Realized P&L
+$23.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.79K
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
118
Trades
729
lifetime
Volume
$435.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$597
Open exposure
$21.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 03:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Politics
63% 54% +$23,291
Other
37% 43% -$510
Crypto
0% 100% +$12
Tech
0% 50% +$133
Sports
0% 50% +$234
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8,179 $4,977 66¢ $5.4K +$462 10-27 23:12
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +6,087 $2,718 44¢ $2.6K -$70 10-27 12:31
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +5,251 $1,662 40¢ $2.1K +$412 10-23 10:24
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -2,239 -$1,658 74¢ $-1668 -$10 09-25 15:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,351 $1,213 68¢ $1.6K +$373 10-18 20:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -2,806 -$2,152 50¢ $-1417 +$735 09-16 20:48
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,818 $1,000 70¢ $1.3K +$264 09-20 16:39
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,426 $1,022 40¢ $982 -$39 10-23 10:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2,025 $436 35¢ $715 +$279 10-26 12:42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$522 70¢ $-695 -$173 10-05 23:15
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,438 -$379 15¢ $-367 +$12 09-22 16:57
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -641 -$195 56¢ $-357 -$162 05-07 16:19
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes -412 -$202 62¢ $-258 -$55 07-03 09:22
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +862 $429 28¢ $241 -$187 10-26 12:42
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +339 $200 62¢ $210 +$10 10-22 01:04
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes -241 -$252 85¢ $-205 +$47 10-13 12:02
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +778 $112 20¢ $156 +$43 09-27 15:23
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +616 $142 24¢ $145 +$3 10-02 22:13
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No -184 -$85 78¢ $-144 -$60 07-07 12:18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,316 -$99 9¢ $-124 -$25 07-25 12:08
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes -241 -$91 44¢ $-105 -$14 07-03 09:21
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,167 -$8 2¢ $-102 -$94 09-22 16:57
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +1,107 $100 9¢ $100 $0 10-05 23:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes -125 -$203 78¢ $-97 +$106 10-23 10:23
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -144 -$24 62¢ $-90 -$66 07-03 19:31
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -364 -$100 18¢ $-64 +$37 07-14 08:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -318 -$22 20¢ $-64 -$42 09-02 21:16
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -60 -$50 92¢ $-55 -$5 07-14 08:59
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +142 $50 36¢ $52 +$2 10-24 13:47
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +278 $25 14¢ $38 +$13 09-29 22:50