Notable-Mirror — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-12 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 50% +$3

Other

30% 100% +$1

Tech

5% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes		-15	$-4	26¢	$-4	+$0	06-10 12:32
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$3,000		+5	$2	46¢	$2	$-0	06-11 08:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	7	$125	80	80	+0	open	—	04-26 06:46
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	7	$112	65	65	+0	open	—	04-10 15:15
Nothing Ever Happens: March	3	$108	80	80	+0	open	—	04-01 05:26
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	1	$100	211	0	+211	open	—	01-28 10:09
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	1	$99	505	0	+505	open	—	01-28 10:10
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$64	120	105	+15	open	—	03-12 19:06
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	7	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	02-12 07:51
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	2	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	06-07 20:01
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	4	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-06 12:03
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	05-11 17:51
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	2	$27	30	0	+30	Yes	+$3	05-07 21:06
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	1	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	06-12 04:40
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 10:09
will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	3	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	03-06 01:53
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-16 07:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 00:23
dota2 liquid heroic 2026 02 05	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-05 18:30
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-19 11:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$14	55	0	+55	open	—	05-31 13:43
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	6	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	05-23 12:26
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	3	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 13:08
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	3	$13	20	10	+10	open	—	06-04 11:42
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 24 30	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	03-30 08:40
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	2	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	06-04 15:27
dota2 liquid tundra 2026 03 12	3	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	03-12 18:28
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	6	$10	25	15	+10	open	—	03-31 19:41
will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	6	$10	200	200	+0	open	—	06-09 13:32
Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	4	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	05-02 00:03
dota2 aur1 tundra 2026 02 23	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-23 19:24
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	03-06 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 10:26:24	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xd716a6…
06-12 09:56:52	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	SELL	18	3¢	$0	0x79fca9…
06-12 05:58:12	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xc14fb1…
06-12 05:23:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xabb182…
06-12 05:22:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x61492a…
06-12 04:54:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x50ecc5…
06-12 04:40:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x87c69c…
06-12 04:08:27	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x731e1c…
06-11 08:21:30	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$3,000	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2a7be5…
06-11 03:29:52	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc1ccf4…
06-10 12:32:01	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x958f22…
06-09 13:32:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x586060…
06-09 13:29:39	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0xf3d6aa…
06-09 12:37:10	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	SELL	103	3¢	$3	0x234abf…
06-09 07:46:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0x8772eb…
06-08 18:19:12	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt6t by june 30	No	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x3a2a6a…
06-07 20:01:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xb8f2f6…
06-06 03:55:43	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5fe43e…
06-06 03:06:39	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xdb254f…
06-05 19:45:18	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0xa188cd…
06-04 15:27:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb4628f…
06-04 13:46:12	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x01d323…
06-04 11:42:42	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdcf7bd…
06-03 18:33:30	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x65241f…
06-03 16:29:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x1cd416…
06-03 07:28:27	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xd7f40c…
06-03 06:58:32	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xefa112…
06-02 15:49:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x4f1bc1…
06-02 15:32:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xaa1766…
06-02 15:32:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x5753fd…
06-01 12:22:37	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x77e884…
06-01 12:13:21	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xddd14a…
05-31 13:43:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb235c0…
05-30 07:34:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xd4a4d5…
05-30 07:33:10	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc6b065…
05-26 15:40:58	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x557fce…
05-26 12:12:34	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xced7ba…
05-24 07:44:17	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xb9b9f2…
05-23 12:26:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x669006…
05-23 12:22:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x06e9f2…
05-23 12:20:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x7a86a3…
05-22 12:44:00	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc77bfe…
05-20 19:40:33	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Liquid	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc9fa8e…
05-20 13:12:56	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfdc96e…
05-20 11:51:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xe53a11…
05-20 11:27:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x66045a…
05-20 09:54:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdff8e4…
05-19 16:13:03	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7e5b7b…
05-19 12:00:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x227591…
05-19 11:55:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xd5b53d…
05-18 11:28:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x06d5d5…
05-14 09:47:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xc3b6a0…
05-14 09:41:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xf3051e…
05-14 09:37:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xf45ea3…
05-11 17:51:51	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe92e8f…
05-11 10:44:40	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x1974d0…
05-09 20:57:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x6f730b…
05-07 21:06:53	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xbbb1e7…
05-07 15:23:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x22d2a4…
05-07 10:30:00	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xea8540…
05-04 08:08:14	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7df20f…
05-03 00:23:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x763da1…
05-02 13:08:26	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x1b5543…
05-02 12:02:08	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xfa5313…
05-02 00:03:40	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x90aa25…
05-02 00:02:32	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x77af5f…
05-02 00:02:30	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x5af871…
05-01 23:59:02	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xdde410…
05-01 18:14:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xafe65c…
05-01 17:53:02	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x385f0d…
05-01 17:49:22	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xddbf10…
04-28 16:59:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x924b83…
04-26 06:46:02	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0xad3241…
04-21 17:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xa9c0fe…
04-21 17:22:42	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x3f12ce…
04-20 12:22:54	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x147274…
04-20 12:19:42	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x6299d5…
04-18 10:05:04	Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xfa2d7b…
04-18 07:45:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x278adc…
04-16 07:49:48	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x48aa47…
04-13 10:50:53	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x9f15eb…
04-13 10:09:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x43230e…
04-10 15:15:53	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5a435a…
04-08 12:12:57	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4b1de0…
04-06 14:55:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0xf5c743…
04-06 12:55:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xef0d48…
04-06 12:03:43	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc48a5e…
04-06 12:00:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x39cfe5…
04-04 15:12:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xae7147…
04-04 14:05:59	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9c8ee0…
04-04 13:34:39	Will Solana reach $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb17b84…
04-02 14:20:39	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x9b6c57…
04-02 14:20:39	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x845942…
04-02 14:13:47	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xe77d69…
04-02 14:01:59	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xec9175…
04-02 12:54:35	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xf268d2…
04-02 11:50:25	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0xfb8f70…
04-02 06:19:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc123bb…
04-01 08:47:55	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x90e8b8…
04-01 05:26:57	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	80	68¢	$55	0xf8e267…