Imperfect-Beak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

473

Trades

2,405

lifetime

Volume

$750

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 06-05 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 238 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	06-01 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	06-01 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	6	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	06-01 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	10	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	12	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-22 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	10	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	10	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	8	$6	11	7	+4	open	—	06-01 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	10	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	10	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	9	$6	4	5	-1	open	—	05-22 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	6	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-28 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	8	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-22 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-01 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-01 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-01 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	8	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-22 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	06-01 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	6	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-28 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-28 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-29 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-28 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-01 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	6	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-22 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	6	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 15:23:37	btc updown 5m 1780672800	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x4f2dfb…
06-05 07:50:21	btc updown 5m 1780645500	Down	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x5cede4…
06-05 07:50:21	btc updown 5m 1780645500	Up	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x4a1800…
06-05 03:53:27	btc updown 5m 1780631400	Up	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x23b00d…
06-05 03:45:55	btc updown 5m 1780631100	Down	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xc3eb75…
06-05 03:41:16	btc updown 5m 1780630800	Up	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xa7e314…
06-05 03:36:36	btc updown 5m 1780630500	Up	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x2d8fd4…
06-05 03:26:45	btc updown 5m 1780629900	Up	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xe78920…
06-05 03:20:46	btc updown 5m 1780629600	Up	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x8eb09f…
06-05 03:06:49	btc updown 5m 1780628700	Up	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xae111f…
06-04 19:59:58	btc updown 5m 1780602900	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x7c3d0e…
06-04 19:59:07	btc updown 5m 1780602900	Down	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xd85910…
06-04 19:24:34	btc updown 5m 1780600800	Down	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xed4028…
06-04 19:24:06	btc updown 5m 1780600800	Up	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x0ef15f…
06-04 18:43:54	btc updown 5m 1780598400	Up	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x51efe5…
06-04 18:40:34	btc updown 5m 1780598100	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4f3ab9…
06-04 18:36:46	btc updown 5m 1780598100	Down	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x0cc415…
06-04 18:31:46	btc updown 5m 1780597800	Up	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xe3050c…
06-04 18:27:00	btc updown 5m 1780597500	Down	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x38c7b7…
06-04 18:25:48	btc updown 5m 1780597500	Up	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xe2080b…
06-04 18:22:01	btc updown 5m 1780597200	Down	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xedf736…
06-04 18:06:49	btc updown 5m 1780596300	Up	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x7ae3de…
06-04 18:02:33	btc updown 5m 1780596000	Up	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xe0ee88…
06-04 17:58:33	btc updown 5m 1780595700	Down	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x96cd24…
06-04 17:55:36	btc updown 5m 1780595700	Up	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x7ff90b…
06-04 17:51:21	btc updown 5m 1780595400	Down	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x70bf80…
06-04 17:46:45	btc updown 5m 1780595100	Down	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xb05211…
06-04 17:45:52	btc updown 5m 1780595100	Up	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x9216ae…
06-04 10:54:34	btc updown 5m 1780570200	Up	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xbaa973…
06-04 10:14:22	btc updown 5m 1780567800	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x4f5a32…
06-04 09:44:25	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x5489a5…
06-04 09:43:55	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x0b3ee6…
06-04 09:33:34	btc updown 5m 1780565400	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x4f5a81…
06-04 06:14:48	btc updown 5m 1780553400	Up	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xa016fe…
06-04 06:14:21	btc updown 5m 1780553400	Down	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xbd83bf…
06-03 23:49:10	btc updown 5m 1780530300	Down	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x2c066d…
06-03 23:49:09	btc updown 5m 1780530300	Down	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xd33f4f…
06-03 23:48:49	btc updown 5m 1780530300	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x9de507…
06-03 22:08:33	btc updown 5m 1780524300	Down	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x7701d7…
06-03 21:23:49	btc updown 5m 1780521600	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xa23132…
06-03 18:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xe0d175…
06-03 18:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x7dd188…
06-03 14:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xb785a0…
06-03 13:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x5ba09b…
06-03 13:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xa9616c…
06-03 12:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x886632…
06-03 11:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x67949c…
06-03 11:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x672b75…
06-03 11:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x4229a4…
06-03 11:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xa3192f…
06-03 10:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xb4fba2…
06-03 10:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xde1042…
06-03 09:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x6554f9…
06-03 09:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xe23120…
06-03 08:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x42078a…
06-03 07:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x160f2c…
06-03 01:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x27a212…
06-03 01:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xf75b62…
06-03 01:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xec4762…
06-03 00:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x1a021a…
06-02 23:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x569d8b…
06-02 23:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x31c32f…
06-02 23:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x484487…
06-01 17:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x33c1f8…
06-01 17:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa5aea5…
06-01 17:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x358aca…
06-01 17:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbf3165…
06-01 17:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x5825e8…
06-01 17:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x171f1d…
06-01 17:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x494507…
06-01 17:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf0196b…
06-01 17:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf1b619…
06-01 17:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd1b2ca…
06-01 17:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x07b5c5…
06-01 17:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x974c94…
06-01 17:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xe77ac8…
06-01 17:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x695731…
06-01 17:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x5fdc41…
06-01 17:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xace9a0…
06-01 17:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x9195e6…
06-01 17:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xd4a8a7…
06-01 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xba743f…
06-01 17:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8e557f…
06-01 17:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x324505…
06-01 17:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x17508b…
06-01 17:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xc45a55…
06-01 17:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x63fa97…
06-01 17:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x079b1c…
06-01 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xd16f64…
06-01 17:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xaa5c6c…
06-01 17:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x77656c…
06-01 17:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x986344…
06-01 17:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0dc772…
06-01 16:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x9e1ac7…
06-01 16:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x414813…
06-01 16:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xa80b90…
06-01 16:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x01b560…
06-01 16:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x3b6cdd…
06-01 16:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8291b6…
06-01 16:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xc77e64…