Fortunate-Congressperson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

44.4%

Resolved

772

Trades

3,990

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

23 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-07 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 217 days

Categories

Other

100% 34% -$40

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (23) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+12	$0	28¢	$3	+$3	11-06 22:28
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	16¢	$3	+$1	11-05 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+16	$2	14¢	$2	+$0	11-05 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+14	$2	14¢	$2	$0	11-05 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	17¢	$2	+$1	11-06 17:05
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+28	$2	6¢	$2	$0	11-05 00:27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+35	$1	4¢	$2	+$0	11-05 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+5	-$2	27¢	$1	+$3	11-07 19:26
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+50	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	11-05 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+12	$1	10¢	$1	+$1	11-07 19:01
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+9	$1	10¢	$1	+$0	10-31 19:25
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+68	$1	1¢	$1	$0	11-05 14:23
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$1	1¢	$1	$0	11-05 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	8¢	$1	$0	11-05 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	14¢	$1	+$0	11-07 18:43
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	6¢	$1	$0	11-05 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+82	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-05 00:27
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	10-31 19:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+13	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	11-06 07:50
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+200	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-05 00:28
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+120	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-06 17:05
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-31 19:25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-06 17:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	116	$98	756	756	+0	No	-$6	01-25 08:12
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 520 539	101	$83	550	570	-20	No	-$5	01-24 11:08
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	89	$68	655	643	+12	Yes	+$11	01-25 23:10
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	63	$61	320	330	-10	No	$0	01-31 01:57
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	60	$55	312	312	+0	No	-$2	01-31 01:53
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 165 189	41	$41	260	337	-78	No	+$2	01-26 19:30
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	26	$36	74	74	+0	No	+$0	02-08 23:39
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	5	$34	60	60	+0	Yes	+$32	10-30 15:54
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	41	$34	262	215	+47	No	-$5	01-29 09:31
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	24	$30	70	70	+0	No	-$1	02-09 06:54
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	32	$25	128	128	+0	No	-$1	02-06 09:00
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	29	$24	142	142	+0	No	$0	01-26 08:47
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	24	$23	53	53	+0	Yes	-$1	03-17 10:50
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	18	$22	44	39	+5	No	-$1	02-08 09:00
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	31	$20	177	185	-8	No	+$0	01-25 16:38
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 65 89	13	$20	38	38	+0	No	-$1	02-09 00:39
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	16	$19	63	63	+0	No	-$2	02-12 10:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 220 239	13	$18	47	47	+0	No	+$1	02-08 10:31
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	17	$18	53	53	-0	No	+$0	02-05 05:21
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	18	$17	71	71	+0	No	-$1	03-03 15:30
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	19	$17	84	96	-12	No	+$0	02-02 22:49
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	15	$17	42	39	+3	Yes	+$2	02-26 17:44
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 420 439	16	$17	88	88	+0	No	-$1	01-30 17:18
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 215 239	12	$17	83	83	+0	No	+$2	02-11 01:48
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	14	$16	33	33	+0	No	+$1	03-10 00:01
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	19	$16	95	95	-0	No	+$0	01-26 20:22
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	15	$16	43	43	+0	Yes	+$1	03-02 09:32
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	21	$16	143	143	+0	Yes	+$0	02-02 18:17
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 480 499	17	$16	121	125	-4	No	-$1	01-25 18:25
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 460 479	16	$15	91	148	-57	No	+$3	01-26 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 19:26:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x562859…
11-07 19:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x68e67e…
11-07 19:01:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xcff180…
11-07 18:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x755f49…
11-07 08:01:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x34fd8d…
11-06 22:28:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xe2d5a6…
11-06 17:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x7f9751…
11-06 17:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xcd0c50…
11-06 17:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xca7430…
11-06 17:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x93a4f4…
11-06 15:03:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x686c7d…
11-06 12:28:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x876fa1…
11-06 09:48:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xb5f9df…
11-06 07:50:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x3de6bb…
11-05 14:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0x410be8…
11-05 13:24:16	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdcbd96…
11-05 13:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf0e02b…
11-05 13:24:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x31c3f3…
11-05 13:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x946ea5…
11-05 13:24:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xccbe30…
11-05 13:24:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xde15e2…
11-05 13:23:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2d34c4…
11-05 13:23:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9b8eb8…
11-05 13:23:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x65121a…
11-05 13:23:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x401642…
11-05 08:27:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x3eeea7…
11-05 02:11:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x6a68ba…
11-05 02:10:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x5d9a5c…
11-05 01:37:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x2c496e…
11-05 01:15:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x8798c1…
11-05 00:43:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xdfb0e8…
11-05 00:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xd15deb…
11-05 00:39:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xe5eec5…
11-05 00:38:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xfb29d7…
11-05 00:38:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x8b4746…
11-05 00:38:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x875573…
11-05 00:38:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x2ab233…
11-05 00:37:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x432e18…
11-05 00:37:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0xa51f0c…
11-05 00:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf2429d…
11-05 00:28:00	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x5d2133…
11-05 00:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$1	0x5655b2…
11-05 00:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x06694d…
11-05 00:27:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0xb1f313…
11-05 00:27:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x5af82c…
11-05 00:27:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xa2ad9d…
11-05 00:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc3d3c6…
11-02 20:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x5b56bc…
11-02 20:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x95fa6b…
11-02 20:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0x70efd7…
11-01 11:35:55	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xde0d84…
10-31 21:10:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x64c4a1…
10-31 20:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x0398ea…
10-31 19:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x218796…
10-31 19:25:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x06f1e2…
10-31 19:25:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe4399f…
10-31 19:25:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x767c86…
10-31 19:25:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa88de1…
10-31 19:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x2236e5…
10-31 19:25:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7cc521…
10-31 19:25:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa98d97…
10-31 19:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x7319c0…
10-31 19:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x210e91…
10-31 19:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x50fffc…
10-31 19:18:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x69551a…
10-31 18:36:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x7a022c…
10-31 18:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3fa223…
10-31 18:36:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x055a6b…
10-31 17:19:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x452c01…
10-31 13:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x61df9b…
10-31 12:31:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x851ffb…
10-31 11:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xb439ff…
10-30 18:05:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x0d3f50…
10-30 17:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xe19939…
10-30 17:36:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x977a08…
10-30 17:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xdedc99…
10-30 17:13:57	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xc46ba7…
10-30 17:08:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x5cdff5…
10-30 17:07:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x455028…
10-30 16:58:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf99f88…
10-30 16:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xccbd87…
10-30 16:57:45	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xec9d2f…
10-30 16:57:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x73b482…
10-30 16:57:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa4fe84…
10-30 16:57:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc50a28…
10-30 16:57:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x1c4eaf…
10-30 16:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x9fa6ad…
10-30 16:57:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x1fb193…
10-30 16:17:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x19f763…
10-30 15:54:31	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x929e17…
10-30 14:23:16	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xf204d0…
10-30 14:22:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xc29a70…
10-30 14:21:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x3ea653…
10-30 14:21:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xa31e31…
10-30 14:21:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x815ea6…
10-30 14:20:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x009414…
10-30 14:08:16	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x683ff0…
10-30 14:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xafdd92…
10-30 13:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xe3367a…
10-30 13:52:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x9f7769…