Realized P&L
-$1.87K
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
86.7%
Resolved
3,522
Trades
5,844
lifetime
Volume
$53.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$950
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 11-07 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
70% 79% -$1,725
Crypto
30% 87% -$146
Politics
0% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 534 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 7? No +193 $192 100¢ $193 +$1 11-07 14:06
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +177 $105 68¢ $120 +$15 10-21 11:06
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? Yes +141 $108 82¢ $116 +$9 10-21 01:40
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +150 $92 68¢ $102 +$11 10-21 13:55
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 8? No +83 $81 99¢ $82 +$1 11-07 17:46
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +177 $80 32¢ $57 -$23 10-21 17:24
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +150 $65 32¢ $48 -$17 10-21 04:44
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? Yes +50 $26 73¢ $36 +$10 10-21 15:51
Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027? No +33 $22 79¢ $26 +$4 10-21 07:03
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? No +140 $35 18¢ $25 -$10 10-21 02:32
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? No +39 $22 54¢ $21 -$1 10-21 10:40
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? Yes +40 $16 46¢ $18 +$2 10-21 10:40
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? No +50 $27 27¢ $14 -$14 10-21 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on November 8? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 11-07 17:01
Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027? Yes +29 $10 21¢ $6 -$4 10-21 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on November 7? Yes +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 11-07 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-07 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-07 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-07 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-07 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-07 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-07 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on November 7? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-07 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 11-07 10:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 11-07 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 11-07 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 11-07 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on November 8? No — +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 11-07 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-07 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on November 8? No — +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 11-07 13:00