-14 02:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xc2232d…
11-14 02:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x80209a…
11-14 02:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x5495c1…
11-14 02:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x31e9f0…
11-14 02:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	76	40¢	$30	0x307a71…
11-14 02:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5f8bc5…
11-14 02:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	120	49¢	$59	0x23d5b2…
11-14 02:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	118	50¢	$59	0xcd0390…
11-14 02:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	75¢	$32	0xdd2f1e…
11-14 02:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xca2523…
11-14 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xfa55f5…
11-14 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf2481d…
11-14 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd0363b…
11-14 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0xbbe13b…
11-14 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x9141ae…
11-14 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x6dc043…
11-14 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x0a58ae…
11-14 02:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	53¢	$41	0x8ccb8a…
11-14 02:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0x427eb2…
11-14 02:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xb36720…
11-14 02:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	85	55¢	$47	0xf1d92f…
11-14 01:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x926a9f…