Identical-Appetiser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$153

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

133

Trades

16,167

lifetime

Volume

$68.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-14 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% $-153

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 1212 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	3	$586	553	553	+0	open	—	06-10 12:31
btc updown 5m 1782610500	170	$439	339	428	-89	open	—	06-28 01:39
btc updown 5m 1782609300	201	$404	389	483	-94	open	—	06-28 01:20
btc updown 5m 1782609900	117	$336	223	320	-97	open	—	06-28 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	9	$321	206	206	+0	open	—	04-29 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	8	$321	267	267	+0	open	—	04-29 21:48
btc updown 5m 1782603600	132	$288	267	355	-88	open	—	06-27 23:45
btc updown 5m 1782783900	101	$270	250	197	+53	open	—	06-30 01:48
btc updown 5m 1782777300	99	$266	260	215	+45	open	—	06-30 00:00
btc updown 5m 1782927300	81	$260	200	157	+43	open	—	07-01 17:39
btc updown 5m 1783044000	98	$254	240	227	+13	open	—	07-03 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	8	$246	149	149	+0	open	—	05-03 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	8	$246	208	208	+0	open	—	04-29 21:59
btc updown 5m 1782611100	124	$244	221	308	-88	open	—	06-28 01:50
btc updown 5m 1782949200	86	$242	200	175	+25	open	—	07-01 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	6	$230	240	146	+94	open	—	05-03 19:19
btc updown 5m 1783114500	53	$228	245	140	+105	open	—	07-03 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	7	$219	195	195	+0	open	—	04-29 21:54
btc updown 5m 1781663700	30	$215	0	420	-420	open	—	06-17 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$208	124	124	+0	open	—	05-03 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	05-03 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	7	$194	144	144	+0	open	—	05-03 17:48
btc updown 5m 1782945600	88	$186	225	186	+39	open	—	07-01 22:44
btc updown 5m 1783042200	71	$186	175	150	+25	open	—	07-03 01:34
btc updown 5m 1783034400	69	$186	166	155	+11	open	—	07-02 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	8	$182	188	117	+71	open	—	04-29 22:13
btc updown 5m 1783043400	62	$180	160	130	+30	open	—	07-03 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	10	$174	165	164	+0	open	—	05-03 15:27
btc updown 5m 1783045200	51	$169	125	108	+17	open	—	07-03 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	7	$169	155	155	+0	open	—	05-03 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 02:07:24	btc updown 5m 1786673100	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x94048f…
08-14 02:04:34	btc updown 5m 1786672800	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x502fc2…
08-14 02:03:37	btc updown 5m 1786672800	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xead4d4…
08-14 02:03:37	btc updown 5m 1786672800	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x9db35a…
08-14 02:03:37	btc updown 5m 1786672800	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x3d810a…
08-14 02:03:37	btc updown 5m 1786672800	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x0124b6…
08-14 02:03:36	btc updown 5m 1786672800	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x635eae…
08-14 02:02:09	btc updown 5m 1786672800	Up	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x4d5b0a…
08-14 01:53:01	btc updown 5m 1786672200	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x265a37…
08-14 01:51:12	btc updown 5m 1786672200	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbf081a…
08-14 01:51:12	btc updown 5m 1786672200	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbcbf28…
08-14 01:40:22	btc updown 5m 1786671600	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xcc4f97…
08-14 01:40:21	btc updown 5m 1786671600	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x33bf39…
08-14 01:35:48	btc updown 5m 1786671300	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xfccfa8…
08-14 01:35:48	btc updown 5m 1786671300	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x518db7…
08-14 01:34:15	btc updown 5m 1786671000	Up	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x682540…
08-14 01:33:49	btc updown 5m 1786671000	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xa1d0b2…
08-12 01:58:39	btc updown 5m 1786499700	Down	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0xeafa93…
08-12 01:58:21	btc updown 5m 1786499700	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1136c3…
08-12 01:57:33	btc updown 5m 1786499700	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xb114ec…
08-12 01:57:33	btc updown 5m 1786499700	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xaf5c80…
08-12 01:57:33	btc updown 5m 1786499700	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xac5ef0…
08-12 01:56:06	btc updown 5m 1786499700	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x79faa3…
08-12 01:55:33	btc updown 5m 1786499700	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x7c392f…
08-12 01:54:54	btc updown 5m 1786499400	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xaaee16…
08-12 01:54:33	btc updown 5m 1786499400	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x32623c…
08-12 01:45:52	hype updown 5m 1786499100	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xabb223…
08-12 01:42:10	hype updown 5m 1786498800	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x589c55…
08-12 01:41:33	hype updown 5m 1786498800	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x1ea80b…
08-12 01:41:01	hype updown 5m 1786498800	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xdc688e…
08-12 01:40:54	hype updown 5m 1786498800	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2ed13f…
08-12 01:08:40	hype updown 5m 1786496700	Down	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x8e5040…
08-12 01:08:10	hype updown 5m 1786496700	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf30b34…
08-12 01:07:21	hype updown 5m 1786496700	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x599ffb…
08-12 01:07:04	hype updown 5m 1786496700	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb69331…
08-12 01:07:04	hype updown 5m 1786496700	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8e1946…
08-12 01:07:00	hype updown 5m 1786496700	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x71041a…
08-12 01:07:00	hype updown 5m 1786496700	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x5a7fb3…
08-12 01:06:58	hype updown 5m 1786496700	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd85280…
08-12 00:57:46	hype updown 5m 1786496100	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x6eae39…
08-12 00:55:39	hype updown 5m 1786496100	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6089ae…
08-12 00:55:33	hype updown 5m 1786496100	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xd7a658…
08-12 00:41:13	hype updown 5m 1786495200	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x1a3aa1…
08-12 00:40:36	hype updown 5m 1786495200	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0993f0…
08-12 00:40:33	hype updown 5m 1786495200	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x91362e…
08-12 00:40:27	hype updown 5m 1786495200	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x183de4…
08-12 00:37:58	hype updown 5m 1786494900	Down	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xf3e92a…
08-12 00:37:54	hype updown 5m 1786494900	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xeba32f…
08-12 00:37:51	hype updown 5m 1786494900	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x5a3431…
08-12 00:37:49	hype updown 5m 1786494900	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xe0d423…
08-12 00:37:49	hype updown 5m 1786494900	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x576af9…
08-12 00:37:48	hype updown 5m 1786494900	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xecdeed…
08-12 00:37:48	hype updown 5m 1786494900	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7b6852…
08-12 00:37:48	hype updown 5m 1786494900	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x21f895…
08-12 00:33:31	hype updown 5m 1786494600	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x2541cc…
08-12 00:33:00	hype updown 5m 1786494600	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x0262c7…
08-12 00:26:22	hype updown 5m 1786494300	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5c41f9…
08-12 00:26:04	hype updown 5m 1786494300	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x850034…
08-12 00:23:28	hype updown 5m 1786494000	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x3b14d9…
08-12 00:22:21	hype updown 5m 1786494000	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xc4b2b8…
08-12 00:19:33	hype updown 5m 1786493700	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x987b5b…
08-12 00:18:58	hype updown 5m 1786493700	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc2f160…
08-12 00:17:18	hype updown 5m 1786494000	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x17436e…
08-12 00:16:42	hype updown 5m 1786494000	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x389562…
08-12 00:13:28	hype updown 5m 1786493400	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xdfa37c…
08-12 00:13:28	hype updown 5m 1786493400	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x590291…
08-12 00:13:28	hype updown 5m 1786493400	Down	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x3e6989…
08-12 00:13:27	hype updown 5m 1786493400	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x592722…
08-12 00:13:25	hype updown 5m 1786493400	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xcc7682…
08-12 00:12:25	hype updown 5m 1786493400	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x5023c4…
08-12 00:12:06	hype updown 5m 1786493400	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfec24b…
08-12 00:12:04	hype updown 5m 1786493400	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe933e3…
08-12 00:09:33	hype updown 5m 1786493100	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xe03833…
08-12 00:09:28	hype updown 5m 1786493100	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x4b59fe…
08-12 00:09:27	hype updown 5m 1786493100	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xd7b539…
08-12 00:09:12	hype updown 5m 1786493100	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xf4a031…
08-12 00:08:57	hype updown 5m 1786493100	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xfd53c1…
08-12 00:08:55	hype updown 5m 1786493100	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x9c3e62…
08-12 00:08:55	hype updown 5m 1786493100	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x80ff78…
08-12 00:07:57	hype updown 5m 1786493100	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x866c80…
08-11 23:58:51	hype updown 5m 1786492500	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x3c6c07…
08-11 23:57:42	hype updown 5m 1786492500	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xeca168…
08-11 23:57:42	hype updown 5m 1786492500	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x689061…
08-11 23:57:40	hype updown 5m 1786492500	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xcd611a…
08-11 23:57:33	hype updown 5m 1786492500	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xd5fd76…
08-11 23:57:33	hype updown 5m 1786492500	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x7834ae…
08-11 23:54:37	hype updown 5m 1786492200	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x41450b…
08-10 04:00:10	btc updown 5m 1786334400	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x444304…
08-10 03:40:04	btc updown 5m 1786333200	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7d13d6…
08-10 03:27:22	eth updown 5m 1786332600	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x2b6921…
08-10 03:26:36	eth updown 5m 1786332600	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6c4639…
08-10 01:55:21	btc updown 5m 1786326900	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8d7d45…
08-10 01:52:13	btc updown 5m 1786326600	Down	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x632d71…
08-10 01:49:43	btc updown 5m 1786326600	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfaef70…
08-10 01:43:55	btc updown 5m 1786326000	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x478f5c…
08-10 01:41:00	btc updown 5m 1786326000	Up	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x14fd1c…
08-10 01:40:24	btc updown 5m 1786326000	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3bf884…
08-10 01:30:39	btc updown 5m 1786325400	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x519d07…
08-09 21:52:06	hype updown 5m 1786312200	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xdb8a87…
08-09 21:51:16	hype updown 5m 1786312200	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x41068a…