Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$861

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 04-24 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% — —

Politics

34% 0% $-22

Crypto

25% 50% +$0

Sports

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will axiom be accused of insider trading	1	$65	0	65	-65	open	—	02-26 15:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	03-08 07:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$49	46	19	+27	open	—	03-01 11:47
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$42	57	57	+0	open	—	01-15 05:05
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	03-26 09:49
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$37	26	26	+0	open	—	04-08 00:55
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	3	$36	31	11	+20	open	—	02-27 08:26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	3	$33	34	34	+0	open	—	02-27 08:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-21 02:48
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 14:06
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	03-21 02:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	03-10 01:13
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	01-25 01:58
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	03-24 07:28
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	01-14 01:47
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	2	$22	26	26	+0	open	—	01-14 10:08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	03-02 04:43
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-10 02:27
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$20	33	33	+0	open	—	01-13 09:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-11 11:08
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$18	31	31	+0	open	—	01-14 02:03
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$18	29	29	+0	No	$-1	01-13 09:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	03-21 02:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$16	0	38	-38	Yes	$-22	01-04 02:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-02 09:42
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-08 00:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$15	23	0	+23	open	—	03-08 08:53
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	01-13 11:14
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	01-14 07:26
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	02-09 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 04:58:04	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x95b8ce…
04-11 11:08:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$9	0x1fda2a…
04-08 00:58:55	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xea0d00…
04-08 00:55:29	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0xb3b818…
04-06 15:05:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xcedb4c…
03-31 09:27:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xb43854…
03-30 12:58:46	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xfa950f…
03-30 07:03:54	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x2bd9d5…
03-26 09:49:33	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa657f4…
03-25 09:40:51	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x07c2ef…
03-25 09:32:15	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdeb7e4…
03-24 07:28:35	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x1f822e…
03-22 16:19:41	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x06f42d…
03-21 02:50:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x9ff3f0…
03-21 02:48:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xf41ff1…
03-21 02:47:55	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xd2cda4…
03-19 14:06:39	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7b94e0…
03-18 14:39:05	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x74013c…
03-18 14:38:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x0f02ba…
03-18 06:37:49	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x06b580…
03-13 15:33:41	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x87d4c2…
03-13 15:11:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc65974…
03-11 14:47:07	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0x458880…
03-10 02:45:23	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa9fa3c…
03-10 02:27:39	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x8bd6ea…
03-10 01:13:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x1f7bdf…
03-08 08:53:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0x1ed011…
03-08 08:00:01	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x47946d…
03-08 07:58:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x32288c…
03-08 07:21:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x9cbc6c…
03-03 18:27:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x1ea892…
03-03 18:09:11	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x51d0b1…
03-02 09:42:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xce65ec…
03-02 04:43:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x26cd91…
03-01 12:34:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x052557…
03-01 11:47:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x87d3cd…
03-01 01:03:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x4da84b…
02-28 17:00:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0xc5db89…
02-27 10:28:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xf16924…
02-27 08:27:37	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	46¢	$16	0x924260…
02-27 08:26:03	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x9733a0…
02-26 15:49:38	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xa05528…
02-23 16:05:04	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3ba22b…
02-09 02:14:13	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7762bd…
01-28 07:58:15	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x19c996…
01-28 07:45:47	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x229352…
01-25 01:58:00	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3a6cf6…
01-24 10:15:10	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xadc520…
01-24 09:43:54	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	Yes	SELL	52	11¢	$6	0x35804c…
01-21 09:36:22	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	Yes	BUY	52	9¢	$5	0xb59851…
01-15 05:05:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x3b6fb9…
01-14 10:42:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x38c3e2…
01-14 10:08:10	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	SELL	26	43¢	$11	0xcb01d8…
01-14 07:26:06	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	No	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0xaf2442…
01-14 02:03:06	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x557add…
01-14 01:47:36	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x1e9db7…
01-13 15:53:37	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xf1bf3c…
01-13 15:49:25	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xbc88c9…
01-13 15:21:11	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x4ebe4b…
01-13 11:17:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0xa84f32…
01-13 11:14:05	will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	No	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x632d2e…
01-13 10:05:33	will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	No	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x0406d9…
01-13 09:49:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x76a8a1…
01-13 09:32:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0x3d2501…
01-13 09:27:25	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x121c2d…
01-12 08:48:08	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0x615e22…
01-12 08:28:54	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x5222b6…
01-12 07:50:52	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xd91416…
01-12 07:33:38	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x79d60f…
01-04 02:45:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0xe24406…