Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
43.8%
Resolved
10
Trades
129
lifetime
Volume
$290
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$19
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-09 06:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 56% $-19
Other
39%
Tech
8% 0% $-0
Politics
3%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-05 06:18
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam? No -8 $-4 59¢ $-5 $-1 06-04 15:16
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? Yes -6 $-4 55¢ $-4 +$1 06-04 14:42
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes -4 $-3 82¢ $-3 $-0 06-04 15:16
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? No -3 $-1 45¢ $-1 $-1 06-05 15:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -7 $-2 16¢ $-1 +$1 06-04 15:16
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No -0 $-0 18¢ $-0 $-0 06-05 15:10