Incredible-Receptor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

4,298

Trades

42,154

lifetime

Volume

$561.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$42

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-29 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

99% 45% +$35,404

Politics

1% 20% -$395

Sports

0% 44% -$128

Crypto

0% 20% -$276

Tech

0% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 382 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes		+400	$62	10¢	$40	-$22	10-21 12:42
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes		-1,000	-$25	0¢	$-2	+$23	06-26 04:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 13?	8	$6.7K	3,559	3,559	+0	No	+$423	09-13 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	50	$4.2K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$197	05-08 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 20?	27	$3.9K	2,020	2,020	+0	No	+$142	05-20 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?	22	$3.1K	2,157	2,157	+0	No	+$927	07-31 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?	51	$3.0K	1,530	1,530	+0	No	+$50	05-28 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 24?	4	$3.0K	1,511	1,511	+0	No	+$64	09-24 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?	39	$2.9K	2,119	2,119	+0	Yes	+$241	06-22 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 21?	10	$2.3K	1,182	1,182	+0	No	+$34	09-21 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 4?	7	$2.3K	1,190	1,190	+0	No	+$70	09-04 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	18	$2.3K	2,303	2,303	+0	Yes	-$40	05-31 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 4?	13	$2.3K	1,245	1,245	+0	No	+$210	09-04 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7?	34	$2.2K	2,094	2,094	+0	No	+$83	08-07 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	18	$2.1K	2,109	2,109	+0	Yes	+$1,080	06-02 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 3?	4	$2.0K	1,058	1,058	+0	No	+$91	09-03 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 9?	7	$2.0K	1,037	1,037	+0	No	+$56	09-09 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 17?	12	$2.0K	1,012	1,012	-0	No	+$18	09-17 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 24?	14	$2.0K	1,054	1,054	+0	No	+$112	08-24 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 16?	9	$1.9K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	+$16	09-16 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on June 7?	16	$1.9K	964	964	+0	No	+$12	06-06 17:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	14	$1.9K	1,025	1,025	+0	No	+$141	09-11 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?	34	$1.9K	1,317	1,317	+0	No	+$193	06-23 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?	42	$1.9K	2,075	2,075	+0	Yes	+$687	07-03 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 6?	5	$1.9K	954	954	+0	No	+$38	09-06 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 14?	2	$1.8K	929	929	+0	No	+$18	10-14 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	49	$1.8K	1,445	1,445	+0	No	+$593	07-06 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	66	$1.8K	1,418	1,418	+0	Yes	-$92	09-03 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?	11	$1.8K	952	952	+0	Yes	+$54	06-03 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	33	$1.7K	1,655	1,655	+0	Yes	+$437	10-15 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 10?	5	$1.7K	896	896	+0	No	+$43	09-10 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?	16	$1.7K	1,320	1,320	+0	Yes	+$4	06-17 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:54:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	43	90¢	$38	0xc43e1a…
10-29 07:48:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0xbd0e9b…
10-29 07:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x67ac38…
10-29 07:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x542323…
10-29 07:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	45	76¢	$35	0x27b1ca…
10-29 07:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0xd5c939…
10-29 07:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x42aecf…
10-29 07:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xaef2af…
10-29 07:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 29?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x910e35…
10-29 07:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x406105…
10-29 06:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x195034…
10-29 06:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x8db1df…
10-29 06:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	54	7¢	$4	0x581154…
10-29 06:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x14baf9…
10-29 06:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x26454e…
10-29 06:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x22ab5d…
10-29 06:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0x0dbe86…
10-29 06:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x88f97e…
10-29 06:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x263e51…
10-29 06:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x485509…
10-29 06:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd66479…
10-29 06:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd9d05e…
10-29 06:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xe702d5…
10-29 05:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x59e478…
10-29 05:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7ed885…
10-29 05:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	69	20¢	$14	0x02ea08…
10-29 05:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x8b895b…
10-29 05:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xd42317…
10-29 05:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x7f92f8…
10-29 05:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x653cf3…
10-29 05:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x4f53fc…
10-29 05:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x772603…
10-29 05:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x68d8a7…
10-29 04:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x742efc…
10-29 04:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xc72759…
10-29 04:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x34fe7f…
10-29 04:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	183	0¢	$0	0xe07a4c…
10-29 04:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xf46174…
10-29 04:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xeac8db…
10-29 04:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	179	1¢	$2	0xa91bf6…
10-29 04:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xf41ed0…
10-29 04:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x9400e1…
10-29 04:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	49	26¢	$13	0x23817e…
10-29 04:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0x04bfcb…
10-29 04:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$1	0x579637…
10-29 04:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x489d91…
10-29 04:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdc0a4f…
10-29 04:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x465f80…
10-29 04:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x1ab3d9…
10-29 04:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0e21b0…
10-29 04:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0095a0…
10-29 04:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3d90f7…
10-29 04:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0xb149f9…
10-29 04:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb2862f…
10-29 04:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xf752a9…
10-29 04:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe1b09c…
10-29 04:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x72ab0c…
10-29 04:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0x8aba9a…
10-29 04:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdd5a95…
10-29 04:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xa847c1…
10-29 04:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xde4e73…
10-29 04:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2ad640…
10-29 04:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x445418…
10-29 04:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x45949f…
10-29 04:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xb950d4…
10-29 04:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x3f1528…
10-29 04:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0xd35991…
10-29 04:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	387	0¢	$0	0x603ae8…
10-29 03:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$1	0x01df87…
10-29 03:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xe359b0…
10-29 03:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x24221e…
10-29 03:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x99d433…
10-29 03:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x56e2c3…
10-29 03:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	381	0¢	$0	0x18f2e2…
10-29 03:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xac6a0f…
10-29 03:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x3fc2f1…
10-29 03:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x2c3e82…
10-29 03:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6c6128…
10-29 03:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x5a927f…
10-29 03:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x4188fc…
10-29 03:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x684746…
10-29 03:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x161a9d…
10-29 03:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x19b63f…
10-29 03:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x676812…
10-29 03:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xbde3f5…
10-29 03:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe76ec4…
10-29 03:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5a4d72…
10-29 03:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x2357a3…
10-29 02:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1b9890…
10-29 02:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc1846b…
10-29 02:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x03b825…
10-29 02:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0xaa66d6…
10-29 02:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa5b6b0…
10-29 02:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xbed6ac…
10-29 02:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x385a59…
10-29 02:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x987f8f…
10-29 01:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x11d5b4…
10-29 01:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2306dc…
10-29 01:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x916d97…
10-29 01:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xec4d7d…