Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$536
$3,212 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$234
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 16:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $2 | $222 | $220 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $44 | $212 | $167 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $222 | $221 |
| Median | 3 | — | $24 | $24 |
| Below median | 2 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 16 | $30 | $185 | $156 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +222 | $222 | $222 | 1 | 05-05 16:17 |
| Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | No | +87 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 05-05 12:05 |
| Lasting-Chivalry 0x47f7…0312 | No | +82 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 05-05 11:50 |
| Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 10:15 |
| Gruesome-Chime-Roof 0xad44…4ef4 | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 07:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0db1…6272 | Yes | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 08:01 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +14 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 07:50 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | +13 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 07:50 |
| Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 07:15 |
| Sneaky-Consul 0x10a4…2895 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 10:00 |
| Querulous-Geometry 0x48a0…f156 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 21:39 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 08:15 |
| Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 06:30 |
| Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 01:10 |
| Plastic-Torso 0xc118…18e2 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 08:21 |
| Infantile-Pincenez 0xb3eb…b529 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 23:39 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 08:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 16:17:24 | Insecure-Catalyst 0x33ab…9523 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x0095b9… |
| 05-05 16:17:24 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 222 | 100¢ | $222 | 0x60e641… |
| 05-05 12:05:28 | Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | No | BUY | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0x2f59fa… |
| 05-05 12:00:28 | Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x1353c0… |
| 05-05 11:50:22 | Lasting-Chivalry 0x47f7…0312 | No | BUY | 77 | 98¢ | $76 | 0xec0503… |
| 05-05 10:15:22 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x74ee89… |
| 05-05 10:00:12 | Sneaky-Consul 0x10a4…2895 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3f1304… |
| 05-05 09:46:22 | Testy-Increase 0xce21…09eb | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x985d3c… |
| 05-05 09:35:16 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x60adc3… |
| 05-05 08:21:20 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x7740c0… |
| 05-05 08:21:04 | Plastic-Torso 0xc118…18e2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5f065d… |
| 05-05 08:21:02 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x96f9d1… |
| 05-05 08:20:10 | Incredible-Receptor 0x6868…5198 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd8ad02… |
| 05-05 08:20:10 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x3dd551… |
| 05-05 08:16:06 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xc38585… |
| 05-05 08:15:12 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0xda5892… |
| 05-05 08:01:12 | (anonymous) 0x0db1…6272 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x334280… |
| 05-05 07:50:12 | Gruesome-Chime-Roof 0xad44…4ef4 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x71dcfd… |
| 05-05 07:50:08 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 52¢ | $7 | 0xd06966… |
| 05-05 07:50:08 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 52¢ | $7 | 0x490de2… |
| 05-05 07:15:52 | Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x0f5884… |
| 05-05 07:15:52 | Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x5c0eb7… |
| 05-05 07:15:38 | Neat-Regulation 0x2c57…372d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x1c5e64… |
| 05-05 07:15:18 | Neat-Regulation 0x2c57…372d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x07401f… |
| 05-05 07:06:02 | Lasting-Chivalry 0x47f7…0312 | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xd569a8… |
| 05-05 06:30:56 | (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | No | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x691da4… |
| 05-05 06:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | SELL | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0xffcef5… |
| 05-05 01:10:08 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x4b7205… |
| 05-05 00:39:52 | Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x13b5ea… |
| 05-04 23:39:24 | Infantile-Pincenez 0xb3eb…b529 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x047be5… |
| 05-04 21:39:52 | Querulous-Geometry 0x48a0…f156 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x253929… |