Honest-Frog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.92K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

11,923

Trades

55,987

lifetime

Volume

$318.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 11-14 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 58% -$7,339

Sports

1% 0% -$2,988

Other

0% 18% -$172

Politics

0% 40% +$575

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 1457 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	—	+29	$24	99¢	$29	+$5	11-14 01:16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes		-11	-$5	54¢	$-6	$0	05-11 09:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-167	-$6	1¢	$-2	+$3	08-20 15:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.1K	8,000	4,000	+4,000	No	-$724	05-23 13:39
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$1.5K	17,445	0	+17,445	No	-$1,512	05-20 14:25
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 4pm et	53	$871	1,356	0	+1,356	Up	+$358	06-17 20:58
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	80	$844	1,184	0	+1,184	Down	-$844	06-18 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 18:45 UTC	260	$837	1,643	0	+1,643	Up	-$587	07-27 18:54
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 9pm et	49	$832	963	0	+963	Up	+$131	06-18 01:55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$752	6,600	0	+6,600	No	-$752	05-21 01:59
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 7pm et	46	$713	842	0	+842	Up	+$63	06-17 23:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:15 UTC	7	$700	991	200	+791	Down	+$48	04-08 17:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$609	441	441	+0	Yes	+$9	04-11 07:31
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 3pm et	43	$552	703	0	+703	Up	+$151	06-18 19:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 06:15 UTC	12	$516	985	0	+985	Down	-$83	04-10 06:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 16:30 UTC	6	$500	760	200	+560	Down	+$82	04-09 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 21:15 UTC	28	$490	899	0	+899	Down	-$384	06-17 21:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:45 UTC	35	$488	763	0	+763	Up	+$268	06-17 23:58
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 1pm et	50	$483	1,484	0	+1,484	Down	+$289	06-18 17:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 05:45 UTC	16	$475	894	220	+674	Down	-$21	04-10 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:00 UTC	31	$474	557	0	+557	Down	+$82	06-18 23:08
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	32	$446	526	0	+526	Up	+$80	06-18 00:41
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 2pm et	43	$441	517	0	+517	Down	+$44	06-17 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:45 UTC	37	$436	465	0	+465	Down	+$29	06-18 01:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:15 UTC	17	$413	473	0	+473	Up	+$61	06-18 23:25
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 9pm et	46	$408	483	0	+483	Up	+$74	06-18 01:54
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 10pm et	32	$403	455	0	+455	Up	+$40	06-18 02:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 00:30 UTC	24	$402	462	0	+462	Down	+$59	06-18 00:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 14:00 UTC	4	$400	785	0	+785	Up	-$3	04-09 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:15 UTC	26	$398	436	0	+436	Up	+$38	06-17 23:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 04:15 UTC	4	$398	578	100	+478	Down	-$94	04-09 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	28	$394	454	0	+454	Down	+$60	06-17 23:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	26	$393	764	0	+764	Up	+$371	06-18 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 01:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x926a9f…
11-14 01:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	81¢	$12	0x8d6bf7…
11-14 01:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x0ce75a…
11-14 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xeb1254…
11-14 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xd8f1a1…
11-14 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xb9eba3…
11-14 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9978a9…
11-14 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x600f12…
11-14 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x566588…
11-14 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x33ca7b…
11-14 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x05988f…
11-14 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe8c809…
11-14 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe8a78d…
11-14 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xbd0030…
11-14 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xbc5813…
11-14 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x8ac1c8…
11-14 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x73f027…
11-14 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x3fba71…
11-14 00:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	120	53¢	$64	0xac940d…
11-13 23:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0x4446b4…
11-13 23:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0x771159…
11-13 23:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	73	53¢	$38	0x75a064…
11-13 23:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x949af3…
11-13 23:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xcdbd5f…
11-13 23:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	29¢	$18	0xbb2827…
11-13 22:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xe22451…
11-13 22:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xa6414a…
11-13 22:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x743f55…
11-13 21:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x81be7a…
11-13 21:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x523e2b…
11-13 21:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	11¢	$7	0x0f02c2…
11-13 21:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xe9c35e…
11-13 21:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x71337c…
11-13 21:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0260c1…
11-13 21:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0xca0a6b…
11-13 21:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x9df37f…
11-13 21:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x206fea…
11-13 18:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb3049d…
11-13 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd7311c…
11-13 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb6ca6b…
11-13 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x61af8f…
11-13 18:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xd4c601…
11-13 18:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x896c79…
11-13 18:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	77	20¢	$15	0x3aee8c…
11-13 18:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	85	79¢	$67	0x1ca64d…
11-13 18:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0f8e77…
11-13 18:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x0a41bd…
11-13 17:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xecd184…
11-13 17:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xd9dab3…
11-13 17:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcd7f28…
11-13 17:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x68f190…
11-13 17:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x5a4990…
11-13 17:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xbeb647…
11-13 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xbdd751…
11-13 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbcf2a0…
11-13 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x6dcd5e…
11-13 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	31¢	$21	0x67758f…
11-13 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x511e4c…
11-13 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x38c30e…
11-13 16:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x37507e…
11-13 16:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xac26ad…
11-13 16:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x50293f…
11-13 16:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	84	45¢	$38	0x30c143…
11-13 16:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0xddab95…
11-13 16:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	36¢	$19	0xf7b913…
11-13 16:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xa80b6d…
11-13 16:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x6a23ba…
11-13 16:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x5dc9e1…
11-13 16:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x54afb2…
11-13 16:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x034b7f…
11-13 16:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x873037…
11-13 16:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	85	65¢	$55	0x1b8582…
11-13 16:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x137ef7…
11-13 16:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfde5cb…
11-13 16:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xdffc73…
11-13 16:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x828ccb…
11-13 16:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x3378ae…
11-13 16:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe7489b…
11-13 16:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd0fde7…
11-13 16:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x626465…
11-13 16:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2bed13…
11-13 16:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xedb460…
11-13 16:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x405a4c…
11-13 15:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc6b02e…
11-13 15:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x687d96…
11-13 15:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x47d7a5…
11-13 15:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x3938e6…
11-13 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xcbe29b…
11-13 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc6daab…
11-13 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb4653f…
11-13 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa49a3e…
11-13 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x0a091c…
11-13 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x08cdf9…
11-13 15:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc0ba65…
11-13 15:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x90f2dd…
11-13 15:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x79ac06…
11-13 15:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x211e76…
11-13 15:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x82e364…
11-13 15:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x5960d1…
11-13 15:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x9a79a1…