Real-Rabbit — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$574

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved (90d)

156

Trades (90d)

489

857 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$9.28K

$19.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-27 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

94% 35% -$80

Crypto

6% 40% -$74

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,076	1,076	+0	Yes	-$29	08-10 14:49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	2	$864	629	629	+0	Yes	+$190	08-01 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	7	$828	739	739	+0	Yes	+$33	08-08 13:35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	2	$827	585	585	+0	Yes	+$191	08-12 05:08
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	8	$740	612	612	+0	No	-$5	07-25 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	18	$724	685	685	+0	Yes	+$24	06-10 14:57
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	6	$721	633	633	+0	No	+$15	08-03 14:23
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	10	$625	726	726	+0	No	-$72	07-24 20:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	9	$617	669	669	+0	No	-$63	07-27 14:35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	3	$571	678	678	+0	No	-$155	07-22 02:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	9	$561	699	699	+0	No	-$140	07-31 11:24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	17	$523	550	494	+56	No	-$11	05-22 06:48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	4	$501	607	607	+0	Yes	-$172	08-13 22:56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	4	$493	469	469	+0	No	+$45	07-15 10:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	2	$457	319	319	+0	Yes	+$135	07-13 08:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	24	$448	905	0	+905	Up	-$36	08-26 00:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	3	$437	319	319	+0	Yes	+$126	07-20 08:19
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	11	$385	359	358	+1	Yes	+$28	07-08 15:40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$354	734	0	+734	No	-$354	08-04 07:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	2	$348	254	254	+0	Yes	+$95	07-18 04:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	4	$344	256	256	+0	Yes	+$113	07-11 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 14?	3	$279	419	370	+49	No	+$195	08-14 06:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	6	$264	293	293	+0	No	-$4	07-18 21:20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$263	200	200	+0	Yes	+$55	06-26 12:48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	2	$259	174	174	+0	Yes	+$68	07-04 04:48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	5	$220	158	158	+0	Yes	+$60	07-27 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	3	$216	151	151	+0	Yes	+$62	06-20 06:29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	2	$201	153	153	+0	Yes	+$19	07-06 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	2	$182	118	118	+0	Yes	+$54	06-08 17:16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	2	$167	141	141	+0	Yes	+$1	05-26 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb814da…
10-27 20:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcb2e9e…
10-27 20:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd31442…
10-27 20:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x00c0bf…
10-27 20:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf1dc3d…
10-27 20:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x436652…
10-27 20:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdb3ab8…
10-27 20:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xac357d…
10-27 20:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x83ef71…
10-27 20:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x295af7…
10-27 20:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x262ce2…
10-27 20:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa2b73f…
10-27 20:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcd6362…
10-27 20:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x9a90a6…
10-27 20:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x01555b…
10-27 20:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x33f204…
10-27 20:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x50738f…
10-27 19:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x155251…
10-27 19:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x10301e…
10-27 19:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0716af…
10-27 19:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaef627…
10-27 19:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2632bc…
10-27 19:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2d3b4a…
10-27 19:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9e454a…
10-27 19:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x3da0aa…
10-27 19:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x854432…
10-27 19:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x671195…
10-27 19:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4e84fe…
10-27 19:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x09d6fb…
10-27 19:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x039d1f…
10-27 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x37b8e8…
10-27 19:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x127755…
10-27 19:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6496f3…
10-27 19:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8f326d…
10-27 19:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfed4a1…
10-27 18:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x45e9e8…
10-27 18:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0a1524…
10-27 18:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xaa41b3…
10-27 18:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe47514…
10-27 18:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3f1388…
10-27 18:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x22018b…
10-27 14:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe648e9…
10-27 14:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe7573d…
10-27 13:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x864ac0…
10-27 13:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4639c1…
10-27 13:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7308fd…
10-27 13:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd170d6…
10-27 13:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcdb089…
10-27 13:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7e4006…
10-27 13:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xbc0727…
10-27 13:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x5d2c91…
10-27 13:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xda4e83…
10-27 13:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6cf120…
10-27 13:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x6b404f…
10-27 13:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x183f70…
10-27 13:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0e9f85…
10-27 13:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf9dae8…
10-27 13:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x825a2d…
10-27 12:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8f273c…
10-27 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x283e2a…
10-27 12:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4bf599…
10-27 12:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe14cc8…
10-27 12:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6adb15…
10-27 12:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf6e3bf…
10-27 12:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbd6e28…
10-27 12:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb7938a…
10-27 12:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa4c9e1…
10-27 12:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4a1701…
10-27 12:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x461348…
10-27 12:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf7462e…
10-27 12:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9d1196…
10-27 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf46038…
10-27 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xdcc15b…
10-27 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x1218a7…
10-27 12:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xb10f1c…
10-27 12:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x52588c…
10-25 15:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0xb996e7…
10-25 15:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x91674c…
10-25 05:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4b6f00…
10-25 05:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9ba0fe…
10-25 05:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xef9179…
10-25 05:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa85b0a…
10-25 05:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x7ab3f7…
10-25 05:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x77ab24…
10-25 05:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6133e4…
10-25 04:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4d1581…
10-25 04:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe6e312…
10-25 04:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x031a13…
10-25 04:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd54a66…
10-25 04:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x48c521…
10-25 04:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x79ba61…
10-25 04:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe43826…
10-25 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x702ed1…
10-25 04:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4c156c…
10-25 03:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x93e321…
10-25 03:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x664834…
10-25 03:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x6b829b…
10-25 03:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x69d2bd…
10-25 03:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x3fddea…
10-25 03:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0x1abb83…