Warmhearted-Derby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

312

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$8.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$35

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-18 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 242 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 99% -$1

Other

4% 59% -$46

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Sports

0% 100% +$8

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-35	-$27	81¢	$-28	-$1	08-11 19:36
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-35	-$7	19¢	$-7	+$0	06-24 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 86000 on april 24	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	04-23 19:51
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 31	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	03-30 19:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 1	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	03-31 20:19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 25?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-24 20:13
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 84000 on april 23	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-22 20:38
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 2	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	04-01 19:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 26?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	04-25 20:10
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 19	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	03-18 19:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 27?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	04-27 05:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 28?	1	$75	75	+75	No	+$0	04-27 19:14
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on april 3	1	$70	70	+70	No	+$0	04-02 20:50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	1	$65	65	+65	No	+$0	05-13 19:01
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	04-07 20:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 24?	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	05-23 19:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 3?	1	$57	57	+57	No	+$0	05-02 19:47
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on May 6?	1	$57	57	+57	No	+$0	05-05 18:46
xrp above 2pt1 on january 1	1	$57	57	+57	No	+$0	01-01 08:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 30?	1	$56	56	+56	No	+$0	04-29 19:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	05-04 19:48
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	03-09 19:20
solana above 140 on january 2	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	01-02 09:57
bitcoin above 78k on march 26	1	$54	54	+54	No	+$0	03-25 20:13
ethereum above 2500 on march 24	1	$54	54	+54	No	+$0	03-23 21:58
will xrp reach 2 in february 2026	1	$52	52	+52	No	+$0	02-27 22:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 25?	1	$52	52	+52	No	+$0	05-24 18:15
solana above 110 on february 27	1	$51	51	+51	No	+$0	02-26 22:12
solana above 90 on february 25	1	$51	51	+51	No	+$0	02-24 22:29
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on february 24	1	$50	51	+51	No	+$0	02-23 21:12
solana above 90 on february 23	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	02-23 10:07
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 19?	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	05-18 16:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 08:00:35	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbb023d…
10-06 17:00:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5e2e1c…
10-05 16:57:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x470939…
10-05 14:07:46	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb4ea36…
10-04 17:31:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc59079…
10-04 13:19:22	Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	G2	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xe0a8c7…
10-04 13:19:14	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xfa9c80…
10-03 17:03:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x830824…
10-02 17:36:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8d379…
10-02 04:38:02	ethereum above 3100 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x73b55e…
10-01 18:30:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x004a1e…
09-30 17:02:00	bitcoin above 94k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbaf37a…
09-30 09:54:35	ethereum above 2900 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa6369a…
09-30 07:15:20	ethereum above 2900 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30123c…
09-28 17:12:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x89f950…
09-27 10:52:57	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on September 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7c86c1…
09-25 18:58:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 26?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5a4d50…
09-24 18:07:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xac62b8…
09-24 08:57:44	ethereum above 2900 on september 24 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xda4803…
09-19 06:15:01	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19 map handicap home 1pt5	Vitality	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4486fb…
09-19 06:14:24	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xce275f…
09-18 19:44:46	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x651282…
09-18 19:44:15	cs2 vit furia 2026 09 18	Vitality	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb734b5…
09-18 16:10:30	cs2 nrg aur1 2026 09 18 map handicap home 1pt5	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc8e225…
09-18 16:10:09	Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa5954a…
09-18 13:49:48	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3303ba…
09-17 20:47:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fd9a3…
09-16 17:03:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc89576…
09-15 17:33:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x10aa0a…
09-14 18:52:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4bddd9…
09-13 22:06:18	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,900 on September 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe18d84…
09-13 18:52:06	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,900 on September 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaf50a3…
09-13 14:26:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x54eca4…
09-11 17:26:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf37287…
09-09 17:44:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4ce07b…
09-08 18:52:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 9?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd87aad…
09-07 16:49:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfbb1ed…
09-07 10:27:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfd63a3…
09-02 18:49:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x59b017…
09-02 06:03:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2d87bf…
08-31 18:48:45	solana above 130 on september 1 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x45b8a5…
08-30 08:31:55	ethereum above 2800 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe68e50…
08-28 18:28:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on August 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6e871e…
08-28 10:58:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x27a732…
08-24 06:54:34	ethereum above 2600 on august 24 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4dca90…
08-20 13:51:57	cs2 g2 furia 2026 08 20	FURIA	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa6b196…
08-20 08:04:00	cs2 b8 ts7 2026 08 20	Spirit	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1ed5cc…
08-20 08:03:45	cs2 faze vit 2026 08 20	Vitality	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0544ef…
08-19 17:23:58	cs2 mzp ff 2026 08 19	Metizport	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xaf12b2…
08-19 17:06:48	cs2 fut mgc 2026 08 19	FUT Esports	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4f36fe…
08-19 15:35:48	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0xb3f979…
08-19 04:00:48	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3a7992…
08-17 17:04:00	ethereum above 2100 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xae3bae…
08-16 19:25:43	ethereum above 2100 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdec137…
08-15 18:38:06	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x075ace…
08-14 18:38:31	ethereum above 2000 on august 15 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x82baf0…
08-13 17:11:13	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4cccf2…
08-13 09:21:54	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x60e059…
08-12 19:10:16	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x61edea…
08-11 19:37:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc1d6f4…
08-11 19:36:18	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	35	78¢	$27	0x4fb886…
08-10 17:35:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xee02ff…
08-09 19:11:36	ethereum above 2100 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xabeee9…
08-08 17:49:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 9?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7c4e07…
08-07 17:51:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd71ca5…
08-06 17:05:53	ethereum above 2100 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x784e74…
08-05 19:31:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb2a616…
07-31 19:26:23	ethereum above 2100 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x74dcf4…
07-31 10:50:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x842176…
07-29 21:00:56	ethereum above 2100 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5c1188…
07-28 17:09:38	ethereum above 2100 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1805cb…
07-22 17:08:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on July 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4298c9…
07-22 11:47:19	cs2 fal2 100t 2026 07 22 map handicap away 1pt5	Team Falcons	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x509439…
07-22 11:47:00	cs2 nemi1 g2 2026 07 22 map handicap home 1pt5	G2	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc897fd…
07-21 17:42:27	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1b5f26…
07-21 11:17:51	ethereum above 2000 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbb50af…
07-21 11:17:28	cs2 ntr mouz 2026 07 21 map handicap home 1pt5	MOUZ	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd919bc…
07-18 05:23:33	ethereum above 2200 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa83ab2…
07-16 17:23:02	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfc1cde…
07-16 17:22:32	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb7687e…
07-16 17:22:23	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa00887…
07-15 17:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xce4193…
07-15 04:38:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1fac63…
07-13 19:58:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd93957…
07-12 17:24:11	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcb2fdb…
07-12 12:11:55	ethereum above 1900 on july 12 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x782c35…
07-12 12:11:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8108df…
07-12 12:11:28	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa93104…
07-11 16:55:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2c5e2c…
07-10 05:00:05	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6bf6d7…
07-09 07:22:32	dota2 gl flc 2026 07 09	Team Falcons	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6bf5de…
07-09 06:08:32	bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0afa02…
07-09 06:07:47	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc06316…
07-09 06:07:41	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb75bba…
07-08 09:10:25	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	T1	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x895fb5…
07-08 06:09:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 8?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd63b28…
07-08 06:09:20	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb60544…
07-07 06:52:31	ethereum above 1900 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x42d4bd…
07-06 16:19:40	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x018f44…
07-06 06:11:19	ethereum above 1900 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1ac5ad…