Imperfect-Beak — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved (90d)

554

Trades (90d)

1,064

6,338 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$966

$4.87K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-31 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% +$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:05 UTC	12	$31	30	30	+0	Down	-$2	06-18 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:30 UTC	10	$24	25	25	+0	Down	$0	06-25 10:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 03:15 UTC	8	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	06-29 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 21:50 UTC	8	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	06-22 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:00 UTC	6	$19	15	13	+2	Down	+$1	06-18 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:25 UTC	8	$18	20	20	+0	Down	$0	06-25 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 22:10 UTC	8	$18	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	06-22 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 21:05 UTC	6	$17	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	06-22 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:50 UTC	6	$16	15	11	+4	Down	-$2	06-18 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:55 UTC	4	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	06-18 09:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:25 UTC	5	$14	15	10	+5	Up	+$3	06-18 07:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:10 UTC	4	$14	10	10	+0	Up	$0	06-18 09:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 08:15 UTC	8	$14	15	10	+5	Up	+$3	06-18 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:25 UTC	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	06-22 20:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 05:25 UTC	4	$12	10	10	+0	Up	$0	06-29 05:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:40 UTC	10	$12	10	10	-0	Up	+$0	06-18 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	06-29 03:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:10 UTC	5	$12	15	10	+5	Down	+$2	06-18 10:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 21:35 UTC	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	06-22 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 22:00 UTC	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	06-22 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 22:30 UTC	4	$10	15	5	+10	Up	-$6	06-22 22:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:45 UTC	5	$10	10	7	+3	Down	+$1	06-18 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:30 UTC	6	$10	15	15	+0	Up	-$1	06-25 11:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 21:15 UTC	4	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	06-22 21:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 03:40 UTC	4	$10	10	10	+0	Down	$0	06-29 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 08:05 UTC	5	$10	10	3	+7	Up	+$2	06-18 08:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:50 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	08-30 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 19:55 UTC	8	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	06-22 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:30 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	08-30 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:30 UTC	3	$9	10	5	+5	Up	-$2	06-22 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 20:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xd95717…
10-31 20:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x526316…
10-31 16:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x1fd042…
10-31 16:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x65e349…
10-31 16:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x4a987e…
10-31 16:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x2241de…
10-31 16:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xac10bf…
10-31 16:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xd0d72e…
10-31 16:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x4e6fd4…
10-31 16:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x6fbfb2…
10-25 14:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xe31313…
10-25 14:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x6eded6…
10-25 07:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x256535…
10-25 07:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x36fa16…
10-25 01:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xac7289…
10-25 01:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x4af936…
10-25 00:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x3e0f45…
10-25 00:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x30c9fd…
10-25 00:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x5bf032…
10-25 00:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x0573fe…
10-25 00:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xdf40ed…
10-25 00:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x31bffd…
10-24 21:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xd1c338…
10-24 21:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x86dd71…
10-24 20:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x54a48a…
10-24 20:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xbb19db…
10-24 20:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x7633fa…
10-24 20:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x0017c2…
10-24 20:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f2c49…
10-24 20:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xe5a774…
10-24 20:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xe52f74…
10-24 20:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x8e9357…
10-24 20:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x526a0a…
10-24 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x8d5bad…
10-23 21:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x79adcd…
10-23 20:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1e4bf7…
10-23 19:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x753448…
10-23 18:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xb6c57f…
10-23 15:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x73a657…
10-23 15:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa0df09…
10-23 12:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x3a48b0…
10-23 12:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d04c4…
10-23 10:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xbdf711…
10-23 10:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd1ce84…
10-23 10:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x1de029…
10-23 10:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x75f4e6…
10-23 09:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x02bed9…
10-23 09:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa4e01d…
10-23 07:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x011f9f…
10-23 06:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xc0524a…
10-23 06:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x48d601…
10-23 05:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb950ee…
10-23 04:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x46c5f6…
10-23 04:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x41acff…
10-23 03:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x40c36d…
10-23 01:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3c3d42…
10-23 01:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xa81538…
10-23 01:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xb4f217…
10-23 01:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x0b983f…
10-23 00:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x93d3c8…
10-22 22:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x95e31e…
10-22 22:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x68464c…
10-22 22:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x2d9bc3…
10-22 19:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xa17e7a…
10-22 19:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x691aa1…
10-22 13:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x5eeeb7…
10-22 12:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xdc0ba1…
10-22 12:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x6c425c…
10-22 05:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x6679a2…
10-22 05:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xe931ba…
10-22 04:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x9d67ae…
10-22 04:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x483f43…
10-22 04:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xf6407e…
10-22 04:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x29f536…
10-22 00:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x6888fa…
10-22 00:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc77cc5…
10-21 23:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x134e69…
10-21 23:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xbbf3f7…
10-21 23:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xc2229d…
10-21 23:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x503e2d…
10-21 23:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x61fe90…
10-21 23:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x981845…
10-21 23:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x51a918…
10-21 23:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5900a9…
10-21 22:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x513d17…
10-21 22:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xa6cf68…
10-21 21:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xb0b169…
10-21 21:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd58d25…
10-21 21:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x1ff380…
10-21 21:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x0da94a…
10-21 19:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x7b607b…
10-21 19:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x16b71c…
10-21 18:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xaa9da2…
10-21 18:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa291c6…
10-21 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0386d5…
10-21 16:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x6c93ca…
10-21 16:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd63084…
10-21 16:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xafe223…
10-21 14:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x4765ca…
10-21 14:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x64a211…