Stiff-Carrot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$513

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

1,455

Trades

29,290

lifetime

Volume

$5.95M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$203

Open exposure

$38

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

96% 45% +$46,227

Sports

4% 34% -$61,964

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 535 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+14,154	$48	0¢	$21	-$26	09-10 03:02
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+5,655	$504	0¢	$17	-$487	08-22 12:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	7	$77.5K	53,477	27,273	+26,204	No	+$3,218	06-21 02:06
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	79	$63.8K	66,787	66,787	+0	Yes	+$10,330	06-22 01:26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	239	$50.8K	45,325	33,944	+11,380	G2	+$12,135	06-15 20:37
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	122	$49.3K	43,316	7,797	+35,519	No	+$1,758	06-15 18:17
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	115	$42.2K	98,508	15,000	+83,508	No	+$54,041	06-21 23:46
cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	37	$40.9K	49,449	0	+49,449	Liquid	-$40,926	07-24 16:58
cs2 nemi1 g2 2026 07 22	5	$37.8K	46,830	0	+46,830	G2	+$9,023	07-22 12:32
cs2 furia 9z 2026 06 18	151	$37.3K	34,741	34,731	+9	FURIA	+$12,194	06-18 20:09
cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	189	$35.3K	46,851	32,277	+14,574	Spirit	+$14,403	06-19 18:14
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	602	$35.2K	629,346	356,077	+273,269	No	+$9,267	07-09 09:23
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	16	$32.4K	45,000	10,000	+35,000	No	+$15,775	07-19 20:47
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	396	$32.1K	88,541	5,041	+83,500	Yes	-$23,844	06-22 18:15
lol tt al 2026 08 15	65	$31.3K	24,145	24,145	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$10,427	08-15 13:22
lol hle1 gen 2026 08 05	49	$30.2K	45,000	16,000	+29,000	Gen.G	+$15,470	08-05 13:15
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	68	$28.9K	51,550	0	+51,550	Spain	+$17,632	07-19 21:41
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	27	$28.5K	35,000	0	+35,000	MOUZ	+$6,500	07-21 14:55
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	258	$28.1K	61,996	13,670	+48,326	Yes	-$14,181	06-24 03:34
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	56	$26.8K	39,078	0	+39,078	Bilibili Gaming	+$12,284	07-24 13:01
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?	3	$26.6K	42,453	0	+42,453	No	+$15,812	06-26 01:46
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	17	$26.3K	31,710	0	+31,710	No	+$5,421	06-14 01:02
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	315	$25.5K	38,850	0	+38,850	Yes	-$25,458	06-15 23:46
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	45	$25.0K	39,750	0	+39,750	No	+$14,707	06-14 21:16
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	92	$24.6K	64,758	0	+64,758	No	+$40,141	06-25 17:55
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	66	$24.5K	30,750	0	+30,750	Yes	+$6,220	06-16 21:55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$24.3K	31,206	0	+31,206	No	+$6,865	05-06 18:56
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	61	$24.3K	33,000	16,500	+16,500	Yes	+$13,645	06-23 00:49
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	56	$24.0K	70,170	0	+70,170	Yes	-$23,958	06-23 03:34
cs2 hotu gl1 2026 07 22	105	$23.0K	38,518	14,171	+24,347	HOTU	-$4,823	07-22 16:56
lol kc dk 2026 07 19	38	$22.6K	31,430	0	+31,430	Dplus KIA	+$8,872	07-19 14:08
lol mkoi vit 2026 07 26	15	$22.2K	56,652	10,185	+46,467	Team Vitality	+$39,298	07-26 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:58:27	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x8a6dae…
10-26 21:41:44	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xdc0476…
10-26 21:37:09	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	103	41¢	$42	0xcebc53…
10-26 21:36:57	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0xfdf793…
10-26 21:30:23	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	159	43¢	$68	0x15bd5f…
10-26 18:41:38	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	104	32¢	$33	0x0a38da…
10-26 18:14:27	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x5ea97c…
10-26 18:14:18	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x0d6a4b…
10-26 18:12:03	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xc354e2…
10-26 18:12:03	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x23d8ae…
10-26 18:12:02	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xcce10e…
10-26 18:12:02	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	181	34¢	$61	0x7711b7…
10-26 18:11:09	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x4d6b37…
10-26 18:10:50	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	76	15¢	$11	0x5fbc1f…
10-26 18:10:48	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x6d9940…
10-26 18:10:48	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5953f6…
10-26 18:08:56	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	192	18¢	$35	0x59319e…
10-26 18:08:23	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x011c4e…
10-26 18:07:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xa04a54…
10-26 18:06:56	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x56c728…
10-25 18:15:09	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd4bd96…
10-25 18:15:09	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x85659b…
10-25 18:00:39	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	290	52¢	$151	0xbed594…
10-25 14:11:20	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x685454…
10-25 13:52:06	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	160	39¢	$62	0x458e54…
10-25 13:44:56	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x7aefea…
10-25 13:43:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xc3a718…
10-25 13:43:03	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	587	52¢	$305	0x455f96…
10-25 13:41:54	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x879ae0…
10-25 13:40:41	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0x4a2838…
10-25 09:54:35	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x862aff…
10-25 09:53:08	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0xf1d5ec…
10-25 09:50:00	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x3a2a12…
10-25 09:49:56	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x4160c5…
10-25 09:49:39	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	104	76¢	$79	0x17e438…
10-25 09:46:45	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0x9445b8…
10-25 09:42:53	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	567	5¢	$28	0xcfd430…
10-25 09:42:36	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1a6cf6…
10-24 22:17:59	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0x8e6a8c…
10-24 21:15:24	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x65b4e4…
10-24 19:14:00	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	65	65¢	$43	0xe8da80…
10-24 19:13:57	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xd49466…
10-24 19:13:54	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x3b0a17…
10-24 19:06:54	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x95bc0b…
10-24 18:54:51	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	280	83¢	$232	0x2a019d…
10-24 16:32:02	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x3a8df7…
10-24 16:31:36	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	190	48¢	$91	0x3fc21d…
10-24 14:16:30	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x2462b5…
10-24 14:16:29	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x456d85…
10-24 14:16:29	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x2a6a44…
10-24 14:13:15	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	137	41¢	$56	0xafdad4…
10-24 14:13:00	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xc89413…
10-24 14:12:36	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x6a9676…
10-24 14:12:17	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	23	41¢	$10	0x7ec363…
10-24 14:12:15	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc86be0…
10-24 14:12:15	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x506605…
10-17 00:08:23	lol fur c9 2026 10 16	Cloud9	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x281b9e…
10-16 23:41:39	lol fur c9 2026 10 16	Cloud9	BUY	361	41¢	$148	0x895f74…
10-16 23:39:08	lol fur c9 2026 10 16	Cloud9	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x6d2cd7…
10-16 23:33:35	lol fur c9 2026 10 16	FURIA Esports	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x740ed6…
10-16 22:00:47	lol fur c9 2026 10 16	FURIA Esports	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x4b98c6…
10-16 12:36:37	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0x1cde8b…
10-16 12:36:22	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	309	40¢	$124	0xe02309…
10-16 00:07:43	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	MVK Esports	BUY	142	44¢	$62	0xdc2cd8…
10-15 21:54:03	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Karmine Corp	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x4b1e56…
10-13 19:09:31	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xaf5c38…
10-13 19:08:28	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0fe94b…
10-13 18:32:45	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xc26b76…
10-13 13:52:58	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x628482…
10-13 13:34:19	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x18c497…
10-13 03:41:17	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	FlyQuest	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x9492dd…
10-13 00:57:32	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xb1393f…
10-12 05:15:00	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x2a39e1…
10-12 05:14:59	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x87248f…
10-12 05:14:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8a0309…
10-12 05:14:30	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	261	80¢	$209	0xc8fab3…
10-12 05:14:11	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2053c6…
09-24 22:44:57	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,031	0¢	$3	0x9000ca…
09-20 16:21:01	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	479	13¢	$62	0x9ee3ae…
09-19 23:26:22	LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	LYON	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x35d702…
09-19 16:19:51	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	106	51¢	$54	0xf7f2cf…
09-19 16:19:48	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd3215c…
09-19 16:19:41	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9e530e…
09-19 16:19:32	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xcdf3f1…
09-19 16:19:32	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x69db50…
09-19 16:19:29	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfd1fdc…
09-19 16:19:29	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc15645…
09-19 16:19:29	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xa3f21d…
09-19 16:19:29	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x82f037…
09-19 16:19:29	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0051bb…
09-19 16:19:27	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xee0ac5…
09-19 16:19:27	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb90980…
09-19 16:19:27	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x8189eb…
09-19 16:19:27	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0x40bc87…
09-19 16:19:23	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x105eef…
09-19 16:07:33	lol kc mkoi 2026 09 19	Karmine Corp	BUY	234	54¢	$126	0x7254db…
09-19 16:05:02	lol kc mkoi 2026 09 19	Karmine Corp	BUY	384	54¢	$207	0x96f3fc…
09-19 16:04:11	lol kc mkoi 2026 09 19	Karmine Corp	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0xb22573…
09-19 16:04:08	lol kc mkoi 2026 09 19	Karmine Corp	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x758d2f…
09-19 16:04:06	lol kc mkoi 2026 09 19	Karmine Corp	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6285a4…