Mixed-Warrior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.0%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$9.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 09-04 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

53% 12% -$3

Sports

21% 37% +$43

Politics

14% 20% -$1

Crypto

11% 14% -$1

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$372	187	187	+0	No	$0	04-07 05:58
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$372	186	186	+0	No	$0	04-17 17:02
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	4	$368	185	185	+0	No	$0	03-20 21:24
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$356	178	178	+0	No	$0	03-31 00:13
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$354	177	177	+0	No	$0	03-15 19:21
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$350	175	175	+0	No	$0	04-11 18:38
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$346	173	173	+0	No	$0	04-20 14:09
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$284	142	142	+0	No	$0	04-01 03:07
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	2	$212	106	106	+0	No	$0	03-23 08:08
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$208	104	104	+0	No	$0	03-26 16:40
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$206	103	103	+0	No	$0	03-25 09:43
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	06-01 06:57
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$202	101	101	+0	No	+$0	04-15 16:56
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	04-14 11:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$196	99	99	+0	No	$0	04-07 20:10
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	03-17 21:48
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	03-26 04:23
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$184	92	92	+0	No	$0	03-14 00:47
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$182	91	91	+0	No	$0	03-29 13:10
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$181	91	91	+0	No	+$0	03-12 07:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	04-12 03:26
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	04-19 14:17
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$174	87	87	+0	No	$0	05-22 04:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$170	85	85	+0	No	$0	03-28 12:24
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$168	84	84	+0	No	$0	04-18 14:17
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$168	84	84	+0	No	$0	04-02 12:41
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$166	83	83	+0	No	$0	04-01 19:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$166	83	83	+0	No	$0	04-16 13:20
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$162	81	81	+0	No	$0	04-04 02:16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$162	81	81	+0	No	$0	04-13 03:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 12:33:30	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa9e5fb…
07-06 04:56:56	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xda4d45…
07-06 04:56:32	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xada8f5…
07-05 15:36:52	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3999ca…
07-05 09:02:34	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8f247d…
07-04 14:40:58	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x07c776…
06-24 09:04:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2ffe3a…
06-24 09:04:08	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb14a13…
06-18 04:49:55	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf46734…
06-14 16:39:55	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x29fef0…
06-10 04:02:18	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe8231b…
06-09 13:52:40	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb709dd…
06-08 14:19:13	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x046b20…
06-07 19:07:48	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x43b9e0…
06-06 12:41:40	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8c7601…
06-06 12:41:24	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xd763e6…
06-05 03:33:10	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x71a910…
06-03 14:25:21	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x802b47…
06-01 06:58:02	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x747baa…
06-01 06:57:44	Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xb32bc5…
05-23 19:10:06	Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xc49613…
05-22 04:18:06	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xd36dfd…
05-15 15:29:57	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xd777dd…
05-15 04:17:10	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xe39ab6…
04-21 08:25:38	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xb612cb…
04-21 02:44:24	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x3933eb…
04-20 14:09:22	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x76acac…
04-20 08:56:44	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc3f63c…
04-19 14:17:54	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x488d35…
04-19 10:53:56	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc7814b…
04-18 14:17:38	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x569ff8…
04-18 00:55:30	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x08b289…
04-17 17:02:08	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x35f174…
04-17 10:37:30	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x025b9e…
04-16 13:20:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x2ed09b…
04-16 10:11:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x5ecaa2…
04-15 16:56:54	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x0b8da0…
04-15 15:24:38	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x2ef7e3…
04-14 11:00:05	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xab249a…
04-14 06:33:27	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa049cf…
04-14 03:34:35	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xc7a823…
04-13 19:46:25	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x7cdbb2…
04-13 03:11:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x759a75…
04-12 23:54:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x855105…
04-12 03:26:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x1f95c5…
04-11 23:37:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x77a36c…
04-11 18:38:59	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x5b8afc…
04-10 16:53:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x0d6046…
04-08 16:16:51	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x7ffded…
04-08 12:37:49	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x75e082…
04-07 20:10:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xc69765…
04-07 17:21:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xb3ddb7…
04-07 05:58:37	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x17042a…
04-07 02:38:01	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x9d0be4…
04-06 15:43:29	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x20b750…
04-06 11:05:29	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5d4fe1…
04-04 07:27:21	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x95b97b…
04-04 05:10:39	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x9d795b…
04-04 02:16:59	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xdb2d18…
04-03 22:01:05	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xde0d02…
04-02 12:41:21	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x6d05e2…
04-02 09:15:23	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x4be906…
04-01 19:17:11	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x200fa0…
04-01 15:28:03	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x03b715…
04-01 03:07:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xc19786…
03-31 23:13:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x0e4a35…
03-31 00:13:43	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0x0a0b95…
03-30 20:21:29	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x987ef0…
03-30 15:24:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeaf60a…
03-29 16:56:00	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x7a47f3…
03-29 13:10:28	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x28d6c8…
03-29 13:10:08	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xcb6947…
03-29 09:25:22	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xbd0cf2…
03-29 00:46:18	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x368371…
03-28 20:32:20	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x086a6f…
03-28 12:24:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x83bd1d…
03-28 08:38:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x261a7d…
03-26 16:40:25	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x416285…
03-26 10:30:59	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xcfce6e…
03-26 04:23:29	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x23a0b5…
03-25 22:14:07	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x8bcd4f…
03-25 09:43:27	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x639a92…
03-25 03:32:53	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd64b72…
03-25 03:32:35	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x147fef…
03-24 21:14:13	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x54af00…
03-23 08:08:19	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xed1fec…
03-23 01:55:43	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x4bca9b…
03-20 21:24:23	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x0cd44d…
03-20 00:15:01	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x7b020f…
03-19 02:41:59	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x692546…
03-18 19:26:41	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x1d15e3…
03-17 21:48:33	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x40cb7c…
03-17 07:27:55	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x8aed3b…
03-16 02:33:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x303ad4…
03-15 19:21:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x15340e…
03-15 19:21:35	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x62ac13…
03-15 12:20:19	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x105a65…
03-15 05:10:45	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xfe9631…
03-14 22:01:25	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x8f6ee6…
03-14 00:47:13	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xaab095…