Real-Rabbit — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.6%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

1,628 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$94

$21.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 11-02 23:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

87% 35% -$80

Crypto

13% 42% -$246

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 488 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,076	1,076	+0	Yes	-$29	08-10 14:49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	2	$864	629	629	+0	Yes	+$190	08-01 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	7	$828	739	739	+0	Yes	+$33	08-08 13:35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	2	$827	585	585	+0	Yes	+$191	08-12 05:08
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	8	$740	612	612	+0	No	-$5	07-25 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	18	$724	685	685	+0	Yes	+$24	06-10 14:57
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	6	$721	633	633	+0	No	+$15	08-03 14:23
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	10	$625	726	726	+0	No	-$72	07-24 20:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	9	$617	669	669	+0	No	-$63	07-27 14:35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	3	$571	678	678	+0	No	-$155	07-22 02:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	9	$561	699	699	+0	No	-$140	07-31 11:24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	17	$523	550	494	+56	No	-$11	05-22 06:48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	4	$501	607	607	+0	Yes	-$172	08-13 22:56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	4	$493	469	469	+0	No	+$45	07-15 10:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	2	$457	319	319	+0	Yes	+$135	07-13 08:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	24	$448	905	0	+905	Up	-$36	08-26 00:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	3	$437	319	319	+0	Yes	+$126	07-20 08:19
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	11	$385	359	358	+1	Yes	+$28	07-08 15:40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$354	734	0	+734	No	-$354	08-04 07:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	2	$348	254	254	+0	Yes	+$95	07-18 04:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	4	$344	256	256	+0	Yes	+$113	07-11 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 14?	3	$279	419	370	+49	No	+$195	08-14 06:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	6	$264	293	293	+0	No	-$4	07-18 21:20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$263	200	200	+0	Yes	+$55	06-26 12:48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	2	$259	174	174	+0	Yes	+$68	07-04 04:48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	5	$220	158	158	+0	Yes	+$60	07-27 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	3	$216	151	151	+0	Yes	+$62	06-20 06:29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	2	$201	153	153	+0	Yes	+$19	07-06 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	2	$182	118	118	+0	Yes	+$54	06-08 17:16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	2	$167	141	141	+0	Yes	+$1	05-26 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 23:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd4adeb…
11-02 23:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbe3d9f…
11-02 23:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd16323…
11-02 23:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x215efa…
11-02 22:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xeb9c28…
11-02 22:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7143d2…
11-02 22:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x85b698…
11-02 22:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x021cf2…
11-02 22:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7cf80b…
11-02 22:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x30ea8c…
11-02 22:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc774f3…
11-02 22:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5e2c10…
11-02 22:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xca9725…
11-02 22:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x10af40…
11-02 22:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x29cacc…
11-02 22:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x02d58c…
11-02 21:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xcdeb4e…
11-02 21:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x008cb8…
11-02 21:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3d87f8…
11-02 21:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe8183a…
11-02 21:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf88c0f…
11-01 03:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcd78ae…
11-01 03:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2d25f3…
11-01 03:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe94f4c…
11-01 03:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xca05c5…
11-01 03:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6fd130…
11-01 03:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xda78e2…
11-01 03:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf85e8a…
11-01 03:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x91cf15…
11-01 03:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf55167…
11-01 03:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xecacda…
11-01 03:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2a24b1…
11-01 03:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8e92e5…
11-01 03:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2afa28…
11-01 03:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf1d4b3…
11-01 03:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb5a788…
11-01 03:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xad2cdd…
11-01 03:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9da341…
11-01 03:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1aa969…
11-01 03:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x480712…
11-01 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x5ece1e…
11-01 03:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa99f1b…
11-01 03:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8a5983…
11-01 03:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x72d701…
11-01 03:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x843ca9…
11-01 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x58bbc5…
11-01 03:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x856eb1…
11-01 02:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xa37661…
11-01 02:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x543b59…
11-01 02:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x0cc219…
11-01 02:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe8e879…
11-01 02:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc2974f…
11-01 02:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x9d319e…
11-01 02:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x05db5e…
11-01 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x83b754…
11-01 02:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa36686…
11-01 02:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x3b1f32…
11-01 02:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2399b7…
11-01 02:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x905463…
11-01 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2cea76…
11-01 02:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x913f86…
11-01 02:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x10d930…
11-01 02:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x913558…
11-01 02:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x8aae29…
11-01 02:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xebfd0e…
11-01 02:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x056f65…
11-01 02:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2f500a…
11-01 02:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xeb5f17…
11-01 02:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5f3c82…
11-01 02:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x21b136…
11-01 02:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe92172…
11-01 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa41427…
11-01 02:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x85c4ca…
11-01 02:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1fa09e…
11-01 02:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd2814c…
11-01 02:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8cd1fe…
11-01 02:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5a220e…
11-01 02:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x30dcaf…
11-01 02:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x58dbe6…
11-01 02:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xb5b08e…
11-01 02:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x84f444…
11-01 02:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf8d07c…
11-01 02:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xb8d2ab…
11-01 02:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x90d8f2…
11-01 02:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x86d895…
11-01 01:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb9c44f…
11-01 01:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x7dfd13…
11-01 01:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1d7b54…
11-01 01:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6c60d1…
11-01 01:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x5b2b60…
11-01 01:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbc6138…
11-01 01:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x606ca7…
11-01 01:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xd37341…
11-01 01:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe8aecd…
11-01 01:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1bf1d9…
11-01 01:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf11d0d…
11-01 01:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x437ba1…
11-01 01:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4ba7ff…
11-01 01:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x64b85c…
11-01 01:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x111955…