Wordy-Expansionism — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

247 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.20K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-03 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Sports

57% 67% -$1,212

Other

38% 42% -$976

Politics

4% 67% -$40

Crypto

1% 25% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes		+50	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	08-11 11:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba det tor 2026 03 15	16	$1.8K	2,900	0	+2,900	Raptors	-$1,769	03-15 08:39
wnba gsv phx 2026 07 29	2	$371	600	0	+600	Phoenix Mercury	-$371	07-30 02:30
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$368	800	0	+800	Thunder	+$432	05-22 16:50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	3	$294	300	0	+300	Yes	-$294	07-29 10:04
wnba atl dal 2026 07 29	1	$260	500	0	+500	Atlanta Dream	-$260	07-29 09:49
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$255	380	0	+380	Knicks	+$125	05-20 08:13
wnba tor min 2026 07 28	1	$216	240	0	+240	Minnesota Lynx	+$24	07-28 09:34
wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	15	$154	700	0	+700	Indiana Fever	-$154	07-28 13:42
wnba nyl la 2026 07 28	1	$77	120	0	+120	New York Liberty	+$43	07-28 09:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$51	60	0	+60	Yes	-$51	06-02 04:49
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	5	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	+$50	07-28 09:45
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	1	$47	50	0	+50	No	+$3	06-21 13:47
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	1	$42	50	0	+50	Yes	+$8	06-29 11:14
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	2	$32	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	08-11 11:08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	3	$22	22	0	+22	No	-$22	07-29 09:54
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	06-14 10:20
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	10-03 10:30
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$3	08-27 03:05
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	09-12 13:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	07-24 03:23
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	07-17 13:50
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$14	20	0	+20	magic	+$6	05-15 12:52
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	1	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	08-17 05:37
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	135	$9	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$1	05-30 11:03
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	6	$7	4,200	3,004	+1,196	No	-$1	05-21 04:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	3	$6	50	0	+50	No	-$6	06-29 11:22
Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	2	$4	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$0	05-18 09:09
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$4	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$0	05-15 21:59
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	2	$4	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$0	05-16 10:57
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	4	$4	2,000	1,827	+173	No	$0	05-28 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 10:30:29	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xd5381c…
09-12 13:21:28	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x3f887e…
08-27 03:05:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa33002…
08-17 05:37:49	Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x9b309d…
08-11 11:09:27	Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x35cc32…
08-11 11:09:03	Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x138b6d…
08-11 11:08:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xf60205…
08-06 03:49:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x385a27…
07-30 02:30:20	wnba gsv phx 2026 07 29	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xeaa365…
07-29 10:04:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0x4b78dc…
07-29 09:56:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	167	98¢	$163	0x6edcae…
07-29 09:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa9555d…
07-29 09:54:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x16c196…
07-29 09:53:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x270960…
07-29 09:52:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd5ce86…
07-29 09:49:56	wnba gsv phx 2026 07 29	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0x6d0f98…
07-29 09:49:42	wnba atl dal 2026 07 29	Dallas Wings	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0xf25d90…
07-28 13:42:49	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	383	22¢	$84	0x1e8430…
07-28 12:56:20	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc1d5b5…
07-28 12:52:01	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x864895…
07-28 12:51:31	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x984c9b…
07-28 12:36:10	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xdf4665…
07-28 12:27:56	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x2244bc…
07-28 12:13:23	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xaadb66…
07-28 12:08:44	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xe52f94…
07-28 11:46:59	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x2ef033…
07-28 11:45:29	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xb4e937…
07-28 11:23:14	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x5bc2e0…
07-28 11:00:58	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0x24f61a…
07-28 10:33:25	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x502533…
07-28 09:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x4cfc97…
07-28 09:44:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xf04a11…
07-28 09:36:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xbd1387…
07-28 09:35:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xfad8cb…
07-28 09:35:08	wnba nyl la 2026 07 28	New York Liberty	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x79d4c6…
07-28 09:34:47	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8c6e9c…
07-28 09:34:47	wnba ind sea 2026 07 28	Seattle Storm	BUY	123	22¢	$27	0x3c8339…
07-28 09:34:23	wnba tor min 2026 07 28	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	240	90¢	$216	0xdf739d…
07-28 09:33:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc3f12f…
07-24 03:23:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xba87b1…
07-17 13:50:15	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb6ae25…
06-29 11:22:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x9ce519…
06-29 11:22:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xde4b9d…
06-29 11:20:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x0fcc11…
06-29 11:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x0cf2f7…
06-21 13:47:46	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x5e8309…
06-14 10:20:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3b4dba…
06-02 04:49:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x6af562…
05-30 11:03:49	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	476	0¢	$0	0xf650b8…
05-29 02:01:18	Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x5e2f8d…
05-28 18:44:19	Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6c3fc5…
05-26 05:09:32	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5c17cc…
05-25 03:12:44	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1,450	0¢	$1	0xd84156…
05-24 23:57:33	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1,226	0¢	$1	0x953034…
05-24 09:37:03	Will VOLT win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	SELL	831	0¢	$2	0xe13882…
05-23 13:58:27	Will Arnold Cassola be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	428	0¢	$0	0x0c4f8f…
05-23 06:32:29	Will VOLT win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	SELL	369	0¢	$1	0xf39081…
05-22 16:50:52	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	800	46¢	$368	0x122936…
05-21 19:52:39	Will Arnold Cassola be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe0a58f…
05-21 04:54:22	Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x584745…
05-21 03:10:53	Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x0e21ea…
05-20 14:55:08	Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	1,010	0¢	$1	0x054690…
05-20 14:54:27	Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	807	0¢	$1	0xbad190…
05-20 14:04:17	Will Arnold Cassola be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x06c7b0…
05-20 14:04:00	Will Eman Alexander Cross be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	884	0¢	$1	0xef2f7f…
05-20 08:13:46	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	380	67¢	$255	0x0feab3…
05-20 07:44:13	Will Paul Salomone be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	214	0¢	$0	0xab00e8…
05-20 07:44:06	Will Arnold Cassola be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x7a851e…
05-19 22:14:18	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x47c7df…
05-19 21:36:34	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x42635c…
05-19 19:16:09	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x66476f…
05-19 17:08:33	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc109d5…
05-19 16:42:02	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd66e28…
05-19 16:32:37	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x6220e1…
05-19 16:30:29	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x646a13…
05-19 16:14:55	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x395449…
05-19 16:00:55	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6e8d93…
05-19 15:56:13	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xdad1a7…
05-19 15:55:41	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x07df70…
05-19 15:50:12	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x68d00c…
05-19 15:45:43	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb2bd33…
05-19 15:34:19	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xaa473e…
05-19 15:33:37	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x00a629…
05-19 15:26:58	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x877717…
05-19 15:26:03	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1dad76…
05-19 15:10:39	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x684fb0…
05-19 15:08:37	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xe07e2d…
05-19 15:01:47	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd8cf11…
05-19 14:55:12	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa9a5a5…
05-19 13:48:17	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x059b13…
05-19 13:44:23	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0639fb…
05-19 12:33:39	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xa4c3f2…
05-19 12:25:27	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe5b0c3…
05-19 11:59:47	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xab1d2c…
05-19 11:59:40	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6f29a1…
05-19 11:21:02	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x5d4073…
05-19 11:11:21	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xc90d7e…
05-19 10:28:25	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x4c8a0f…
05-19 10:13:34	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb64b8c…
05-19 09:41:32	Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9415b9…