Notable-Mirror — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

275

lifetime

Volume

$1.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 08-15 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 50% +$3

Other

35% 100% +$1

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	7	$125	80	80	+0	open	—	04-26 06:46
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	7	$112	65	65	+0	open	—	04-10 15:15
Nothing Ever Happens: March	3	$108	80	80	+0	open	—	04-01 05:26
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	1	$100	211	0	+211	open	—	01-28 10:09
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	1	$99	505	0	+505	open	—	01-28 10:10
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$64	120	105	+15	open	—	03-12 19:06
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	7	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	02-12 07:51
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	2	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	06-07 20:01
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	1	$42	45	0	+45	open	—	07-31 05:00
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	4	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-06 12:03
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	2	$33	40	40	+0	open	—	06-15 19:09
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	05-11 17:51
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	2	$27	30	0	+30	Yes	+$3	05-07 21:06
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$26	0	70	-70	open	—	07-28 07:25
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 10:09
will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	3	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	03-06 01:53
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-16 07:49
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	3	$18	40	0	+40	open	—	08-03 05:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 00:23
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	5	$16	0	170	-170	open	—	07-22 08:16
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	1	$16	0	180	-180	open	—	08-13 02:20
dota2 liquid heroic 2026 02 05	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-05 18:30
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-19 11:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$14	55	0	+55	open	—	05-31 13:43
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	6	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	05-23 12:26
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	3	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 13:08
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	3	$13	20	10	+10	open	—	06-04 11:42
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	3	$12	30	0	+30	open	—	08-14 14:31
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	06-30 09:27
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 24 30	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	03-30 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 08:01:52	dota2 ironwi liquid 2026 08 15	Team Liquid	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x7c856d…
08-15 07:01:55	dota2 ironwi liquid 2026 08 15	Team Liquid	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x04ca7b…
08-15 05:34:06	dota2 ironwi liquid 2026 08 15	Team Liquid	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x791ec5…
08-14 14:31:49	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	No	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xef3479…
08-14 07:13:36	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbed5c1…
08-13 04:02:39	dota2 flc lgd 2026 08 12 game1	LGD Gaming	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa83774…
08-13 03:23:22	dota2 flc lgd 2026 08 12 game1	LGD Gaming	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0823f2…
08-13 02:20:40	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	9¢	$16	0x04b0ea…
08-12 10:52:49	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1150c0…
08-12 07:49:19	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x0bff76…
08-10 08:41:42	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x268138…
08-06 14:31:57	will bnb reach 700 in august	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x667d06…
08-05 20:02:00	will bnb reach 700 in august	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x95717f…
08-04 19:42:41	will bnb reach 600 in august	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x465a73…
08-04 14:38:05	will bnb dip to 500 in august	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf3e6a7…
08-03 05:50:00	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x7050f3…
08-03 05:43:30	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7325bc…
08-02 04:38:50	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x22fdd9…
08-01 13:24:54	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x20b5af…
08-01 12:18:38	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x98941c…
08-01 10:04:09	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7872ce…
08-01 10:02:33	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8bab42…
08-01 09:44:56	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x47b411…
08-01 09:41:54	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x44d75a…
08-01 09:27:56	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xc26742…
08-01 09:14:38	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x037523…
08-01 09:08:20	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xcf99f9…
08-01 09:07:12	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0xe7bad0…
07-31 05:00:05	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	45	92¢	$42	0xebd90b…
07-30 07:09:08	will nvda reach 216 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x94e482…
07-28 14:39:11	amzn above 230 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x481a27…
07-28 07:25:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	37¢	$26	0xba18f8…
07-28 04:20:36	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf2c58d…
07-27 13:47:42	spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xf2a45b…
07-27 13:47:40	spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x48400b…
07-27 13:32:24	will nvda reach 216 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6bd429…
07-27 08:08:51	will aapl reach 344 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x33992c…
07-25 13:12:09	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x8ac2d3…
07-25 13:06:00	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xcf6ccb…
07-25 12:52:57	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xaa72c1…
07-25 12:51:58	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf5256d…
07-22 19:59:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xfa0ff7…
07-22 08:16:07	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x41310e…
07-22 02:46:24	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x15b893…
07-22 02:09:43	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x7741db…
07-21 16:15:58	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x5bf1a7…
07-20 11:44:27	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 21 27	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xaf9781…
07-19 20:51:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xfeba43…
07-19 20:50:06	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x859f75…
07-19 12:07:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3540c5…
07-19 08:46:03	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa39fc3…
07-18 09:35:54	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xb710c0…
07-18 07:11:49	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb15024…
07-18 07:10:13	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x06728e…
07-18 07:09:28	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd17ea2…
07-18 05:22:09	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xea5c60…
07-18 05:20:46	Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x5816d8…
07-09 06:05:29	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdd044f…
07-01 18:33:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9c4904…
07-01 12:53:50	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xe1a7c9…
07-01 11:10:20	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	111	10¢	$11	0x816b76…
07-01 07:56:14	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x329f3a…
06-30 11:29:19	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb80f72…
06-30 09:27:32	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa55c30…
06-28 19:02:35	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x931f64…
06-28 19:02:29	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xaf0e13…
06-28 19:02:10	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf4135b…
06-28 08:40:59	will hyperliquid dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x674899…
06-25 07:36:07	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6e81cb…
06-23 21:08:50	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xe45195…
06-23 08:16:49	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf6d866…
06-22 15:30:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x004385…
06-22 00:06:49	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x317c63…
06-19 00:26:14	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x3e4e44…
06-16 05:54:01	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfd88c4…
06-15 20:04:01	world cup any team to score 10 goals in the group stage 20260608154723970	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x729615…
06-15 19:09:07	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x11fa63…
06-15 12:02:07	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x714f65…
06-14 08:20:06	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x986aae…
06-14 08:19:49	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xafbdbe…
06-13 18:56:43	world cup any team to score 10 goals in the group stage 20260608154723970	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x0e9198…
06-13 14:28:04	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x5978d2…
06-12 10:26:24	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xd716a6…
06-12 09:56:52	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	SELL	18	3¢	$0	0x79fca9…
06-12 05:58:12	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xc14fb1…
06-12 05:23:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xabb182…
06-12 05:22:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x61492a…
06-12 04:54:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x50ecc5…
06-12 04:40:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x87c69c…
06-12 04:08:27	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x731e1c…
06-11 08:21:30	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$3,000	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2a7be5…
06-11 03:29:52	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc1ccf4…
06-10 12:32:01	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x958f22…
06-09 13:32:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x586060…
06-09 13:29:39	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0xf3d6aa…
06-09 12:37:10	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	SELL	103	3¢	$3	0x234abf…
06-09 07:46:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0x8772eb…
06-08 18:19:12	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x3a2a6a…
06-07 20:01:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xb8f2f6…
06-06 03:55:43	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5fe43e…