Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$237

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

Trades

635

lifetime

Volume

$229.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$362

Open exposure

$726

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 10-31 23:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

54% 73% +$5,407

Other

46% 80% +$13,720

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	No		+739	$582	94¢	$691	+$108	08-22 19:39
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	—	+1,000	$436	4¢	$35	-$401	10-31 23:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes		+0	-$55	49¢	$0	+$55	10-30 07:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	108	$44.2K	79,860	79,860	+0	open	—	09-02 16:56
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	22	$42.8K	28,150	24,741	+3,408	Yes	+$2,960	08-12 14:00
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	136	$42.5K	33,113	33,113	+0	No	+$10,282	07-31 19:23
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	37	$18.6K	11,184	9,407	+1,777	Yes	+$1,515	09-02 04:58
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	53	$11.8K	14,938	10,821	+4,117	No	-$2,171	08-03 00:51
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01?	2	$11.1K	11,434	0	+11,434	No	+$320	08-05 19:46
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	32	$8.7K	6,467	5,893	+573	Yes	+$164	08-01 15:39
nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	23	$8.7K	4,464	4,463	+0	Yes	+$66	08-20 04:54
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	24	$5.5K	31,719	31,719	+0	No	+$2,918	08-21 02:32
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$5.1K	5,161	0	+5,161	Yes	+$31	10-31 14:53
will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	16	$3.8K	4,937	425	+4,512	Yes	-$387	08-21 03:56
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	2	$3.3K	4,309	0	+4,309	No	+$1,038	08-01 18:58
us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	3	$2.9K	2,170	2,170	+0	No	+$1,396	08-15 23:23
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	7	$2.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$332	08-29 16:05
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	16	$2.8K	3,569	3,569	+0	open	—	08-12 07:29
will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	12	$2.4K	4,481	351	+4,130	Yes	-$5	08-21 14:53
Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	17	$2.4K	3,182	0	+3,182	Yes	+$794	09-01 15:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	6	$2.2K	1,352	1,352	+0	open	—	10-30 03:33
will trump speak to mark carney in august 20260731154203527	1	$1.6K	1,613	0	+1,613	Yes	+$21	08-18 02:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	9	$1.1K	799	799	+0	open	—	10-30 01:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$1.0K	623	623	+0	open	—	10-30 01:11
will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	14	$909	1,465	1	+1,464	Yes	+$214	08-21 00:15
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	11	$633	19,489	19,489	+0	No	+$58	08-16 22:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	11	$614	675	675	+0	open	—	10-30 07:33
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	1	$582	739	0	+739	open	—	08-22 19:39
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	1	$436	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-31 23:37
another gta vi trailer released by september 30	2	$430	345	345	+0	No	+$18	08-28 03:26
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$278	5,555	0	+5,555	No	-$278	08-17 18:23
will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	41	$167	14,370	41	+14,329	No	-$161	08-05 22:44
iran successfully targets shipping on august 14 2026 20260729163314534	4	$164	183	0	+183	Yes	+$19	08-16 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:37:40	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	1,000	44¢	$436	0xa176a7…
10-31 14:53:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5,161	99¢	$5,130	0xde1822…
10-30 07:33:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	383	49¢	$187	0x49b996…
10-30 04:03:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	125	49¢	$61	0x983a8b…
10-30 03:33:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xfc59ae…
10-30 03:28:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	1,256	84¢	$1,060	0x254e6f…
10-30 03:18:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xb5555c…
10-30 01:59:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x6ce7d9…
10-30 01:50:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x4c4461…
10-30 01:41:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb6c967…
10-30 01:38:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	77	84¢	$65	0xdd0332…
10-30 01:25:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	37	75¢	$28	0xd6b4aa…
10-30 01:19:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	453	66¢	$299	0xab207f…
10-30 01:11:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	623	84¢	$523	0x2a43a2…
10-29 22:49:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	59	74¢	$44	0xec4162…
10-29 22:46:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x9ad777…
10-29 22:46:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xc6d525…
10-29 22:46:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	104	52¢	$54	0xd7e388…
10-29 22:46:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	286	74¢	$212	0xc92c31…
10-29 22:28:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x45591c…
10-29 22:19:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x91c4d1…
10-29 22:14:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	46	68¢	$31	0xab8ab9…
10-29 22:14:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	126	43¢	$54	0x59d712…
10-29 22:14:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$0	0x25c7e7…
10-29 22:13:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	429	68¢	$294	0x6353bb…
10-29 22:13:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	357	78¢	$278	0x70f093…
10-29 22:11:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x605f57…
10-29 22:09:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x937df9…
10-29 22:09:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	312	65¢	$203	0x967850…
10-29 22:09:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	549	41¢	$225	0x0dc41c…
10-29 22:08:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	216	78¢	$169	0x476048…
10-29 22:08:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	207	79¢	$164	0x3ed07a…
10-29 22:08:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	555	84¢	$465	0x7894ce…
10-29 22:07:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	440	81¢	$356	0xf72b26…
09-02 17:01:48	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x692e44…
09-02 17:01:40	Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0x3949be…
09-02 16:56:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12,474	23¢	$2,869	0xc7ecdf…
09-02 16:56:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,235	23¢	$514	0x29729a…
09-02 16:44:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xd30211…
09-02 04:58:13	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0x9141ba…
09-02 04:57:31	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x9be38f…
09-02 04:57:31	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x49062d…
09-02 04:57:30	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x02e458…
09-02 04:57:28	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	7,975	98¢	$7,855	0x88284c…
09-02 04:57:28	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x4b9817…
09-02 01:23:36	Will Kameron Marshall advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xb84710…
09-01 22:31:13	Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 30?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x65579d…
09-01 18:13:07	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	760	95¢	$724	0x6ee7c4…
09-01 18:10:25	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x036886…
09-01 18:03:15	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$953	0x89c28e…
09-01 17:46:06	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x424001…
09-01 17:11:00	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	239	99¢	$236	0xcd1f19…
09-01 16:37:39	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	444	94¢	$416	0x02f3b3…
09-01 16:37:37	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,111	94¢	$1,039	0x9ec10c…
09-01 16:37:34	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	4,639	93¢	$4,298	0x60885b…
09-01 16:22:52	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	863	85¢	$733	0xb42834…
09-01 15:55:40	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	300	51¢	$154	0x02acc9…
09-01 15:52:54	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9032b4…
09-01 15:52:45	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	208	91¢	$188	0xc15dc3…
09-01 15:47:52	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0x3b119c…
09-01 15:46:01	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x4be219…
09-01 15:45:54	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xf68143…
09-01 15:45:34	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xdf64a9…
09-01 15:45:25	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0xcb8857…
09-01 15:45:25	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbaf174…
09-01 15:45:25	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	37	90¢	$34	0xa4fd12…
09-01 15:45:25	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x715e61…
09-01 15:45:21	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x18a41f…
09-01 15:45:18	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x78a41c…
09-01 15:45:18	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x164c7f…
09-01 15:45:15	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$918	0xda8c6e…
09-01 15:44:16	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xb8450e…
09-01 15:43:48	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	90	56¢	$51	0x11aa13…
09-01 15:42:51	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	88	56¢	$50	0x9c9394…
09-01 15:41:24	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	160	59¢	$95	0x09e20e…
09-01 15:37:42	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	563	91¢	$510	0x64e768…
09-01 15:33:21	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x406195…
09-01 15:01:01	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9e52f3…
09-01 15:01:01	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	72	61¢	$44	0x85b86a…
09-01 15:01:01	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x750441…
09-01 15:01:00	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x86dde9…
09-01 15:01:00	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	220	61¢	$133	0x66c038…
09-01 15:00:58	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x81a86e…
09-01 15:00:58	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x36576f…
09-01 15:00:57	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x6c6573…
09-01 15:00:57	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0x4263b2…
09-01 15:00:57	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x255984…
09-01 15:00:57	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	630	61¢	$382	0x1d2119…
09-01 14:55:04	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	120	60¢	$72	0xe12364…
09-01 14:46:43	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	532	70¢	$371	0x9c02ee…
09-01 14:42:31	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	226	63¢	$143	0x3faf89…
09-01 14:07:15	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	105	63¢	$66	0xf84848…
09-01 13:54:18	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	183	91¢	$166	0xb7157c…
09-01 13:32:39	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	150	45¢	$67	0x78fe79…
09-01 13:30:34	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	Yes	BUY	948	44¢	$421	0xedecc9…
08-31 17:30:33	Will Kameron Marshall advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x838684…
08-29 16:05:43	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	SELL	1,600	99¢	$1,582	0x15c842…
08-28 03:26:04	another gta vi trailer released by september 30	No	SELL	345	65¢	$224	0x01fed3…
08-27 18:58:19	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xb8a339…
08-27 18:45:57	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	BUY	85	76¢	$65	0xc3a4ca…