Intentional-Landscape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$7.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$61

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 11-07 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

59% 25% -$990

Other

34% 55% -$338

Sports

7% 65% +$181

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
VCU Rams vs. Memphis Tigers	VCU Rams	+43	$25	56¢	$25	$0	11-07 13:30
Spread: UCLA (-5.5)	UCLA	+40	$20	46¢	$19	-$2	11-04 13:18
Cincinnati vs. Houston: O/U 61.5	Over	+36	$20	48¢	$18	-$2	11-06 12:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	10	$1.6K	1,013	1,013	+0	Yes	+$341	05-25 01:05
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	21	$1.2K	2,721	0	+2,721	No	-$1,247	07-27 11:06
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	8	$824	7,145	7,145	+0	open	—	10-03 12:00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	15	$753	867	867	+0	Yes	+$95	06-21 09:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$565	1,601	1,601	+0	No	-$85	05-18 16:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$391	372	372	+0	Yes	-$42	05-27 20:10
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	3	$244	378	378	+0	Yes	+$16	05-15 14:49
Missouri vs. Mississippi State: O/U 58.5	2	$210	412	0	+412	Under	-$210	09-26 22:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$159	167	167	+0	Yes	-$1	05-27 20:12
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	10	$155	256	0	+256	No	-$155	05-16 00:04
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$133	516	516	+0	No	-$40	05-12 11:13
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$128	219	0	+219	Yes	+$91	10-03 12:02
us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	2	$113	205	0	+205	Yes	+$92	07-21 23:08
California vs. UNLV: O/U 53.5	1	$99	194	0	+194	Over	-$99	09-30 22:29
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	11	$90	2,126	0	+2,126	Yes	-$90	06-05 10:54
Devaughn Vele: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	2	$65	123	0	+123	Over	+$58	09-11 11:31
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	6	$61	100	100	+0	Yes	+$19	06-12 12:33
Bucky Irving: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	1	$61	105	0	+105	Over	+$44	09-20 12:05
Oregon vs. USC: O/U 60.5	1	$52	100	0	+100	Over	+$48	09-26 22:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$44	118	118	+0	No	-$28	05-23 21:19
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	06-27 12:35
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	2	$26	18	18	+0	Under	+$8	05-25 01:36
VCU Rams vs. Memphis Tigers	1	$25	43	0	+43	open	—	11-07 13:30
Spread: UCLA (-5.5)	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	11-04 13:18
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5	1	$20	36	0	+36	Over	+$16	11-04 13:25
Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5	1	$20	35	0	+35	Under	-$20	09-11 11:25
nba min nop 2026 11 06 total 231pt5	1	$20	36	0	+36	Under	+$16	11-06 01:06
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5	1	$20	36	0	+36	Over	+$16	11-04 13:29
Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5	1	$20	40	0	+40	Under	-$20	09-11 11:24
Cincinnati vs. Houston: O/U 61.5	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	11-06 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 13:34:48	New Mexico State Aggies vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 152.5	Under	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x28c193…
11-07 13:30:42	VCU Rams vs. Memphis Tigers	VCU Rams	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x6fb482…
11-06 12:12:57	Cincinnati vs. Houston: O/U 61.5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe529e3…
11-06 12:09:22	Spread: Hawks (-5.5)	Hawks	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x7ea312…
11-06 12:05:09	Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5	Over	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x0675a1…
11-06 12:04:30	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x73a67c…
11-06 12:03:33	Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x742f0d…
11-06 12:01:07	Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x7a8bfa…
11-06 10:44:40	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5	Over	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0x3556c8…
11-06 01:06:55	nba min nop 2026 11 06 total 231pt5	Under	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x44e572…
11-06 01:05:43	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2a4f7c…
11-06 01:04:34	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa8fce5…
11-06 01:03:43	nba okc mem 2026 11 06 total 224pt5	Over	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8a40ef…
11-05 23:34:03	Magic vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6bc532…
11-05 20:23:54	Hofstra Pride vs. Princeton Tigers	Princeton Tigers	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6911c1…
11-05 10:55:42	Spread: Suns (-3.5)	Magic	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xbf3172…
11-05 10:52:34	Magic vs. Suns: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xa0e9cc…
11-05 00:16:27	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x740aee…
11-05 00:13:57	Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)	Raptors	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8c85d2…
11-04 13:29:40	Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xf36c43…
11-04 13:25:55	Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xb70a77…
11-04 13:18:39	Spread: UCLA (-5.5)	UCLA	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xe2405d…
11-04 13:14:28	76ers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6f2b36…
11-04 13:02:06	Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x374305…
11-04 13:00:55	Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xa0381c…
11-04 12:59:51	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Mavericks	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x9a0c7e…
11-04 12:58:42	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xcae13c…
11-04 12:56:39	Cavaliers vs. Thunder	Cavaliers	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x74cd2e…
11-04 12:55:09	76ers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa74916…
10-03 12:02:27	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	60¢	$113	0xc8645e…
10-03 12:00:45	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,145	2¢	$120	0xe6603d…
09-30 22:29:17	California vs. UNLV: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	194	51¢	$99	0x196913…
09-26 22:29:03	Missouri vs. Mississippi State: O/U 58.5	Over	BUY	216	51¢	$110	0x95f71c…
09-26 22:24:05	Oregon vs. USC: O/U 60.5	Over	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x5d012c…
09-26 22:23:42	Missouri vs. Mississippi State: O/U 58.5	Over	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x39f781…
09-20 12:05:43	Bucky Irving: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	105	58¢	$61	0x251d45…
09-14 11:01:04	Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5	Over	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xaed1d1…
09-11 11:39:46	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Broncos	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x524ded…
09-11 11:38:04	Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)	Giants	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd452c5…
09-11 11:36:37	Packers vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xddc5d0…
09-11 11:31:13	Devaughn Vele: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x7b5fe4…
09-11 11:25:30	Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x6d4ac9…
09-11 11:24:42	Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9ba04c…
09-11 11:23:07	Devaughn Vele: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x97561f…
07-27 11:06:43	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x5845c2…
07-21 23:08:24	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xbe0641…
07-21 23:07:37	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x121a7e…
07-13 14:57:29	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xfb4158…
07-12 16:57:56	mlb mil pit 2026 07 12	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0d6dbc…
07-03 21:50:20	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xba3eb9…
07-02 12:16:01	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x78922c…
06-29 12:44:14	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x7f7bee…
06-28 16:03:05	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc1a4e0…
06-28 16:02:28	mlb ari tb 2026 06 28	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe459ab…
06-27 12:35:58	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x978de6…
06-21 09:30:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	92¢	$50	0xff03f1…
06-12 12:33:04	Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xd3bc4e…
06-10 00:02:37	Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x143f0b…
06-10 00:01:04	Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4ae347…
06-10 00:00:58	Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfd68f2…
06-10 00:00:51	Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc3e9f7…
06-10 00:00:09	Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2494b9…
06-05 22:50:36	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x2ca1b9…
06-05 10:54:27	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbb90f3…
06-04 23:28:00	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0x1ae7ec…
06-04 23:27:19	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	282	5¢	$15	0x90f15c…
06-04 22:53:39	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xc9c6ed…
06-04 22:51:10	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xd8b017…
06-04 22:47:04	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xcd3847…
06-04 22:41:31	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xdf92c9…
06-04 00:11:10	Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	305	3¢	$10	0x69c6af…
06-04 00:10:04	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	541	4¢	$20	0x7b3aa5…
06-03 22:57:28	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x001975…
06-03 22:56:21	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	563	4¢	$20	0xbdbaba…
06-03 22:26:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x1ccd3e…
06-02 10:32:43	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	532	5¢	$25	0xbe2304…
05-30 23:46:03	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xe6e84d…
05-30 22:21:02	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x22b150…
05-30 00:27:39	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0eaa91…
05-28 22:56:45	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7672d6…
05-28 20:49:04	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe927a1…
05-28 19:16:01	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xd6a5ec…
05-28 10:10:07	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1801f0…
05-28 00:14:02	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xe60855…
05-28 00:05:19	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	10¢	$22	0x392c6a…
05-28 00:03:56	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	799	10¢	$80	0x5fe8f8…
05-27 23:55:03	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	472	10¢	$47	0x368956…
05-27 23:52:48	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	546	10¢	$55	0x480be9…
05-27 23:52:20	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0x2fbcf0…
05-27 23:50:10	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0xb466c8…
05-27 23:31:53	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,108	9¢	$100	0xcaba40…
05-27 22:27:43	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x0ae535…
05-27 22:14:30	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	107	58¢	$62	0x6e204a…
05-27 22:13:36	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	63	58¢	$36	0x459f50…
05-27 20:13:02	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0x4253d0…
05-27 20:12:13	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	83	48¢	$40	0x85a65b…
05-27 20:11:13	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	282	61¢	$172	0xf1193a…
05-27 20:10:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	372	47¢	$175	0xb2181d…
05-27 17:58:18	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6f5c1e…
05-27 17:57:28	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x07af1e…