Dependent-Leveret — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

11 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$23

$23 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-16 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 60% +$3

Other

43% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?	Yes		-5	$-0	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-16 09:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$4	0	5	-5	Up	$-1	05-12 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	05-15 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	$-2	05-12 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	+$3	05-12 19:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 16?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$2	0	5	-5	Down	+$2	05-13 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	0	5	-5	Up	+$1	05-12 18:31
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 17?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 15?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?	1	$0	0	5	-5	open	—	05-16 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 17?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x95d1bd…
05-16 09:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x41099b…
05-15 19:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8c7875…
05-15 17:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2390cf…
05-15 10:19:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa5d5fc…
05-15 10:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6e4967…
05-13 14:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xcfe6ee…
05-12 19:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x43c8d9…
05-12 19:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xbb863c…
05-12 18:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x81abe0…
05-12 16:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x80a620…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	5	$1.33K	24	05-16 03:40
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	3	$735	9	05-12 19:46