Fancy-Performance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$188

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.4%

Resolved

157

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$5.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 08-13 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

67% 5% -$168

Politics

15% 9% -$10

Sports

9% 40% -$1

Tech

7% 0% -$8

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	16	$265	197	197	+0	No	-$1	07-24 20:17
la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	10	$222	120	120	+0	open	—	07-23 14:15
will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	2	$175	100	100	+0	No	-$3	06-04 07:03
iran full airspace closure by july 24	6	$146	80	80	+0	No	-$1	07-22 08:33
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 9, 2026?	10	$117	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	07-22 09:30
will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	3	$108	80	80	+0	open	—	08-08 21:01
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?	5	$106	60	60	+0	No	-$2	07-24 08:54
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 5?	2	$82	50	50	+0	No	-$2	06-05 03:16
3m open albatross 20260722184306252	5	$81	42	42	+0	No	$0	07-24 08:55
will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	6	$80	80	80	+0	No	$0	07-24 20:17
will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	4	$76	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-25 00:31
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	3	$76	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 21:06
will total crypto market cap hit 3pt75t in 2026 20260721192934664	3	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	07-22 00:20
mstr quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 5pt01	3	$75	40	40	+0	No	-$2	07-24 02:42
greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	3	$75	40	40	+0	No	-$2	07-21 11:51
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	3	$74	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 22:28
will the next uk parliament by election be called by september 30 20260724165029952	3	$74	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	07-25 00:07
will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 60m by august 31 20260723155541885	3	$73	40	40	+0	No	-$1	07-23 21:36
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 30 2026 20260722225036954	3	$73	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-23 22:17
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 19 2026 20260722225036943	3	$73	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-23 22:30
Will New York Jets finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most special teams and defensive touchdowns?	4	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	07-23 05:20
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	3	$72	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-23 21:01
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	3	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	07-23 08:52
cvx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 31 2026 5pt32	3	$71	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	07-24 07:31
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	3	$71	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-22 10:03
will xauusd reach 4300 by july 20 2026	3	$70	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-22 12:31
sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	3	$70	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	07-23 21:00
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	3	$70	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	07-21 19:44
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	3	$70	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	07-23 11:26
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 3 2026 20260722225036927	4	$69	40	40	+0	No	-$3	07-24 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 02:23:30	will pete hegseth attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221267	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xb6f577…
08-13 02:23:19	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xc46e79…
08-13 02:23:07	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xfd8fe7…
08-13 02:22:55	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.40 and $0.45 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xcd7e12…
08-13 02:22:31	Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xdbb61a…
08-13 02:22:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xdc058d…
08-13 02:22:15	will ucla have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194046302	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x4b677d…
08-13 02:22:06	will north carolina have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194027898	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xf80c93…
08-13 02:21:55	Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	No	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x27be90…
08-13 02:21:42	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?	No	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0x2a2f5a…
08-13 02:21:03	Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?	No	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x51fda2…
08-13 02:20:54	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x24fd87…
08-13 02:20:43	will wake forest have more than 4pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194051352	Yes	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0xb65018…
08-13 02:01:34	Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x8aee3b…
08-13 01:25:15	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?	No	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x818ce2…
08-13 01:24:19	will wake forest have more than 4pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194051352	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x0d7994…
08-13 01:18:33	will pete hegseth attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221267	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x774839…
08-13 00:59:15	will clemson have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194014672	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xeb4af2…
08-13 00:59:12	will clemson have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194014672	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe2141f…
08-13 00:05:15	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x3c85c0…
08-12 22:29:12	will north carolina have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194027899	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xa7c795…
08-12 22:07:03	will north carolina have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194027898	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xfd17c1…
08-12 22:06:12	will ucla have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194046302	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x710fab…
08-12 21:53:21	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xbb4eba…
08-12 21:51:16	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x22f1f3…
08-12 21:51:12	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x286f44…
08-12 21:30:57	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x69857b…
08-12 20:04:46	Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xc1c89a…
08-12 19:32:55	Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xc8a461…
08-12 19:32:54	Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x0d337a…
08-12 19:32:52	Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xe3512b…
08-12 19:20:07	will maryland have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194023865	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x8196d1…
08-12 19:20:03	will maryland have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194023865	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x045c7f…
08-12 19:01:07	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xf9b66c…
08-12 19:01:06	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x6115ec…
08-12 19:01:06	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0247b5…
08-12 18:51:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by september 15 20260810145949436	No	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x759f6d…
08-12 18:49:48	Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x602885…
08-12 18:49:39	Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x10ff4a…
08-12 18:29:09	will north carolina have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194027899	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x7b5de6…
08-12 18:03:54	Will G2 Esports Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xc7edf7…
08-12 17:59:19	will tcu have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194040914	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x5dc5e9…
08-12 17:59:16	will tcu have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194040914	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x9c7f87…
08-12 16:03:42	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x662671…
08-12 15:17:43	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xfb1da6…
08-12 14:53:30	Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x8ce3c8…
08-12 14:43:19	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa80d81…
08-12 14:43:15	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x8f53d4…
08-12 14:19:10	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	No	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x090950…
08-12 14:19:09	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe61469…
08-12 14:16:36	Will Yordan Alvarez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xea351d…
08-12 14:16:27	Will Yordan Alvarez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x0a663d…
08-12 14:14:46	Will Yordan Alvarez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x74d701…
08-12 13:39:54	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x2341a9…
08-12 13:39:51	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x7c80d3…
08-12 13:26:34	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x834983…
08-12 13:20:15	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0xc4811c…
08-12 13:20:12	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc118e8…
08-12 13:18:12	Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x13f354…
08-12 13:17:07	Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf8e9bf…
08-12 13:13:07	ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xe7b92a…
08-12 12:55:40	Will FaZe Clan Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege	No	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0xea49ce…
08-12 12:54:48	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xb175ef…
08-12 12:54:46	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xcbe34c…
08-12 12:30:09	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x2e7135…
08-12 12:30:06	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xff5edb…
08-12 12:23:27	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x77bbfd…
08-12 12:19:12	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0xccfb3e…
08-12 12:19:07	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe15bbf…
08-12 11:33:37	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x04a522…
08-12 11:33:33	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xd5c675…
08-12 11:04:55	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.40 and $0.45 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xfb41f3…
08-12 11:04:55	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.40 and $0.45 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xea1ccf…
08-12 10:54:46	will kai or speed be eliminated by lava 20260811134127692	Yes	SELL	27	72¢	$19	0x0e57a0…
08-12 10:41:01	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	21¢	$9	0xd2b1f1…
08-12 10:40:57	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x6e167f…
08-12 10:06:46	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x1e5a9e…
08-12 10:06:43	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xbb01d0…
08-12 10:03:15	Will G2 Esports Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xecef67…
08-12 09:37:15	Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x0999e4…
08-12 09:37:07	Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x4ac7f7…
08-12 09:37:06	Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xde80ef…
08-12 09:37:06	Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x66a196…
08-12 09:18:16	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xfd880e…
08-12 09:12:19	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x5f4019…
08-12 08:55:45	trump declassifies new ufo files by september 15 20260810145949436	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x92bc50…
08-12 08:44:15	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x0dfd38…
08-12 08:44:12	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x7372d3…
08-12 08:41:49	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	No	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x4ea3e9…
08-12 08:41:46	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd72de3…
08-12 08:31:03	Will FaZe Clan Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9819d1…
08-12 08:20:54	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x662756…
08-12 08:20:51	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x3fcf44…
08-12 08:19:22	Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x283d69…
08-12 07:41:36	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xf266e8…
08-12 06:44:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x6fbb69…
08-12 06:44:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x4d3525…
08-12 06:19:42	Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x963aa4…
08-12 06:19:39	Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x67920a…
08-12 05:51:19	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xb3fda9…