Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

128

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$134

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-13

last 10-31 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

81% 59% +$10

Politics

13% 50% -$2

Tech

6% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+3	$1	20¢	$1	$0	08-15 06:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	2	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	10-21 03:07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-07 06:13
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-19 03:57
will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-29 09:25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-01 02:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 08:11
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-07 23:36
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	10-31 21:32
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	09-17 04:37
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 16:11
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-16 10:31
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-08 13:09
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-18 07:43
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-19 17:20
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	10-15 09:55
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-10 17:44
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:18
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-15 00:09
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	10-25 05:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-05 12:17
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-06 13:58
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 19:52
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-13 21:49
wti closes above 91 on september 23 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-23 07:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-30 02:19
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-22 23:41
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-26 07:09
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-22 07:31
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-22 20:33
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-10 11:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:32:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf09eab…
10-31 13:09:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcdbc11…
10-26 07:09:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x76aae2…
10-25 23:08:39	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x96d2e6…
10-25 14:47:47	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0d2bad…
10-25 05:38:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb03fe5…
10-23 12:55:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa1c84e…
10-23 04:38:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa19d32…
10-22 20:33:33	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc6bb34…
10-22 12:15:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5e6f88…
10-21 03:07:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0af96c…
10-20 22:04:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc5e38b…
10-20 01:20:54	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x609f63…
10-19 17:20:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb31e97…
10-19 09:19:33	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $166 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfcca24…
10-19 01:19:24	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $97.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe6f911…
10-19 01:19:11	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $46 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1e37c4…
10-18 17:18:51	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3cbe5b…
10-18 07:43:02	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x514c91…
10-17 16:11:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd07683…
10-17 04:22:39	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2c1b0b…
10-16 12:31:27	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xca17d3…
10-16 04:26:03	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaf1b06…
10-15 19:49:50	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2eda15…
10-15 09:55:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x19e909…
10-15 00:09:01	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0eeedc…
10-14 13:45:12	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x632943…
10-14 05:28:40	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe8c5a8…
10-13 21:22:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6e1235…
10-10 11:40:39	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf7aa09…
10-10 01:04:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7d1505…
10-09 04:44:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x203d11…
10-08 20:25:29	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeee199…
10-08 07:41:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4b6820…
10-07 23:36:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9b8b26…
10-07 15:19:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xed2c2c…
10-07 06:13:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x314338…
10-06 22:11:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc7b7c5…
10-06 13:58:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8451b2…
10-06 05:32:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x162910…
10-05 21:32:10	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x93ec83…
10-05 12:17:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1d9df8…
10-05 00:26:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x91ab52…
10-04 18:06:02	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2ec164…
10-02 12:06:27	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd656fd…
10-02 03:09:27	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x289bd0…
10-01 10:48:26	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5730fa…
10-01 02:38:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x622d4e…
09-30 18:30:54	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9ec82c…
09-30 10:24:29	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc556e5…
09-30 02:19:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbf2224…
09-29 17:53:44	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x585df7…
09-29 09:25:45	will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb2ba75…
09-29 01:21:00	will meta dip to 680 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5571ac…
09-28 05:02:12	will nvda reach 232 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfd77f2…
09-28 05:02:05	spx up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6cfa17…
09-28 05:02:03	will coin dip to 182 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1ca532…
09-27 21:01:56	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xce2066…
09-27 08:24:41	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x924c41…
09-27 02:53:35	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x56c5fb…
09-26 07:18:09	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x94d8ab…
09-25 21:43:03	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7ec773…
09-25 13:42:45	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf11c9b…
09-25 04:50:44	spy closes above 770 on september 25 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf166ac…
09-24 16:15:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb040a9…
09-24 08:14:59	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf04e76…
09-24 00:13:47	will meta dip to 710 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x251cb7…
09-23 16:01:13	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8f01d5…
09-23 07:47:28	wti closes above 91 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9f39b1…
09-22 23:41:41	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x704035…
09-22 15:39:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7ee0e3…
09-22 07:31:39	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7abd74…
09-21 23:30:13	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfebed8…
09-21 15:29:56	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6a0785…
09-21 07:19:29	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbabda7…
09-20 22:22:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x809d42…
09-20 04:08:36	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x509b00…
09-19 03:57:28	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x44c517…
09-17 17:34:31	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1521aa…
09-17 04:37:04	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x170ce9…
09-16 19:51:58	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf1ee22…
09-16 10:31:36	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd04121…
09-16 02:31:04	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x159866…
09-15 17:35:01	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc672ff…
09-15 09:30:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa890a0…
09-14 22:28:15	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfc8b08…
09-14 14:07:13	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaf496c…
09-14 05:49:33	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xda2125…
09-13 21:49:19	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xde03b6…
09-11 12:25:34	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc9420c…
09-11 01:57:36	will tsla dip to 360 by september 7 2026 from september 10	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6bf5d5…
09-10 17:44:31	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe8f9e4…
09-10 08:11:01	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x764701…
09-09 19:52:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1fbceb…
09-09 11:49:39	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xeebb1c…
09-09 00:55:43	will aapl reach 320 by september 7 2026 from september 8	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc9cfb3…
09-08 13:09:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x55ccdf…
09-07 23:02:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf10a79…
09-07 13:54:34	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2c4bf3…
09-02 20:46:54	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x94722d…