Fortunate-Congressperson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

744

Trades

3,885

lifetime

Volume

$3.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-30 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 212 days

Categories

Other

100% 34% -$79

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+15	-$1	28¢	$4	+$6	10-27 18:28
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	69¢	$3	+$3	10-25 06:24
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+60	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	10-23 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+60	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-21 14:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	116	$98	756	756	+0	No	-$6	01-25 08:12
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 520 539	101	$83	550	570	-20	No	-$5	01-24 11:08
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	89	$68	655	643	+12	Yes	+$11	01-25 23:10
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	63	$61	320	330	-10	No	$0	01-31 01:57
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	60	$55	312	312	+0	No	-$2	01-31 01:53
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 165 189	41	$41	260	337	-78	No	+$2	01-26 19:30
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	26	$36	74	74	+0	No	+$0	02-08 23:39
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	41	$34	262	215	+47	No	-$5	01-29 09:31
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	24	$30	70	70	+0	No	-$1	02-09 06:54
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	32	$25	128	128	+0	No	-$1	02-06 09:00
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	29	$24	142	142	+0	No	$0	01-26 08:47
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	24	$23	53	53	+0	Yes	-$1	03-17 10:50
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	18	$22	44	39	+5	No	-$1	02-08 09:00
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	31	$20	177	185	-8	No	+$0	01-25 16:38
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 65 89	13	$20	38	38	+0	No	-$1	02-09 00:39
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	16	$19	63	63	+0	No	-$2	02-12 10:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 220 239	13	$18	47	47	+0	No	+$1	02-08 10:31
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	17	$18	53	53	-0	No	+$0	02-05 05:21
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	18	$17	71	71	+0	No	-$1	03-03 15:30
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	19	$17	84	96	-12	No	+$0	02-02 22:49
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	15	$17	42	39	+3	Yes	+$2	02-26 17:44
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 420 439	16	$17	88	88	+0	No	-$1	01-30 17:18
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 215 239	12	$17	83	83	+0	No	+$2	02-11 01:48
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	14	$16	33	33	+0	No	+$1	03-10 00:01
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	19	$16	95	95	-0	No	+$0	01-26 20:22
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	15	$16	43	43	+0	Yes	+$1	03-02 09:32
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	21	$16	143	143	+0	Yes	+$0	02-02 18:17
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 480 499	17	$16	121	125	-4	No	-$1	01-25 18:25
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 460 479	16	$15	91	148	-57	No	+$3	01-26 09:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$15	13	13	+0	Yes	+$11	09-18 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 05:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x3d083f…
10-29 08:32:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x800091…
10-29 06:11:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xa87dac…
10-29 03:11:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xddda0d…
10-28 08:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x76b64f…
10-28 07:59:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x560f32…
10-28 07:57:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x8ff59b…
10-27 18:55:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x937126…
10-27 18:28:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xdb69dd…
10-27 17:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x4b447d…
10-27 17:55:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xfc5984…
10-27 16:11:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xfee7dd…
10-26 11:20:47	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xeece50…
10-26 11:04:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x80bbd3…
10-26 07:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x06a43f…
10-26 05:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x0b291f…
10-26 05:44:45	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2b035f…
10-26 05:44:41	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x169a50…
10-26 05:44:38	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x3aa2fd…
10-26 05:44:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6b1566…
10-26 05:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x3c24cc…
10-26 05:44:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x35920d…
10-26 05:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x8bd61f…
10-26 05:44:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x0245ec…
10-26 05:44:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x12ffee…
10-26 05:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x399c0b…
10-25 16:42:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xb86250…
10-25 16:42:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xccce00…
10-25 15:25:14	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$1	0x3982c7…
10-25 15:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x802f92…
10-25 12:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xb4f9b5…
10-25 12:33:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x74b4dd…
10-25 12:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x7c9d63…
10-25 06:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xc97d6e…
10-23 17:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xe1265e…
10-23 17:04:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xbb5d0a…
10-23 16:08:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xf537de…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xb1e977…
10-23 06:17:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x6d9683…
10-23 06:15:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x89b80f…
10-23 04:45:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xb22d21…
10-23 04:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xb7a167…
10-22 09:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x5eb015…
10-22 00:51:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xa29207…
10-22 00:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc6805c…
10-21 17:54:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x5ff63c…
10-21 16:28:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x00c9df…
10-21 16:26:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x062194…
10-21 16:26:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf56ffc…
10-21 16:26:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x61a6a1…
10-21 16:25:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xb3fb3d…
10-21 16:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x7deb7a…
10-21 16:19:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x263276…
10-21 15:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6b01c7…
10-21 14:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x28c044…
10-21 13:51:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x30bf3e…
10-21 11:50:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x48610b…
10-21 10:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcc93e1…
10-21 03:38:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0xa5302e…
10-21 03:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x03913f…
10-21 03:28:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xf4e045…
10-21 03:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xa5c3d3…
10-21 03:05:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xae2696…
10-21 03:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc1f515…
10-21 03:05:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x65129a…
10-21 03:05:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x949959…
10-21 03:05:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x9f7934…
10-21 03:05:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xb54fae…
10-21 03:05:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x2da144…
10-20 20:19:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0xea0e10…
10-20 17:15:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xefb37c…
10-20 17:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x23d4e4…
10-20 17:03:44	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x993027…
10-20 17:03:33	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x3798c9…
10-20 16:58:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5063a2…
10-20 16:56:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x150992…
10-20 16:55:41	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x3983b5…
10-20 16:55:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$0	0xc96c0a…
10-20 16:55:35	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xac32ac…
10-20 16:55:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x5958bd…
10-20 16:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x686fc4…
10-20 16:55:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xc620a3…
10-20 16:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x274b7d…
10-20 16:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc3da23…
10-20 16:55:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x6fea78…
10-19 20:01:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x7dd15a…
10-19 20:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0xa6adea…
10-19 20:00:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xdf86bd…
10-19 20:00:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x7c348d…
10-19 19:55:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0x150959…
10-18 09:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xeece7a…
10-18 08:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x5f4d09…
10-18 08:52:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf180a3…
10-17 08:32:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x03b129…
10-16 16:51:37	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa50dad…
10-15 12:46:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xc92147…
10-15 12:22:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xf0252a…
10-15 10:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x6f524e…
10-15 02:49:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x07b7b5…
10-15 02:31:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xcc1623…