Limited-Oxford — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

Trades

735

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-22 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 37% $-23

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 584 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	$2	36¢	$1	$-0	06-22 06:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771010700	3	$48	27	27	+0	open	—	02-13 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$15	505	5	+500	open	—	05-04 14:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$14	18	9	+10	open	—	05-04 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	12	$12	14	14	+0	Down	$-0	05-04 22:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	10	$10	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 23:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	10	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$10	513	0	+513	open	—	05-04 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	05-04 14:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 15:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	10	$10	9	9	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 01:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	8	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	8	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 15:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	8	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$8	9	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 23:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	8	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	8	$8	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-04 23:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	8	$8	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-04 23:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	8	$8	9	9	+0	Down	$-0	05-04 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	8	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$-0	05-04 22:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	8	$7	9	9	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 00:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	7	$7	8	6	+3	open	—	05-04 16:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 19:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	7	$7	82	7	+74	Down	$-1	05-04 20:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	6	$7	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 06:32:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xe80cc0…
06-22 05:03:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x26dc04…
06-22 00:34:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x6ee6bc…
06-21 18:14:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x3f82c8…
06-21 16:37:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x38fd9b…
06-21 14:36:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x50cf56…
06-21 14:20:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xd9e004…
06-21 13:53:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xee75ac…
06-21 13:34:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x18e590…
06-21 01:54:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xcb7c88…
06-20 21:00:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x4f435b…
06-20 13:45:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xd269f3…
06-17 21:12:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x36c6cf…
06-14 21:31:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xc51bb6…
06-14 21:31:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x92d757…
06-14 21:20:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xbd0943…
06-14 21:20:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xd4db79…
06-11 20:27:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8fb730…
06-11 19:49:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xb7590e…
06-11 17:47:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0xe79c0e…
06-02 21:54:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd0a32b…
06-01 18:30:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x82ab65…
06-01 16:23:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd84f31…
06-01 14:01:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x66ae9a…
06-01 14:01:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x273d22…
05-30 13:26:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x9c3735…
05-30 13:26:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x76af0c…
05-30 11:32:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xbf11c5…
05-30 11:26:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x40c7d5…
05-30 07:51:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x3860fe…
05-29 19:43:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x677937…
05-29 17:56:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xedf976…
05-29 16:16:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xf030b1…
05-29 16:16:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xde491d…
05-29 16:16:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x789281…
05-29 16:16:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xa5499d…
05-28 19:36:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x970763…
05-28 17:35:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2e1103…
05-28 04:32:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x448c62…
05-28 04:07:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x0729c0…
05-28 04:07:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd77bbe…
05-27 22:54:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8e429f…
05-27 20:19:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xcae3e1…
05-27 20:16:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x7cc697…
05-26 14:57:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x57f9e1…
05-26 14:57:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x047f7d…
05-26 10:45:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x1a0b22…
05-25 06:03:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x762ea7…
05-24 16:00:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x29ac4a…
05-05 00:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x7f6626…
05-05 00:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x52f009…
05-05 00:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8d6a40…
05-05 00:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5e3789…
05-05 00:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x538448…
05-05 00:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x350f19…
05-05 00:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x4108bd…
05-05 00:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x409cd2…
05-05 00:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xd40148…
05-05 00:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x679550…
05-05 00:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfb3214…
05-05 00:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5be71d…
05-05 00:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x633fcf…
05-05 00:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xab9d3d…
05-05 00:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf7de52…
05-05 00:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xea463d…
05-05 00:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xa807a3…
05-05 00:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xeaff0a…
05-05 00:10:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x73eea9…
05-05 00:10:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x383ce2…
05-05 00:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa9d08a…
05-05 00:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x725fae…
05-05 00:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x21c24f…
05-05 00:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x43b629…
05-05 00:08:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf92f3d…
05-05 00:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x777398…
05-05 00:07:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x5e5c38…
05-05 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x333e76…
05-05 00:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd4686e…
05-05 00:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb4d5ee…
05-05 00:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x1a0d48…
05-05 00:06:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x93b90b…
05-05 00:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xe2cc99…
05-05 00:05:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x99d9b1…
05-05 00:05:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x95ca18…
05-05 00:05:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xc770b1…
05-05 00:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb33da1…
05-05 00:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x493191…
05-05 00:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xdfde84…
05-05 00:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xaaa335…
05-05 00:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf27755…
05-05 00:02:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x543307…
05-05 00:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xcb95f8…
05-05 00:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2686f7…
05-05 00:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x6d1741…
05-05 00:01:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x86ee26…
05-05 00:00:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8d35a0…
05-05 00:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7e8dc6…
05-05 00:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x20cdd7…
05-05 00:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd9f33f…
05-04 23:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd5558f…