Knotty-Blinker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$421

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

105

Trades

1,266

lifetime

Volume

$476.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$376

Open exposure

$47

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-30 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 96% +$244

Other

37% 94% +$187

Sports

12% 80% -$15

Politics

0% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-39	-$39	100¢	$-39	$0	10-30 16:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+10	$6	84¢	$8	+$2	05-18 16:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol wb tes 2026 03 02 game4	97	$45.9K	45,996	0	+45,996	Top Esports	+$46	03-02 13:17
lol nsea ktc 2026 03 02 game1	4	$45.6K	45,675	0	+45,675	Nongshim Esports Academy	+$50	03-02 08:33
nba phx sac 2026 03 03	10	$22.9K	7,985	14,933	-6,947	Suns	-$37	03-04 06:18
cbb msvlst alcst 2026 03 03	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	Alcorn State Braves	+$20	03-04 04:27
bitcoin up or down march 4 6am et	70	$19.6K	19,635	0	+19,635	Down	+$20	03-04 12:31
bitcoin up or down march 2 1am et	42	$18.5K	18,516	0	+18,516	Down	+$19	03-02 08:06
bitcoin up or down march 4 4am et	40	$17.9K	17,959	0	+17,959	Up	+$18	03-04 11:32
bitcoin up or down march 2 11pm et	64	$16.6K	16,601	0	+16,601	Down	+$17	03-03 06:15
bl2 fcm ksc 2026 03 01 fcm	6	$15.1K	15,074	0	+15,074	No	+$16	03-01 14:19
bitcoin up or down march 3 12am et	25	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	Down	+$15	03-03 06:01
bitcoin up or down march 1 8am et	49	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	Up	+$15	03-01 15:22
bitcoin up or down march 3 1am et	45	$13.9K	13,870	0	+13,870	Up	+$14	03-03 08:12
bitcoin up or down march 4 1am et	55	$13.0K	13,061	0	+13,061	Up	+$13	03-04 08:39
bitcoin up or down march 4 5am et	30	$12.2K	12,166	0	+12,166	Down	+$12	03-04 11:00
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game3	6	$11.2K	11,180	0	+11,180	JD Gaming	+$11	03-04 12:31
nba nop lal 2026 03 03 total 240pt5	2	$11.1K	11,116	0	+11,116	Under	+$11	03-04 06:12
bl2 fcm ksc 2026 03 01 ksc	35	$10.9K	10,943	0	+10,943	Yes	+$11	03-01 17:38
bitcoin up or down march 4 3am et	22	$10.1K	10,159	0	+10,159	Up	+$10	03-04 10:22
xrp up or down march 4 5am et	4	$9.5K	9,558	0	+9,558	Down	+$10	03-04 11:08
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	21	$9.4K	9,367	0	+9,367	Bilibili Gaming	+$17	03-04 13:46
solana up or down march 3 10pm et	5	$9.3K	9,311	0	+9,311	Down	+$9	03-04 04:15
bitcoin up or down march 3 10pm et	45	$8.7K	8,675	0	+8,675	Down	+$9	03-04 05:22
solana up or down march 2 10am et	21	$8.4K	8,449	0	+8,449	Up	+$8	03-02 16:52
nba okc dal 2026 03 01 spread away 16pt5	24	$7.2K	7,229	0	+7,229	Mavericks	+$7	03-02 06:01
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	28	$6.7K	28,085	2,545	+25,540	Yes	-$12	03-04 19:16
bitcoin up or down march 4 2am et	58	$6.6K	6,626	0	+6,626	Up	+$7	03-04 09:14
solana up or down march 4 2am et	9	$5.2K	5,251	0	+5,251	Up	+$5	03-04 08:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 2	2	$5.1K	5,116	0	+5,116	No	+$5	03-02 16:55
ethereum up or down march 2 10am et	8	$4.6K	4,651	0	+4,651	Up	+$5	03-02 16:51
cbb boscol vtech 2026 03 03	8	$4.5K	4,543	0	+4,543	Virginia Tech Hokies	+$5	03-04 04:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:05:25	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2256ed…
09-24 06:13:09	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd26b64…
09-24 06:01:30	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in September?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xff680a…
09-24 06:01:00	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x20b78a…
09-24 06:00:44	will solana reach 200 in september 2026	No	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0xe1d35d…
09-04 14:39:19	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfa9a1e…
07-29 16:08:38	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x7591b2…
07-26 14:05:07	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	428	100¢	$427	0xf84003…
06-24 23:28:28	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x9816cf…
06-22 07:13:23	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x28f2ce…
06-05 07:40:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x482b32…
06-05 07:40:46	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x18d722…
06-05 07:40:34	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xfbb9d3…
06-05 07:40:19	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x27bc2b…
05-27 16:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb15d07…
05-27 13:10:35	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd98bd0…
05-27 13:10:19	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5ac046…
05-27 13:09:40	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xaa7518…
05-19 01:15:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x8b3f2d…
05-18 16:35:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	18¢	$9	0xfedd5f…
05-18 16:34:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xdd8464…
05-18 16:33:48	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xbb201d…
05-18 16:32:17	Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group A	NAVI Junior	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x87cad6…
05-18 06:30:34	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x3a6634…
05-18 06:28:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc93bb9…
04-20 06:36:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x5dd8a9…
03-28 00:25:19	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x3599d7…
03-25 23:19:51	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xcf7ef1…
03-24 15:29:31	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x43bdc7…
03-24 07:29:59	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x8b3159…
03-24 07:12:37	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xb04735…
03-24 06:39:25	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x568f78…
03-24 06:39:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2d293c…
03-22 09:55:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x7942be…
03-05 02:25:21	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x8677aa…
03-05 02:25:09	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf28dc2…
03-05 02:24:43	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x24d0eb…
03-05 02:24:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x754596…
03-05 02:24:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x1ab125…
03-04 19:16:25	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x6483d1…
03-04 18:59:01	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xfc398d…
03-04 18:52:29	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xc07f34…
03-04 18:33:29	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x07a5f3…
03-04 18:27:49	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0x501ba4…
03-04 18:19:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xd42d5f…
03-04 18:13:49	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4838c7…
03-04 17:59:47	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe5894d…
03-04 17:48:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x8cf73a…
03-04 17:43:25	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x97aaa8…
03-04 17:31:21	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x59aae9…
03-04 17:31:01	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	1,002	0¢	$1	0x9e2697…
03-04 17:04:17	bitcoin up or down on march 4	Up	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x54b5db…
03-04 17:02:51	bitcoin up or down on march 4	Up	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x2fd0ca…
03-04 17:00:43	bitcoin up or down on march 4	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x49202b…
03-04 16:57:59	bitcoin up or down on march 4	Up	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x78ad36…
03-04 16:53:55	bitcoin up or down on march 4	Up	BUY	630	100¢	$630	0x2b27fd…
03-04 16:52:15	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	443	100¢	$442	0x598356…
03-04 16:50:35	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xc3b5f3…
03-04 16:44:57	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31e7cc…
03-04 16:33:29	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xbab9aa…
03-04 16:33:25	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6fc6e8…
03-04 16:33:03	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xef869a…
03-04 16:32:37	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xabb25f…
03-04 16:32:23	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x46721d…
03-04 16:31:25	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0xacea28…
03-04 16:29:31	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb8e595…
03-04 16:28:47	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x07fd92…
03-04 16:28:09	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	476	100¢	$476	0xef1126…
03-04 16:25:41	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	4,737	0¢	$5	0x55f93f…
03-04 16:24:41	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	1,031	0¢	$1	0x846061…
03-04 16:24:41	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	1,027	0¢	$1	0x5f9da9…
03-04 16:24:39	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	1,037	0¢	$1	0x1b24a1…
03-04 16:23:11	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	844	0¢	$1	0x3d2d47…
03-04 16:23:09	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	760	0¢	$1	0xc75537…
03-04 16:23:09	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	930	0¢	$1	0x3f3524…
03-04 16:23:09	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	930	0¢	$1	0x039216…
03-04 16:23:09	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	936	0¢	$1	0x01aca2…
03-04 16:23:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	952	0¢	$1	0xb1295d…
03-04 16:23:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	924	0¢	$1	0x56f073…
03-04 16:20:23	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	540	0¢	$1	0x0e5fff…
03-04 16:20:09	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x39fa20…
03-04 16:20:05	bitcoin up or down march 4 10am et	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3297c3…
03-04 16:19:31	bitcoin up or down march 4 10am et	Up	BUY	452	100¢	$451	0xce692f…
03-04 16:18:47	bitcoin up or down march 4 10am et	Up	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x9eb90c…
03-04 16:17:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	No	BUY	6,665	0¢	$7	0xcd74fd…
03-04 16:13:45	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	Yes	BUY	6,666	100¢	$6,659	0x4ee440…
03-04 16:08:15	xrp up or down march 4 10am et	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfa5632…
03-04 16:08:05	xrp up or down march 4 10am et	Up	BUY	334	100¢	$334	0x0a1de2…
03-04 13:46:15	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x573f19…
03-04 13:45:41	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xe0c728…
03-04 13:43:51	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdd4171…
03-04 13:41:23	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3dcbc5…
03-04 13:41:11	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf3c193…
03-04 13:39:37	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x3f5500…
03-04 13:39:21	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x41ca07…
03-04 13:38:43	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdea424…
03-04 13:38:23	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x2ee4ce…
03-04 13:37:53	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x002a50…
03-04 13:37:39	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x215ad3…
03-04 13:21:01	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9559c9…