Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.8%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$355

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-18 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Crypto

39% 56% $-19

Tech

8% 0% $-0

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	7	$49	26	26	+0	open	—	06-18 17:14
will ewy dip to 175 by june 8 2026	9	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	06-12 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	18	$36	969	0	+969	Up	$-2	05-06 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	14	$28	35	0	+35	Up	+$7	05-06 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	11	$22	55	0	+55	Down	$-22	05-06 19:49
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	7	$21	13	9	+4	open	—	05-12 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	10	$20	28	0	+28	Down	+$8	05-06 19:11
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	7	$14	9	7	+2	open	—	05-12 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$14	33	0	+33	Down	$-11	05-06 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-06 19:09
New pandemic in 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	06-13 10:46
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	5	$8	54	0	+54	open	—	05-07 11:52
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	3	$6	4	3	+1	No	$-0	05-07 02:22
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	3	$6	4	2	+2	open	—	05-12 14:17
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	3	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-07 21:08
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	4	$6	25	7	+18	open	—	05-19 19:38
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	2	$5	0	9	-9	open	—	06-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	Up	$-4	05-06 19:40
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-12 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	05-06 19:18
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-12 10:00
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	1	$4	0	13	-13	open	—	06-13 10:45
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?	1	$4	0	8	-8	open	—	06-04 15:16
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	2	$3	0	4	-4	open	—	06-05 15:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	7	4	+3	open	—	05-24 18:08
ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06 go the distance	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 02:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	05-12 10:01
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-07 21:06
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-12 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-06 19:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 17:14:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x66a3d3…
06-17 04:49:07	cs2 sparta inox 2026 06 17	SPARTA	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x19f448…
06-17 04:47:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf9738c…
06-13 10:46:00	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x02b0f6…
06-13 10:45:54	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x0f6ec1…
06-12 05:25:48	will ewy dip to 175 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd480e3…
06-12 05:25:31	will ewy dip to 175 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x001038…
06-12 05:25:24	will ewy dip to 175 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x463961…
06-12 05:25:06	will ewy dip to 175 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x195ac5…
06-12 05:24:46	will ewy dip to 175 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x303feb…
06-12 05:24:21	will ewy dip to 175 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4ccc1b…
06-12 05:23:03	will ewy dip to 175 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x20dee7…
06-12 05:22:21	will ewy dip to 175 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9a435e…
06-12 05:20:58	will ewy dip to 175 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x79de56…
06-09 06:10:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$19	0xfeb750…
06-08 15:50:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4b15d3…
06-08 15:50:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x29593a…
06-07 03:49:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa56dcc…
06-07 02:29:39	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06 go the distance	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x71e82a…
06-06 10:07:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xace0e6…
06-05 15:10:01	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xd57543…
06-05 15:09:58	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xd39dec…
06-05 06:18:31	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x58dabc…
06-04 15:16:39	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x01644b…
06-04 15:16:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xe1f4f3…
06-04 15:16:25	Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xfb14c8…
06-04 14:42:12	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x9b0fd8…
05-24 18:08:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x04fccf…
05-22 11:07:45	Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xff3e4a…
05-19 21:01:16	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x5010da…
05-19 19:38:44	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x10fddf…
05-12 14:19:32	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x18d97c…
05-12 14:17:10	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2ad1d7…
05-12 12:08:50	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf2d478…
05-12 12:07:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xaf1688…
05-12 12:07:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xac961b…
05-12 11:41:07	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa42327…
05-12 11:08:57	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0ad471…
05-12 10:01:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x2d97eb…
05-12 10:00:53	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x399267…
05-12 10:00:47	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x503286…
05-12 09:53:39	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x94f5bc…
05-12 09:53:30	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xeb1738…
05-07 21:08:35	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf7ddda…
05-07 21:08:29	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xa644ae…
05-07 21:08:24	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2b8dbe…
05-07 21:06:23	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x91426e…
05-07 20:55:11	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x19e802…
05-07 20:53:14	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6e91a…
05-07 20:36:40	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc7d987…
05-07 20:09:12	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x70fdf0…
05-07 20:07:00	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x23c9ed…
05-07 18:26:04	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x976ec0…
05-07 17:55:59	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x0eeb2e…
05-07 17:55:35	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd477b6…
05-07 17:55:28	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x87de71…
05-07 17:46:22	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x14060e…
05-07 17:43:53	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x78c1f2…
05-07 11:52:03	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x73adbe…
05-07 11:51:05	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x89dcd7…
05-07 11:41:21	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa6c780…
05-07 09:28:19	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x604abf…
05-07 09:17:17	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x06361a…
05-07 05:38:08	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1473f9…
05-07 05:37:42	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2f7f16…
05-07 05:37:33	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x52a25d…
05-07 05:27:24	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x9d253a…
05-07 05:24:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x6196bc…
05-07 02:30:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x02bcea…
05-07 02:30:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x46caa1…
05-07 02:22:52	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xbcddbb…
05-07 02:22:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa9fffe…
05-07 02:22:32	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8429b8…
05-06 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9297cd…
05-06 20:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xde899a…
05-06 20:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5258b7…
05-06 20:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0425c7…
05-06 20:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x6da60a…
05-06 20:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x1f9e4c…
05-06 20:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9d2de4…
05-06 20:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x47c936…
05-06 20:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3329cf…
05-06 20:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x95357e…
05-06 20:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe282f3…
05-06 20:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x645ee9…
05-06 20:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x239d7d…
05-06 20:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf3ecdf…
05-06 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0ee46b…
05-06 20:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x165dda…
05-06 20:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x91c9d3…
05-06 20:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2a6808…
05-06 19:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe6a78c…
05-06 19:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb27980…
05-06 19:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2aa904…
05-06 19:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x76fee6…
05-06 19:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb9a154…
05-06 19:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x051121…
05-06 19:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xaa90b1…
05-06 19:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9d462a…
05-06 19:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x00a9b9…