Monstrous-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

256

Trades

1,060

lifetime

Volume

$118.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 07-10 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

88% 54% -$2,784

Sports

9% 53% -$457

Politics

2% 50% -$53

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	6	$2.7K	1,412	1,412	+0	No	-$2	06-25 15:39
Japan vs. Sweden: Neither team to score first?	3	$1.5K	804	804	+0	No	+$117	06-26 00:20
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	8	$1.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$11	05-17 13:59
Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs	13	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	cancelled	$0	05-30 03:00
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	9	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	05-23 12:08
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	9	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$0	05-30 08:32
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	7	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	San Diego Padres	$0	05-29 11:57
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)	8	$1.2K	700	700	+0	FC Mito Holly Hock	+$0	05-15 18:33
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	New York Mets	+$0	05-31 09:33
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Washington Nationals	+$0	05-25 06:47
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Washington Nationals	+$0	05-27 08:22
Tyler: Liam Draxl vs Yasutaka Uchiyama	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	cancelled	-$60	06-01 01:26
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	2	$1000	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	$0	05-27 14:04
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Japan?	4	$998	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$0	06-29 09:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	8	$996	624	624	+0	No	-$2	05-19 09:24
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-27?	8	$994	937	937	+0	Yes	-$1	05-27 17:18
Will Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming win LCP 2026 Split 2?	3	$992	500	500	+0	No	+$0	05-25 06:42
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	4	$990	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 00:16
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	7	$986	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$4	05-27 19:42
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total away 2pt5	2	$978	500	500	+0	Under	$0	07-07 00:25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner	5	$976	1,000	1,000	+0	Team WE	+$26	06-01 09:31
Iraq vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?	2	$974	500	500	+0	No	-$1	06-16 01:18
United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?	4	$973	500	500	+0	No	+$26	07-07 00:10
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5	19	$970	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$10	05-31 15:43
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	3	$966	500	500	+0	open	—	05-19 09:24
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	4	$965	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$5	06-30 15:48
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?	2	$950	500	500	+0	Yes	+$1	07-04 08:44
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?	2	$948	500	500	+0	Yes	+$2	07-03 09:15
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5	4	$932	1,248	248	+1,000	Over	-$437	06-02 02:01
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team total away 2pt5	3	$927	500	500	+0	Under	-$5	07-02 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 12:19:35	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	No	SELL	495	47¢	$233	0x834148…
07-10 12:14:23	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xd401ff…
07-10 01:27:17	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	No	BUY	500	46¢	$230	0xb1f883…
07-09 03:29:56	Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x0bb2f5…
07-09 03:29:50	marine le pen out as member of the national assembly byptptpt 20260706153645649	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe47810…
07-09 03:29:43	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x41a9f6…
07-09 03:28:59	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0x73cfa5…
07-09 03:28:22	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x3ff9e9…
07-09 03:27:53	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x6a700a…
07-09 03:27:32	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0x8e68d5…
07-09 03:27:04	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x2a2471…
07-09 03:26:41	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x155f85…
07-09 03:26:10	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xbcafdd…
07-09 03:25:46	Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0x4dc613…
07-09 03:25:29	Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x7c923e…
07-09 03:24:34	marine le pen out as member of the national assembly byptptpt 20260706153645649	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x86e8aa…
07-09 03:24:11	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x85c517…
07-09 03:23:16	will nvda dip to 168 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xb7f448…
07-09 03:22:38	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	79¢	$27	0x34a347…
07-09 03:22:01	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x32d196…
07-09 03:16:59	anduril vs lockheed martin higher valuation on december 31	Lockheed Martin	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xf6d8ca…
07-09 03:15:29	anduril vs lockheed martin higher valuation on december 31	Lockheed Martin	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0xc5d860…
07-09 03:14:56	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xf91d5a…
07-09 03:14:25	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xc2a8ec…
07-09 03:13:38	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x966668…
07-09 03:13:31	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x26a82a…
07-09 03:13:23	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x25b530…
07-09 03:13:22	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0xf1b403…
07-09 03:12:50	Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xb95c55…
07-09 03:12:11	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by july 31	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xa1bfbd…
07-09 03:11:40	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x8eb0c9…
07-09 03:10:59	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x59df0e…
07-09 03:10:31	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	Yes	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0xcd9c3b…
07-09 03:09:25	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	Yes	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x6810c7…
07-09 03:08:05	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x556015…
07-09 03:06:16	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x677131…
07-09 02:15:37	Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xc5a111…
07-09 02:02:35	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x15d3bb…
07-09 01:23:49	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xea0369…
07-09 00:58:55	Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and NOR vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0x7f78a7…
07-09 00:58:29	Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and NOR vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0xc0e288…
07-09 00:41:58	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x332ff2…
07-09 00:35:17	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xa35c0f…
07-09 00:08:56	Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x757dc5…
07-09 00:08:04	Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfc4277…
07-09 00:03:05	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xe7aa1e…
07-08 23:27:40	marine le pen out as member of the national assembly byptptpt 20260706153645649	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x47a14b…
07-08 22:32:58	Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x0a159a…
07-08 21:35:58	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260708134955089	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x9e01d4…
07-08 20:55:56	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x53ec3c…
07-08 20:39:23	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260708134955089	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x34c906…
07-08 20:27:50	Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xcb7499…
07-08 20:17:29	Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x3ac5f5…
07-08 19:15:52	Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x902afe…
07-08 18:43:41	will amzn dip to 228 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x4388e3…
07-08 18:42:17	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xa68605…
07-08 18:39:07	will amzn dip to 228 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0xe99dde…
07-08 18:11:19	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xae3427…
07-08 18:01:50	will nvda dip to 168 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0xed395f…
07-08 17:57:23	Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xeb096e…
07-08 17:54:04	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xedf4f4…
07-08 17:45:52	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0x8bf60f…
07-08 17:39:29	anduril vs lockheed martin higher valuation on december 31	Lockheed Martin	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xdb1d59…
07-08 17:11:26	Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x5546e3…
07-08 16:50:05	Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x2352be…
07-08 16:34:17	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x9690ae…
07-08 16:03:08	Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x3e3865…
07-08 15:57:34	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x91a81d…
07-08 15:57:23	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x4c48c2…
07-08 15:37:22	Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0xcbdb94…
07-08 15:31:55	Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xff1316…
07-08 15:31:49	will amzn dip to 228 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x3199cc…
07-08 15:27:20	Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x247a2a…
07-08 15:08:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xa4024c…
07-08 15:07:04	will russia capture toretske by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x539fe5…
07-08 15:06:25	Will the Republican Party win the IN-07 House seat?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x6cc876…
07-08 14:55:32	will russia capture toretske by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xd82751…
07-08 14:54:26	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x3dc457…
07-08 14:53:41	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x6fa516…
07-08 14:42:44	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by july 31	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xd75b6a…
07-08 14:42:32	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd60eb1…
07-08 14:35:44	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xabf157…
07-08 14:31:20	Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x1bc23a…
07-08 14:31:01	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xb7e397…
07-08 14:29:31	Will the Republican Party win the IN-07 House seat?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x44f3e0…
07-07 14:25:34	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 second half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	456	60¢	$274	0x338779…
07-07 14:25:10	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 second half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	44	60¢	$26	0x839631…
07-07 02:36:14	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts second half	No	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0x0f292f…
07-07 02:31:44	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts second half	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xafa532…
07-07 02:14:37	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0x6ff039…
07-07 00:25:37	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	500	98¢	$489	0x95a90a…
07-07 00:17:41	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x7088f1…
07-07 00:10:29	United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa2a195…
07-07 00:10:29	United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x04a365…
07-07 00:09:32	United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?	No	SELL	283	100¢	$283	0x1566e5…
07-06 21:25:56	Argentina vs. Egypt: Second half draw?	Yes	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0x732318…
07-06 21:21:17	Argentina vs. Egypt: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x2d0e9a…
07-06 17:44:37	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 first half team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	452	64¢	$290	0x998076…
07-06 17:05:26	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 first half team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x88270f…
07-06 16:13:26	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 first half team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0x6973d2…