Violent-Hearthside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

112

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-28 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

94% 59% -$15

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	06-20 18:17
will spacex have exactly 13 launches in june 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-29 06:53
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	06-30 22:13
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-25 12:52
Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-08 14:45
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 22:49
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 04:09
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-28 01:10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-16 13:41
will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-10 13:22
highest temperature in istanbul on april 23 2026 16c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-22 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 4?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 16:05
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 29c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-22 19:26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 20:13
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 17c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-27 02:16
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-17 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-08 19:07
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-12 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-14 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on June 21?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-21 01:10
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 21c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-24 07:18
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 26c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-03 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 26?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or higher on May 5?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?	5	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-28 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 06:16:18	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4512c4…
06-30 22:13:58	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcddb6d…
06-29 06:53:04	will spacex have exactly 13 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x86ae25…
06-29 00:35:16	will spacex have exactly 13 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xb9688f…
06-28 14:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xbd0e90…
06-28 13:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x58f205…
06-28 13:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc5f526…
06-28 13:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xd75b9c…
06-28 10:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5ed788…
06-27 20:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x277072…
06-26 23:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xfa3b53…
06-26 21:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdc2f21…
06-25 17:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x88a151…
06-25 17:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf1809e…
06-25 12:52:05	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x246799…
06-25 12:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x94e0eb…
06-25 12:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x83cb13…
06-25 12:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa815a3…
06-24 13:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x12079d…
06-24 03:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x35fd11…
06-24 03:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa456ed…
06-24 03:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xca26b0…
06-23 01:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x68d2fc…
06-23 01:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa402f8…
06-23 01:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x887e66…
06-23 01:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xbb9a4a…
06-21 01:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on June 21?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3b8713…
06-21 01:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on June 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf5713f…
06-20 18:17:16	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa4537c…
06-20 03:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe666ee…
06-20 03:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 20?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb25404…
06-19 09:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd3e80c…
06-19 07:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 19?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x64b0b3…
06-16 22:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6bf3cc…
06-16 22:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0a6d7c…
06-16 13:41:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbe6c06…
06-16 02:20:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4f4e1d…
06-14 20:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x29291a…
06-14 16:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xff5221…
06-14 00:44:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1b14ae…
06-13 06:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfe87c4…
06-13 06:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc00cd7…
06-12 09:21:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x6d3494…
06-12 04:26:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x98127e…
06-11 06:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x0fe6ba…
06-11 06:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x5f9274…
06-11 06:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa47de1…
06-10 13:22:19	will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xee6388…
06-10 11:10:10	will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8d8ce5…
06-08 19:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xc889db…
06-08 12:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x61698a…
06-08 03:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xc6be47…
06-08 03:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x27f1d6…
06-07 23:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb86f81…
06-07 07:05:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x6786c1…
06-07 07:04:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xaecbbf…
06-07 06:58:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x188050…
06-06 15:39:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xfc3661…
06-06 15:39:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xab4f18…
06-06 12:55:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x68a6a6…
06-06 00:12:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb4595a…
06-05 23:50:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfe94e4…
06-05 23:50:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc38ada…
06-05 23:44:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd0038e…
06-05 14:06:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2e3ddd…
06-05 12:01:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x33059d…
06-04 14:53:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xcea58d…
06-04 12:02:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 5?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x16497d…
06-03 01:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x0eef47…
06-03 01:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe70f96…
06-02 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf82db8…
06-02 12:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x529725…
06-02 00:23:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xe1068c…
06-01 23:50:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf42c4d…
06-01 16:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xaa41a4…
06-01 12:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x7e56dc…
06-01 00:03:24	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x05ed22…
05-31 09:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6800d8…
05-31 09:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x13e85c…
05-31 09:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb33840…
05-31 09:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x304ed0…
05-31 09:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xee6ceb…
05-31 07:59:17	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xde7c31…
05-30 22:43:49	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf9a339…
05-30 07:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xceced5…
05-30 07:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x89e14e…
05-29 20:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x02c94f…
05-29 20:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa4aa60…
05-29 07:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xd33e8d…
05-29 07:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 29?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4c8cfe…
05-28 17:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x538bcf…
05-28 16:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3752b6…
05-28 06:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x483e11…
05-28 06:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x34211e…
05-28 06:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x88a1e1…
05-28 06:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x489492…
05-28 06:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0936ff…
05-28 01:10:42	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x27850d…
05-27 15:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x190d2b…
05-27 13:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x691b54…