Precious-Contour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$948

Unrealized P&L

-$55

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

493

Trades

1,279

lifetime

Volume

$8.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$515

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 20:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Other

67% 28% +$600

Sports

15% 30% +$568

Crypto

12% 16% -$195

Politics

6% 0% -$15

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	-500	-$466	97¢	$-486	-$20	05-04 21:22
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+130	$21	9¢	$12	-$9	10-24 16:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+21	$10	32¢	$7	-$3	10-27 20:08
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+30	$7	18¢	$5	-$1	10-02 11:13
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	Yes	+100	$21	4¢	$4	-$17	07-23 07:21
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+900	$6	0¢	$1	-$5	10-02 20:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	3	$597	345	345	+0	open	—	06-27 09:30
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$578	389	389	+0	Yes	+$198	07-07 20:49
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$480	681	0	+681	No	+$201	07-18 23:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$466	0	500	-500	open	—	05-04 21:22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	2	$234	358	0	+358	Yes	+$124	08-22 20:57
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$221	120	120	+0	No	+$19	04-26 14:05
ndx up or down on march 9 2026	20	$130	117	117	-0	Up	+$32	03-09 16:26
tsla up or down on october 16 2026	6	$113	99	99	+0	Down	+$84	10-16 18:11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	1	$112	200	0	+200	Yes	+$88	05-03 17:57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	2	$107	184	0	+184	No	-$107	10-25 21:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$103	350	250	+100	No	+$78	07-29 08:33
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	2	$103	218	0	+218	No	-$103	07-18 21:22
bitcoin above 66k on february 19	8	$92	230	115	+115	Yes	-$5	02-19 13:05
spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	8	$90	90	90	+0	Down	+$75	03-18 12:46
msft up or down on april 8 2026	19	$89	380	163	+217	Up	+$50	04-08 19:10
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	21	$82	1,057	1,100	-42	No	+$50	02-15 12:58
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?	1	$80	178	0	+178	Yes	+$98	09-17 19:06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?	2	$80	87	87	+0	Yes	+$0	09-13 19:07
nvda up or down on january 6 2026	3	$78	100	100	+0	Down	+$60	01-06 19:09
cdr rso osa 2026 01 13 osa	4	$78	60	60	+0	No	+$24	01-13 21:26
bitcoin above 92k on january 20	9	$77	100	70	+30	No	+$37	01-20 14:16
nvda up or down on february 26 2026	2	$76	100	50	+50	Down	+$66	02-26 14:46
ethereum above 1900 on february 23	3	$74	70	70	+0	No	+$43	02-23 16:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$72	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-22 14:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$72	4,179	0	+4,179	No	-$72	05-12 13:03
amzn up or down on january 20 2026	8	$71	60	60	+0	Down	+$10	01-19 23:52
spx up or down on january 20 2026	4	$63	70	50	+20	Down	+$14	01-20 10:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$61	48	48	+0	Down	+$21	05-04 15:52
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?	2	$60	158	0	+158	Yes	+$98	09-20 18:37
ssc cad rmc 2026 01 08 rmc	2	$60	48	48	+0	Yes	+$20	01-08 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:08:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5b3ddc…
10-25 21:41:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb6f79d…
10-25 21:24:53	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	58	31¢	$18	0x59ee11…
10-25 21:09:48	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xd5be74…
10-25 10:17:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	170	60¢	$102	0x0e93aa…
10-25 09:42:24	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x5eaa40…
10-24 16:28:15	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xd80ca3…
10-24 16:28:15	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0xcebfce…
10-24 16:28:15	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb3f69b…
10-24 16:28:15	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x5e01ba…
10-24 16:28:15	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x1eb1c5…
10-21 20:43:03	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9e599b…
10-21 19:24:05	Will Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x7e8ab5…
10-21 19:23:54	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0xc3be48…
10-20 20:36:15	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xd939d8…
10-20 20:09:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x8935af…
10-20 18:57:56	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x78f1b8…
10-20 18:57:33	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xca0eb8…
10-18 14:48:00	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xda4579…
10-16 18:11:20	tsla up or down on october 16 2026	Down	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xb0710d…
10-16 14:09:00	tsla up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x9b7c8d…
10-16 12:54:45	tsla up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe6c6c5…
10-16 12:32:06	tsla up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x8fa96a…
10-16 12:01:21	tsla up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x463aed…
10-16 08:04:06	tsla up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x41f73d…
10-15 20:00:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xff95b4…
10-15 20:00:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	288	0¢	$1	0xbd7ca9…
10-15 20:00:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x8ba10f…
10-15 19:59:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb48c96…
10-15 19:59:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x5d827f…
10-15 19:59:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x355fae…
10-15 19:51:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xdfcf58…
10-15 19:43:16	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xeedfe2…
10-15 18:48:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xcc2edf…
10-15 17:38:31	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x9781bc…
10-15 14:32:52	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1304b6…
10-15 14:30:11	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbc147e…
10-15 14:28:55	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0xadbd94…
10-15 14:28:41	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x23da2e…
10-15 14:28:25	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x865ebb…
10-14 20:36:52	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xb0ae20…
10-14 20:25:55	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x690136…
10-14 20:18:00	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x297d08…
10-14 20:17:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6de7c0…
10-14 20:15:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x199321…
10-14 20:15:31	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x42c738…
10-14 18:51:22	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb41823…
10-14 18:45:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0x7397e6…
10-14 18:45:06	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7dc7c4…
10-14 18:44:58	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x21d21a…
10-14 18:44:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x79246d…
10-13 19:50:55	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x474d5b…
10-13 19:50:40	Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe1d7fc…
10-13 19:50:30	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbb5919…
10-10 21:32:04	Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8bb060…
10-09 16:22:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0xc5ee6e…
10-09 16:08:20	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xf9611c…
10-09 16:06:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8df227…
10-09 10:58:28	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xf5fd4e…
10-08 15:55:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd691db…
10-06 19:15:14	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0x199c3a…
10-06 19:05:08	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xe869e4…
10-02 20:47:29	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$1	0xcf839d…
10-02 20:47:29	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	183	1¢	$1	0xc928bc…
10-02 20:47:29	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xc12e86…
10-02 20:19:56	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$0	0x684fa7…
10-02 20:17:35	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x62a791…
10-02 20:17:32	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x8e0e9c…
10-02 20:10:41	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$0	0x2c31dd…
10-02 20:00:59	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x21776e…
10-02 19:33:12	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x77e22c…
10-02 19:17:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	655	1¢	$5	0xf2f43f…
10-02 19:17:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x21feb3…
10-02 18:24:48	spain snap election called by november 30	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xcc0d6d…
10-02 18:24:47	spain snap election called by november 30	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x522c06…
10-02 17:51:12	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x1b0269…
10-02 17:04:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x152c84…
10-02 16:55:36	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf8140c…
10-02 16:55:15	Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x36f4d1…
10-02 16:54:27	spain snap election called by november 30	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xe4d15e…
10-02 16:53:41	spain snap election called by november 30	Yes	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x92e6b4…
10-02 11:13:23	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x84def9…
10-02 10:32:50	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xc58b5b…
10-02 10:22:03	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x83dfbd…
10-02 10:22:03	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x48b2fa…
10-02 10:22:02	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8410c8…
10-02 10:20:23	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd78823…
10-02 10:07:48	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfb9f2d…
10-02 10:07:05	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x7e2e9f…
10-01 18:04:42	Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xf0c132…
10-01 18:04:18	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	81	43¢	$35	0x7819d5…
09-28 20:19:29	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x017f25…
09-28 19:41:36	Will Poland win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0f1faa…
09-28 19:40:11	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb5276d…
09-28 11:05:12	Will Hungary win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbd2018…
09-28 11:05:00	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xb50b1d…
09-28 11:04:41	Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0xf419ea…
09-24 20:17:32	Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfc5f60…
09-24 20:17:18	Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa9a7a4…
09-24 14:11:01	nvda up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x78c2bc…